Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. · PAC · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

GAP: Revenue growth offsets weaker passenger traffic

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: revenue diversification and aeronautical growth can offset passenger-traffic weakness, while the next test is execution on CBX integration, capex and traffic recovery.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $11.29B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.63 Consensus $3.54
EPS surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $656.2M Consensus $570.2M
Revenue surprise +15.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.8% Up to 20 sessions
PACSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the focus from the prior quarter's tariff and weather discussion toward the effects of lower passenger traffic, stronger revenue diversification, CBX financing and integration, and continued capital deployment.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis indicates no change to guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and EBITDA grew despite lower passenger traffic, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Aeronautical performance in Mexico and non-aeronautical services were identified as growth drivers.
  • Liquidity, CBX integration and continued airport investment remain central to the current thesis.
  • Management expects traffic recovery by Q4 while maintaining full-year guidance.

Management priorities

  • Complete and integrate the CBX acquisition.
  • Continue capital expenditure, with greater intensity later in the year.
  • Develop airport-based hotel projects and evaluate additional M&A opportunities.
  • Improve margin efficiency in directly operated assets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $9B, None Q1 '24 actual $8B, None Q2 '24 estimate $455M Q2 '24 actual $397M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $388M Q3 '24 actual $427M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $586M Q2 '25 actual $584M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $665M Q3 '25 actual $520M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $585M Q4 '25 actual $574M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $570M Q1 '26 actual $656M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $732M Q2 '26 actual $649M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $653M Q3 '26 actual $633M, miss Q4 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '27 estimate $12B Q2 '27 estimate $12B Q3 '27 estimate $14B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish853.4%
Neutral533.3%
Bearish213.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$217.41Previous close
$135Low
$211.25Average
$285High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeOct 5, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeAug 5, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 20, 2026
Banco Bradesco BBI S.A Outperform NeutralUpgradeMay 5, 2026
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $217.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$277$200.9 +27.4%Oct 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyJens Spiess$225$220.7 +3.5%Aug 5, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$275$218.14 +26.5%Aug 4, 2026
BradescoRodolfo Ramos$285$246.27 +31.1%May 5, 2026
BradescoRodolfo Ramos$260$262.45 +19.6%Jan 5, 2026
See 7 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, is dedicated to the comprehensive management, operation, and development of airports, predominantly situated in Mexico's Pacific region. The company oversees a network of twelve airports, encompassing key locations such as Guadalajara, Puerto Vallarta, Tijuana, San José del Cabo, Guanajuato (Bajío), Hermosillo, Mexicali, Los Mochis, La Paz, Manzanillo, Morelia, and Aguascalientes. Established in 1998, its corporate headquarters are located in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Historical context

All PAC earnings

Industrials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-21T07:40:40.748494+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-21T07:40:40.745686+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.