ON Semiconductor Corporation · ON · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Onsemi raises outlook as AI power demand accelerates

Onsemi's Q2 update supports a constructive operating trajectory: management raised Q3 guidance and highlighted accelerating AI data-center power demand, silicon-carbide growth, and energy-storage expansion. The thesis remains dependent on sustained AI demand, automotive execution, margin delivery, and successful integration of the pending Synaptics acquisition.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $28.65B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.74 Consensus $0.71
EPS surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.60B Consensus $1.59B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.5% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.1% Up to 20 sessions
ONSPY benchmark

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What changed

The outlook strengthened from the prior quarter. Management now expects Q3 revenue of $1.65-$1.75 billion and 40%-42% non-GAAP gross margin, while emphasizing AI data-center growth, silicon-carbide adoption, energy storage, and the pending Synaptics acquisition.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook: Q3 revenue guidance is $1.65-$1.75 billion with 40%-42% non-GAAP gross margin, versus Q2 revenue of $1.6 billion and 39.3% non-GAAP gross margin.

Key takeaways

  • Management expects AI data-center revenue to more than double in 2026.
  • Silicon-carbide revenue is projected to rise 60%-70% across AI data-center and automotive applications.
  • Energy-storage revenue grew 40% year over year, while a pending Synaptics acquisition broadens the portfolio.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI data-center power solutions and silicon-carbide products.
  • Increase utilization and implement price actions to support gross-margin expansion.
  • Ramp energy-storage modules and execute the pending Synaptics acquisition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ON REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2351.1%
Neutral2146.7%
Bearish12.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.6Current
$60Low
$87.05Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 17, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainSep 17, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 17, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalJay Goldberg$100$73.6 +35.9%Sep 22, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$75$69.12 +1.9%Sep 18, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$90$66.6 +22.3%Sep 17, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$75$66.6 +1.9%Sep 17, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$95$66.6 +29.1%Sep 17, 2026
See 104 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

ON Semiconductor Corporation operates as a global provider of sophisticated power and sensing solutions. Their cutting-edge power innovations are pivotal in modernizing various sectors: they contribute to the development of lighter, extended-range electric vehicles, underpin rapid-charging infrastructure, and bolster sustainable energy initiatives for applications such as solar arrays, industrial power systems, and energy storage. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: the Power Solutions Group, the Advanced Solutions Group, and the Intelligent Sensing Group. ON Semiconductor offers a broad array of semiconductor products, including analog components, discrete devices, modules, and integrated circuits. These products are designed to perform numerous critical functions, such as power switching, energy conversion, signal conditioning, circuit protection, signal amplification, and voltage regulation.…

Historical context

All ON earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T15:08:47.266242+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T05:10:51.832526+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T05:10:51.829690+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.