ONEOK, Inc. · OKE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
ONEOK Raises 2026 Outlook as NGL Volumes and Projects Advance
The current analysis supports a constructive view of ONEOK's operating trajectory: record NGL throughput, project progress and new commercial agreements accompanied a second 2026 guidance increase. The case still depends on spreads, contract durability and disciplined execution.
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What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management raised 2026 guidance again, highlighted the Denver expansion entering service, reported stronger commercial progress in LPG and power supply, and extended its estimated cash-tax runway. The capex range stayed unchanged, but spending is expected to accelerate in the second half.
Guidance delta
2026 guidance was raised again, while capital-expenditure guidance remained unchanged at $2.7-$3.2 billion.
Key takeaways
- Management described record NGL throughput, stronger refined-product demand and continued volume growth across the platform.
- The company raised 2026 net income, EPS midpoint and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the second time this year.
- Growth projects and commercial activity advanced across Permian processing, refined products, LPG exports and power supply.
Management priorities
- Advance Permian, Powder River, Denver refined-products and Medford capacity projects.
- Secure and develop LPG export, power-generation and AI data-center customer opportunities.
- Maintain capital discipline while using an expanded cash-tax benefit runway.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 1, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jan 10, 2024 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 4, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 15, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Sep 23, 2021 |
| SMBC Nikko | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 3, 2020 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 3, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 30, 2020 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 9, 2020 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 3, 2020 |
| Tudor Pickering | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 8, 2019 |
| Mitsubishi UFJ | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 6, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 2, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 3, 2018 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 20, 2018 |
| U.S. Capital Advisors | Buy | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 4, 2018 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jul 5, 2017 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 18, 2017 |
| US Capital Advisors | Hold | Overweight | Downgrade | May 18, 2016 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 22, 2016 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 25, 2015 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 29, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $90.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $93 | $95.72 | +3.2% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Robert Kad | $112 | $97.42 | +24.3% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Gabe Daoud | $104 | $94.89 | +15.4% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $95.69 | +16.6% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Praneeth Satish | $106 | $95.69 | +17.7% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Holly Stewart | $95 | $96.01 | +5.5% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Manav Gupta | $108 | $94.76 | +19.9% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $96.79 | +16.6% | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $103 | $88.8 | +14.3% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $93.56 | -0.1% | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $93 | +5.5% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $90.67 | -2.3% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Gabe Daoud | $93 | $90.2 | +3.2% | May 4, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $90.47 | +2.1% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $89.32 | -1.2% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $89.32 | -0.1% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Barclays | Theresa Chan | $82 | $85.6 | -9.0% | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $87.33 | -1.2% | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Robert Kad | $104 | $79.47 | +15.4% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $103 | $75.59 | +14.3% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $74.27 | -11.2% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $73.61 | +1.0% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $76 | $75.85 | -15.6% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | John Mackay | $72 | $67 | -20.1% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Selman Akyol | $94 | $67.48 | +4.3% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Blum | $82 | $67.2 | -9.0% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $82 | $70.01 | -9.0% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Barclays | Theresa Chen | $78 | $72.38 | -13.4% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | John Mackay | $75 | $73.1 | -16.7% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $82 | $75.89 | -9.0% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $73.85 | +22.1% | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Barclays | Theresa Chen | $83 | $75.33 | -7.9% | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Holly Stewart | $92 | $81.58 | +2.1% | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Robert Kad | $133 | $102.38 | +47.6% | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $102 | $89.74 | +13.2% | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Bank of America Securities | Jean Ann Salisbury | $105 | $95.65 | +16.6% | Oct 17, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Elvira Scotto | $98 | $95.39 | +8.8% | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Robert Kad | $111 | $91.37 | +23.2% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| CFRA | Stewart Glickman | $97 | $92.07 | +7.7% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Spiro Dounis | $102 | $92.36 | +13.2% | Sep 3, 2024 |
| CFRA | Stewart Glickman | $90 | $83.06 | -0.1% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Neal Dingmann | $83 | $82.79 | -7.9% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Sunil Sibal | $89 | $82.2 | -1.2% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Sunil Sibal | $76 | $68.97 | -15.6% | Feb 8, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | $78 | $61.75 | -13.4% | Oct 2, 2023 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $64.7 | -19.0% | Dec 21, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $64.12 | -25.6% | Dec 9, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $74 | $57.7 | -17.9% | Jul 20, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $62 | $58.36 | -31.2% | Jul 20, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | Neal Dingmann | $78 | $63.31 | -13.4% | May 2, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $65.48 | -16.7% | Apr 28, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $66.3 | -10.1% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $73.02 | -16.7% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Chase Mulvehill | $66 | $60.46 | -26.7% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Robert Kad | $70 | $61.49 | -22.3% | Jan 7, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Timm Schneider | $62 | $59.7 | -31.2% | Jan 5, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Jeremy Tonet | $66 | $63.02 | -26.7% | Nov 23, 2021 |
| Raymond James | James Weston | $70 | $62.45 | -22.3% | Nov 4, 2021 |
| Bernstein | Jean Ann Salisbury | $66 | $55.76 | -26.7% | Sep 23, 2021 |
| Neuberger Berman | Mirek Zak | $57 | $53.19 | -36.7% | Jun 8, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationONEOK, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, functions as a leading energy infrastructure company within the United States. Its primary focus is the comprehensive management of natural gas, encompassing gathering, processing, storage, and transportation. These operations are structured into three distinct segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, Natural Gas Liquids (NGL), and Natural Gas Pipelines. The company owns an extensive system of natural gas gathering pipelines and processing plants, predominantly situated in the Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain regions. Furthermore, ONEOK manages both federally (FERC) and state-regulated interstate and intrastate natural gas transmission pipelines, alongside crucial natural gas storage facilities. A significant component of ONEOK's business is dedicated to Natural Gas Liquids. The company handles the entire NGL value chain, from collecting, treating, and fractionating to transporting, storing, marketing, and distributing these products.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T20:13:04.109744+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T00:01:02.782176+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T00:01:02.779452+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.