Palo Alto Networks, Inc. · PANW · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2025

Palo Alto Networks: Platformization and AI Security Drive Q1 Momentum

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: platformization, AI security and acquisitions are broadening Palo Alto Networks' growth avenues, while execution and integration determine whether the raised long-term ambition is delivered.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $319.55B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.93 Consensus $0.89
EPS surprise +4.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.47B Consensus $2.46B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.4% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -5.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
PANWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds Chronosphere, Prisma AIRS 2.0, AgentiX and quantum-ready offerings as priorities; it also says the FY30 ARR target was raised to $20 billion. The prior analysis emphasized CyberArk, platformization and FY26 guidance.

Guidance delta

Raised: the analysis says management increased its FY30 ARR target to $20 billion.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes Q1 FY2026 results as above guidance, with strong operating margin and free cash flow.
  • Platformization across SASE and XSIAM is supporting larger wins and broader customer adoption.
  • Prisma AIRS 2.0 and autonomous AI-agent security are emerging growth priorities.
  • CyberArk and Chronosphere are intended to expand identity-security and observability capabilities.
  • The analysis says management raised its FY30 ARR target to $20 billion.

Management priorities

  • Scale Prisma AIRS 2.0 and the broader AI-security portfolio.
  • Deploy AgentiX autonomous AI agents across security operations.
  • Integrate CyberArk identity security into the platform.
  • Use Chronosphere observability to strengthen XSIAM data pipelines.
  • Advance quantum-ready offerings and the IBM partnership.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PANW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2B Q4 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 actual $3B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy87 ratings
Bullish6372.4%
Neutral2225.3%
Bearish22.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$392.09Previous close
$146.67Low
$321.27Average
$496High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 17, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainSep 2, 2026
Roth Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 83 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $392.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$425$374.74 +8.4%Sep 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$410$363.58 +4.6%Sep 21, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$351$375.65 -10.5%Sep 17, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$390$328.48 -0.5%Sep 2, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$400$333.75 +2.0%Sep 2, 2026
See 239 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a global leader in providing advanced cybersecurity solutions. The company's core product line includes both hardware and software-based firewalls. It also offers Panorama, a sophisticated security management platform designed for centralized control of these firewall deployments, whether they are physical appliances, virtual instances, or situated in public or private cloud environments. Additionally, the firm provides virtual system upgrades to enhance the capacity of its physical firewall units. Complementing its core products, Palo Alto Networks delivers an extensive range of subscription services. These encompass robust threat prevention, protection against malware and advanced persistent threats, URL filtering, and security for both laptop and mobile devices. Further specialized subscriptions include DNS security, Internet of Things (IoT) security, SaaS security (via API and inline methods), threat intelligence, and data loss prevention.…

Historical context

All PANW earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T09:11:00.922391+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T09:11:00.919492+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.