Paycom Software, Inc. · PAYC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Paycom pairs 10% growth with 2026 automation and sales expansion

Paycom’s current evidence supports a constructive but qualified view: double-digit revenue growth, improving retention and expanding automation support the operating story, while slower FY2026 growth guidance, sales-execution questions and adoption risk temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $9.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.45 Consensus $2.44
EPS surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $544.3M Consensus $543.0M
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.0% Up to 20 sessions
PAYCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds FY2026 guidance of 6–7% revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 44%, reports 91% client retention and approximately 39,200 clients, and places greater emphasis on scaling sales capacity and expanding automation products.

Guidance delta

FY2026 guidance was maintained at 6–7% revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 44%; no change from the supplied prior analysis was identified.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 10% year over year to $2.05 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 43%.
  • Client retention improved to 91% and client count reached approximately 39,200.
  • Management is emphasizing IWant, Beti, GONE and additional automated decisioning tools as growth and retention drivers.

Management priorities

  • Release additional automated decisioning and AI tools throughout 2026.
  • Scale the sales force by approximately 100 new representatives and open more offices.
  • Focus on full-solution automation to deepen client ROI and retention.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAYC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.43 Q1 '24 actual $2.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.58 Q2 '24 actual $1.62, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.61 Q3 '24 actual $1.67, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.78 Q2 '25 actual $2.06, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.95 Q3 '25 actual $1.94, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.44 Q4 '25 actual $2.45, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.99 Q1 '26 actual $3.15, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.38 Q2 '26 actual $2.78, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.82 Q4 '26 estimate $2.91 Q1 '27 estimate $3.89
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1647.1%
Neutral1750.0%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$218.58Current
$120Low
$262.63Average
$550High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $218.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$280$226.28 +28.1%Sep 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$245$216.41 +12.1%Aug 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$200$215.34 -8.5%Aug 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$195$214.53 -10.8%Aug 6, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$208$174.8 -4.8%Aug 6, 2026
See 65 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Paycom Software, Inc., established in 1998 and headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, provides a comprehensive, cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform. This software-as-a-service (SaaS) solution is specifically tailored for small to mid-sized businesses across the United States. It equips organizations with the essential functionality and analytical insights needed to oversee the complete employee journey, from the initial hiring process through to retirement. The robust HCM suite encompasses a wide array of applications across several critical HR domains. For talent acquisition and onboarding, it offers tools such as applicant tracking, candidate management, background checks, seamless onboarding processes, E-Verify compliance, and tax credit services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T20:51:01.324898+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T20:51:01.322179+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.