Nextpower Inc. · NXT · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Nextpower raises FY2026 outlook as backlog tops $5 billion

The supplied call analysis supports a constructive operating picture: revenue growth, a backlog above $5 billion and a raised FY2026 outlook point to demand and execution momentum. Durability depends on margin resilience amid tariffs and policy exposure, and on converting backlog while scaling the Saudi JV and new products.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $12.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.10 Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise +18.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $909.4M Consensus $815.3M
Revenue surprise +11.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +13.3% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +13.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.9% Up to 20 sessions
NXTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the FY2026 Q2 analysis, current-quarter analysis reports revenue growth of 34% year over year and higher FY2026 revenue guidance of $3.425–$3.5 billion; adjusted EBITDA outlook is $810–$830 million. It also highlights an investment-grade credit rating and a 2.25 GW Nextpower Arabia supply plan.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $3.425–$3.5 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $810–$830 million, from prior-quarter ranges of $3.275–$3.475 billion and $775–$815 million, respectively.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue increased 34% year over year to $909 million, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Backlog exceeded $5 billion, providing a significant base of planned work.
  • FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance were raised.
  • Management cited an investment-grade credit rating and plans for Nextpower Arabia to supply 2.25 GW of trackers.

Management priorities

  • Ramp production at the Jeddah factory and expand Saudi joint-venture capacity.
  • Broaden the non-tracker product suite, including eBOS, TrueCapture and Earth Truss.
  • Run power-conversion pilot projects during calendar 2026.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions and execute the stated share-repurchase program.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NXT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.49 Q3 '24 actual $0.96, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.65 Q4 '24 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.65 Q1 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.61 Q2 '25 actual $0.97, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.03 Q1 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.06 Q2 '26 actual $1.19, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.93 Q3 '26 actual $1.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.92 Q4 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.05 Q1 '27 actual $1.20, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.11 Q3 '27 estimate $1.01 Q4 '27 estimate $1.29 Q1 '28 estimate $1.33
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish2689.7%
Neutral310.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$79.33Current
$40Low
$119.42Average
$179High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 29, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $79.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$145$83.4 +82.8%Oct 29, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$140$82.08 +76.5%Oct 29, 2026
Northland SecuritiesGus Richard$138$82.08 +74.0%Oct 29, 2026
NeedhamSean Milligan$143$82.08 +80.3%Oct 29, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$114$81.48 +43.7%Oct 21, 2026
See 95 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nextpower, Inc. engages in the provision of integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. Its products enable solar panels in utility-scale power plants to follow the sun's movement across the sky and optimize plant performance. The company was founded by Daniel S. Shugar, Alexander Au, Nicholas Miller, Michael Mehavich, Marco Garcia, and Tyroan Hardy in 2013 and is headquartered in Fremont, CA.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T05:50:49.906020+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T05:50:49.903324+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.