ON Semiconductor Corporation · ON · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Onsemi raises outlook as AI power demand accelerates

Onsemi's Q2 update supports a constructive operating trajectory: management raised Q3 guidance and highlighted accelerating AI data-center power demand, silicon-carbide growth, and energy-storage expansion. The thesis remains dependent on sustained AI demand, automotive execution, margin delivery, and successful integration of the pending Synaptics acquisition.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $28.65B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.74 Consensus $0.71
EPS surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.60B Consensus $1.59B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.5% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.1% Up to 20 sessions
ONSPY benchmark

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What changed

The outlook strengthened from the prior quarter. Management now expects Q3 revenue of $1.65-$1.75 billion and 40%-42% non-GAAP gross margin, while emphasizing AI data-center growth, silicon-carbide adoption, energy storage, and the pending Synaptics acquisition.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook: Q3 revenue guidance is $1.65-$1.75 billion with 40%-42% non-GAAP gross margin, versus Q2 revenue of $1.6 billion and 39.3% non-GAAP gross margin.

Key takeaways

  • Management expects AI data-center revenue to more than double in 2026.
  • Silicon-carbide revenue is projected to rise 60%-70% across AI data-center and automotive applications.
  • Energy-storage revenue grew 40% year over year, while a pending Synaptics acquisition broadens the portfolio.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI data-center power solutions and silicon-carbide products.
  • Increase utilization and implement price actions to support gross-margin expansion.
  • Ramp energy-storage modules and execute the pending Synaptics acquisition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ON EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.04 Q1 '24 actual $1.08, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.97 Q3 '24 actual $0.99, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.53, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.59 Q3 '25 actual $0.63, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.62 Q4 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '26 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.74, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.87 Q4 '26 estimate $0.95 Q1 '27 estimate $0.97 Q2 '27 estimate $1.08
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2351.1%
Neutral2146.7%
Bearish12.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.6Current
$60Low
$87.05Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 17, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainSep 17, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 13, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 9, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 26, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 26, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 5, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 5, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 5, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 10, 2026
Benchmark Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 10, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 27, 2025
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainJun 17, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 6, 2025
Roth MKM Buy BuyMaintainFeb 11, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainFeb 11, 2025
Craig-Hallum Hold HoldMaintainFeb 11, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2024
Exane BNP Paribas Underperform NeutralDowngradeApr 19, 2024
Summit Insights Group Hold BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2023
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 1, 2023
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMar 2, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 7, 2023
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 10, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 16, 2022
B. Riley FBR Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 22, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainMay 12, 2020
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainJan 27, 2020
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 17, 2019
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2018
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 19, 2017
Pacific Crest Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJun 20, 2017
Stephens & Co. Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeOct 3, 2016
CLSA Perform PerformMaintainSep 20, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainFeb 9, 2016
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 7, 2016
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalJay Goldberg$100$73.6 +35.9%Sep 22, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$75$69.12 +1.9%Sep 18, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$90$66.6 +22.3%Sep 17, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$75$66.6 +1.9%Sep 17, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$95$66.6 +29.1%Sep 17, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$40$83.38 -45.7%Aug 12, 2026
BernsteinAneesha Sherman$62$83.37 -15.8%Aug 12, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$91$77.45 +23.6%Aug 5, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$116$80.02 +57.6%Aug 4, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldMatthew Prisco$110$83.36 +49.5%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$150$101.77 +103.8%Jul 9, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$125$94.54 +69.8%Jul 1, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$95$87.81 +29.1%Jun 29, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$130$118.74 +76.6%Jun 26, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$140$118.74 +90.2%Jun 26, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$137$118.74 +86.1%Jun 26, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$110$118.74 +49.5%Jun 26, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$107$117.06 +45.4%Jun 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$120$104 +63.0%May 5, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$120$102.04 +63.0%May 5, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$75$71.18 +1.9%Feb 12, 2026
BNP ParibasDavid O'Connor$62$63.13 -15.8%Jan 22, 2026
Williams TradingDavid Williams$60$48.12 -18.5%Nov 4, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$51$48.25 -30.7%Nov 4, 2025
CFRAAngelo Zino$64$50.46 -13.0%Nov 4, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$60$45.4 -18.5%Mar 7, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$60$53.94 -18.5%Jan 11, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsGary Mobley$95$69.96 +29.1%Nov 11, 2024
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$75$72.24 +1.9%Oct 29, 2024
B.Riley FinancialCraig Ellis$100$72.24 +35.9%Oct 29, 2024
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$64$72.24 -13.0%Oct 29, 2024
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$92$72.24 +25.0%Oct 28, 2024
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$89$72.24 +20.9%Oct 28, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$85$69.24 +15.5%Oct 18, 2024
Williams TradingDavid Williams$90$74.9 +22.3%Jul 30, 2024
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$97$73.97 +31.8%Jul 30, 2024
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$70$78.27 -4.9%Jul 30, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$105$78.27 +42.7%Jul 29, 2024
CFRAAngelo Zino$80$78.27 +8.7%Jul 29, 2024
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$95$78.74 +29.1%Jul 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$65$75.46 -11.7%Jul 11, 2024
JefferiesBlayne Curtis$100$70.46 +35.9%May 13, 2024
Williams TradingDavid Williams$80$70.25 +8.7%Apr 30, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesKevin Cassidy$70$70.16 -4.9%Apr 30, 2024
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$85$72.3 +15.5%Apr 30, 2024
B.Riley FinancialCraig Ellis$103$70.16 +39.9%Apr 30, 2024
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$85$70.82 +15.5%Apr 30, 2024
KeyBancJohn Vinh$90$70.82 +22.3%Apr 30, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$87$70.82 +18.2%Apr 30, 2024
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$89$70.82 +20.9%Apr 30, 2024
Wells FargoGary Mobley$95$60.65 +29.1%Apr 23, 2024
BNP ParibasDavid O'Connor$55$62.93 -25.3%Apr 19, 2024
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$81$65.64 +10.1%Apr 16, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$104$65.64 +41.3%Apr 15, 2024
New StreetVijay Rakesh$92$74.04 +25.0%Mar 19, 2024
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$105$108.41 +42.7%Aug 1, 2023
Rosenblatt SecuritiesKevin Cassidy$95$86.09 +29.1%May 17, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$90$79.2 +22.3%May 2, 2023
WedbushSeth Basham Analyst Firm$115$77.15 +56.3%Mar 13, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$95$83.52 +29.1%Feb 8, 2023
CitigroupItay Michaeli$115$82.55 +56.3%Feb 7, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$82.55 +29.1%Feb 7, 2023
Craig-HallumAnalyst unavailable$96$82.32 +30.4%Feb 7, 2023
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$93$82.42 +26.4%Feb 7, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$90$82.28 +22.3%Feb 7, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$89$80.4 +20.9%Feb 7, 2023
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$100$80.4 +35.9%Feb 7, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$90$80.4 +22.3%Feb 7, 2023
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$100$80.4 +35.9%Feb 7, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$83$74.3 +12.8%Nov 16, 2022
Williams TradingDavid Williams$69$61.74 -6.3%Nov 1, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$80$63.41 +8.7%Nov 1, 2022
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$80$61.43 +8.7%Oct 31, 2022
NeedhamRajvindra Gill$73$61.43 -0.8%Oct 31, 2022
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$82$70.96 +11.4%Aug 16, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$79$71.37 +7.3%Aug 15, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$77$67.38 +4.6%Aug 2, 2022
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$81$67.35 +10.1%Aug 2, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$75$67.35 +1.9%Aug 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$65$64.46 -11.7%Aug 2, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$68$63.66 -7.6%Aug 2, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$75$63.66 +1.9%Aug 2, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$72$63.66 -2.2%Aug 2, 2022
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$65$66.78 -11.7%Jul 30, 2022
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$60$61.08 -18.5%Jul 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$56$59.96 -23.9%Jun 10, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$68$56.48 -7.6%May 3, 2022
Rosenblatt SecuritiesKevin Cassidy$80$56.26 +8.7%May 3, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$60$53.5 -18.5%May 2, 2022
J.P. MorganHarlan Sur$70$55.62 -4.9%May 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$60$55.62 -18.5%May 2, 2022
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$80$55.62 +8.7%May 2, 2022
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$70$51.78 -4.9%Apr 25, 2022
Piper SandlerHarsh Kumar$75$63.5 +1.9%Feb 27, 2022
Craig-HallumAnthony Stoss$72$65.97 -2.2%Feb 8, 2022
UBSPradeep Ramani$69$65.97 -6.3%Feb 8, 2022
JefferiesMark Lipacis$75$65.97 +1.9%Feb 8, 2022
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$68$65.97 -7.6%Feb 8, 2022
BMO CapitalAmbrish Srivastava$60$65.97 -18.5%Feb 8, 2022
J.P. MorganHarlan Sur$71$65.97 -3.5%Feb 8, 2022
KeyBancJohn Vinh$80$65.97 +8.7%Feb 8, 2022
NeedhamRajvindra Gill$80$65.97 +8.7%Feb 8, 2022
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$64$62.26 -13.0%Feb 7, 2022
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$80$62.26 +8.7%Feb 7, 2022
Wells FargoGary Mobley$65$64.64 -11.7%Jan 13, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$82$65.12 +11.4%Jan 10, 2022
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$70$70.17 -4.9%Jan 3, 2022
Cowen & Co.Matt Ramsay$65$57.14 -11.7%Nov 2, 2021
Raymond JamesChris Caso$68$57.14 -7.6%Nov 2, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

ON Semiconductor Corporation operates as a global provider of sophisticated power and sensing solutions. Their cutting-edge power innovations are pivotal in modernizing various sectors: they contribute to the development of lighter, extended-range electric vehicles, underpin rapid-charging infrastructure, and bolster sustainable energy initiatives for applications such as solar arrays, industrial power systems, and energy storage. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: the Power Solutions Group, the Advanced Solutions Group, and the Intelligent Sensing Group. ON Semiconductor offers a broad array of semiconductor products, including analog components, discrete devices, modules, and integrated circuits. These products are designed to perform numerous critical functions, such as power switching, energy conversion, signal conditioning, circuit protection, signal amplification, and voltage regulation.…

Historical context

All ON earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T15:08:47.266242+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T05:10:51.832526+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T05:10:51.829690+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.