ONEOK, Inc. · OKE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

ONEOK Raises 2026 Outlook as NGL Volumes and Projects Advance

The current analysis supports a constructive view of ONEOK's operating trajectory: record NGL throughput, project progress and new commercial agreements accompanied a second 2026 guidance increase. The case still depends on spreads, contract durability and disciplined execution.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $57.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.53 Consensus $1.46
EPS surprise +4.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.05B Consensus $8.95B
Revenue surprise +34.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.2% Up to 20 sessions
OKESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management raised 2026 guidance again, highlighted the Denver expansion entering service, reported stronger commercial progress in LPG and power supply, and extended its estimated cash-tax runway. The capex range stayed unchanged, but spending is expected to accelerate in the second half.

Guidance delta

2026 guidance was raised again, while capital-expenditure guidance remained unchanged at $2.7-$3.2 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record NGL throughput, stronger refined-product demand and continued volume growth across the platform.
  • The company raised 2026 net income, EPS midpoint and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the second time this year.
  • Growth projects and commercial activity advanced across Permian processing, refined products, LPG exports and power supply.

Management priorities

  • Advance Permian, Powder River, Denver refined-products and Medford capacity projects.
  • Secure and develop LPG export, power-generation and AI data-center customer opportunities.
  • Maintain capital discipline while using an expanded cash-tax benefit runway.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
OKE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.16 Q1 '24 actual $1.09, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.21 Q2 '24 actual $1.33, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.23 Q3 '24 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.33 Q2 '25 actual $1.34, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.44 Q3 '25 actual $1.49, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.50 Q4 '25 actual $1.55, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.30 Q1 '26 actual $1.23, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.46 Q2 '26 actual $1.53, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.48 Q4 '26 estimate $1.53 Q1 '27 estimate $1.46
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1744.7%
Neutral2155.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$90.09Current
$57Low
$86.12Average
$112High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 11, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 9, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 1, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 1, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 8, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJan 22, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 24, 2025
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 29, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2025
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2024
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeJan 10, 2024
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 4, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 15, 2022
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeJan 14, 2022
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 23, 2021
SMBC Nikko Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 3, 2020
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 3, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 30, 2020
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeMar 9, 2020
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeMar 3, 2020
Tudor Pickering Buy BuyMaintainNov 8, 2019
Mitsubishi UFJ Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 6, 2019
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 2, 2018
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainMay 3, 2018
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 20, 2018
U.S. Capital Advisors Buy OverweightMaintainJan 4, 2018
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJul 5, 2017
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainApr 18, 2017
US Capital Advisors Hold OverweightDowngradeMay 18, 2016
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 22, 2016
Evercore ISI Group Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2015
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $90.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$93$95.72 +3.2%Sep 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyRobert Kad$112$97.42 +24.3%Sep 9, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$104$94.89 +15.4%Sep 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$105$95.69 +16.6%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoPraneeth Satish$106$95.69 +17.7%Sep 2, 2026
ScotiabankHolly Stewart$95$96.01 +5.5%Sep 1, 2026
UBSManav Gupta$108$94.76 +19.9%Aug 31, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$105$96.79 +16.6%Aug 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$103$88.8 +14.3%Jul 29, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$90$93.56 -0.1%Jul 21, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$95$93 +5.5%Jul 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$88$90.67 -2.3%Jul 8, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$93$90.2 +3.2%May 4, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$92$90.47 +2.1%Apr 30, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$89$89.32 -1.2%Apr 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$90$89.32 -0.1%Apr 30, 2026
BarclaysTheresa Chan$82$85.6 -9.0%Mar 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$89$87.33 -1.2%Feb 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyRobert Kad$104$79.47 +15.4%Jan 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$103$75.59 +14.3%Jan 22, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$80$74.27 -11.2%Jan 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$91$73.61 +1.0%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$76$75.85 -15.6%Jan 15, 2026
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$72$67 -20.1%Nov 3, 2025
Stifel NicolausSelman Akyol$94$67.48 +4.3%Oct 30, 2025
Wells FargoMichael Blum$82$67.2 -9.0%Oct 30, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$82$70.01 -9.0%Oct 24, 2025
BarclaysTheresa Chen$78$72.38 -13.4%Oct 9, 2025
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$75$73.1 -16.7%Sep 29, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$82$75.89 -9.0%Aug 29, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$110$73.85 +22.1%Aug 26, 2025
BarclaysTheresa Chen$83$75.33 -7.9%Aug 14, 2025
ScotiabankHolly Stewart$92$81.58 +2.1%Jul 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyRobert Kad$133$102.38 +47.6%Mar 25, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$102$89.74 +13.2%Mar 6, 2025
Bank of America SecuritiesJean Ann Salisbury$105$95.65 +16.6%Oct 17, 2024
RBC CapitalElvira Scotto$98$95.39 +8.8%Oct 16, 2024
Morgan StanleyRobert Kad$111$91.37 +23.2%Sep 16, 2024
CFRAStewart Glickman$97$92.07 +7.7%Sep 10, 2024
CitigroupSpiro Dounis$102$92.36 +13.2%Sep 3, 2024
CFRAStewart Glickman$90$83.06 -0.1%Aug 7, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$83$82.79 -7.9%Jul 30, 2024
Seaport GlobalSunil Sibal$89$82.2 -1.2%Jul 30, 2024
Seaport GlobalSunil Sibal$76$68.97 -15.6%Feb 8, 2024
ScotiabankSector Outperform$78$61.75 -13.4%Oct 2, 2023
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$73$64.7 -19.0%Dec 21, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$67$64.12 -25.6%Dec 9, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$74$57.7 -17.9%Jul 20, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$62$58.36 -31.2%Jul 20, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$78$63.31 -13.4%May 2, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$75$65.48 -16.7%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$81$66.3 -10.1%Apr 26, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$75$73.02 -16.7%Apr 20, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesChase Mulvehill$66$60.46 -26.7%Jan 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyRobert Kad$70$61.49 -22.3%Jan 7, 2022
CitigroupTimm Schneider$62$59.7 -31.2%Jan 5, 2022
J.P. MorganJeremy Tonet$66$63.02 -26.7%Nov 23, 2021
Raymond JamesJames Weston$70$62.45 -22.3%Nov 4, 2021
BernsteinJean Ann Salisbury$66$55.76 -26.7%Sep 23, 2021
Neuberger BermanMirek Zak$57$53.19 -36.7%Jun 8, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

ONEOK, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, functions as a leading energy infrastructure company within the United States. Its primary focus is the comprehensive management of natural gas, encompassing gathering, processing, storage, and transportation. These operations are structured into three distinct segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, Natural Gas Liquids (NGL), and Natural Gas Pipelines. The company owns an extensive system of natural gas gathering pipelines and processing plants, predominantly situated in the Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain regions. Furthermore, ONEOK manages both federally (FERC) and state-regulated interstate and intrastate natural gas transmission pipelines, alongside crucial natural gas storage facilities. A significant component of ONEOK's business is dedicated to Natural Gas Liquids. The company handles the entire NGL value chain, from collecting, treating, and fractionating to transporting, storing, marketing, and distributing these products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T20:13:04.109744+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T00:01:02.782176+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T00:01:02.779452+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.