NXP Semiconductors N.V. · NXPI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

NXP’s Q2 growth broadened across SDV, industrial AI, and data center

The Q2 update supports the view that NXP’s growth is broadening beyond its automotive base: SDV content, industrial and edge AI, and data-center control-plane demand all contributed to the outlook. The thesis remains dependent on physical-AI adoption, automotive inventory normalization, supply execution, and the conversion of pipeline opportunities into revenue.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $59.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.61 Consensus $3.52
EPS surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.50B Consensus $3.47B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.0% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -5.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.4% Up to 20 sessions
NXPISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, reported growth accelerated to 19% year over year in Q2 from 12% year over year in the prior-quarter summary. The current analysis also adds a physical-AI pipeline above $1.5 billion, more than 200 customers, AI-enabled processors at about 15% of industrial and IoT processor revenue, and raised Q3 guidance.

Guidance delta

Management raised Q3 guidance to $3.75 billion of revenue, with operating margin near 37%.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue reached $3.5 billion, up 19% year over year, with a 35% non-GAAP operating margin.
  • Automotive software-defined-vehicle content grew 12% year over year, or 17% excluding MEMS, and represented about 47% of automotive revenue.
  • Industrial and IoT revenue increased 38% year over year, supported by i.MX, RT, and MCX processors and AI-enabled products.
  • Management cited a physical-AI pipeline above $1.5 billion and data-center exposure expected to exceed $500 million in 2026.
  • The next evidence points are execution on SDV and Kinara integration, physical-AI conversion, and supply and inventory conditions.

Management priorities

  • Ramp 5-nm S32N and 16-nm S32K5 processors for next-generation software-defined vehicles.
  • Integrate Kinara technology into i.MX and S32 platforms.
  • Accelerate the Layerscape data-center control-plane roadmap.
  • Continue investment in VSMC and ESMC joint ventures.
  • Expand the EiQ software environment and agentic AI framework.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NXPI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.19 Q1 '24 actual $3.24, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.21 Q2 '24 actual $3.20, match Q3 '24 estimate $3.43 Q3 '24 actual $3.45, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.68 Q2 '25 actual $2.72, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.12 Q3 '25 actual $3.11, match Q4 '25 estimate $3.31 Q4 '25 actual $3.35, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.98 Q1 '26 actual $3.05, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.52 Q2 '26 actual $3.61, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.03 Q4 '26 estimate $4.25
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3068.2%
Neutral1227.3%
Bearish24.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$235.44Current
$150Low
$254.53Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Mizuho Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJun 23, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 5, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 29, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 29, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 29, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 29, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeFeb 12, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 10, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2024
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 26, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 1, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 1, 2023
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 1, 2023
Piper Sandler Neutral OverweightDowngradeJan 20, 2022
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainFeb 3, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainFeb 10, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainDec 10, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold SellUpgradeJun 5, 2019
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 9, 2019
Nomura Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 18, 2019
Drexel Hamilton Buy HoldUpgradeMay 3, 2018
Pacific Crest Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeNov 1, 2016
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeOct 27, 2016
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeOct 27, 2016
Summit Redstone Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2016
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainMar 3, 2015
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 12, 2014
ISI Group Buy Strong BuyDowngradeApr 10, 2014
Topeka Buy BuyMaintainJun 6, 2013
Blaylock Robert Van Buy BuyMaintainDec 21, 2012
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $235.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$229.16 +14.7%Aug 3, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$282$240.58 +19.8%Jul 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$190$259.12 -19.3%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$290$259.12 +23.2%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$338$259.12 +43.6%Jul 29, 2026
OppenheimerRichard Schafer$325$270.96 +38.0%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$290$266.53 +23.2%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$295$230.39 +25.3%Apr 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$235$216.03 -0.2%Apr 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$188$213.73 -20.1%Apr 16, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$255$220.66 +8.3%Feb 4, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$240$220.66 +1.9%Feb 4, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$255$214.79 +8.3%Feb 3, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$255$241.07 +8.3%Jan 15, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$220$211.54 -6.6%Oct 29, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$215$219.11 -8.7%Oct 28, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$210$214.24 -10.8%Oct 28, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldMatthew Prisco$280$212.89 +18.9%Oct 28, 2025
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$276$233.19 +17.2%Jul 10, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$229$171.5 -2.7%Apr 21, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsGary Mobley$300$227.04 +27.4%Nov 11, 2024
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$235$224.65 -0.2%Nov 5, 2024
Wolfe ResearchChris Caso$290$224.65 +23.2%Nov 5, 2024
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$231$224.65 -1.9%Nov 5, 2024
JefferiesBlayne Curtis$300$224.65 +27.4%Nov 5, 2024
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$285$224.65 +21.0%Nov 5, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$290$232.28 +23.2%Oct 18, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$320$253.62 +35.9%Jul 26, 2024
Cantor FitzgeraldC J Muse$350$262.3 +48.7%Jul 23, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$330$276.29 +40.2%Jul 18, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$325$272.72 +38.0%May 23, 2024
JefferiesBlayne Curtis$325$261.73 +38.0%May 13, 2024
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$300$249.16 +27.4%May 1, 2024
NeedhamRajvindra Gill$280$249.3 +18.9%May 1, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$265$249.54 +12.6%May 1, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$280$256.19 +18.9%May 1, 2024
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$240$256.19 +1.9%Apr 30, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$370$256.19 +57.2%Apr 30, 2024
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$300$256.19 +27.4%Apr 30, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$300$230.11 +27.4%Apr 15, 2024
Wolfe ResearchChris Caso$255$205.48 +8.3%Jan 17, 2024
BarclaysBlayne Curtis$260$208.99 +10.4%Jan 16, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$210$183.35 -10.8%Nov 8, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$225$186.3 -4.4%Nov 7, 2023
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$250$182.3 +6.2%Nov 6, 2023
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$217$219.89 -7.8%Jul 25, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$177$189.52 -24.8%Feb 1, 2023
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$170$185.46 -27.8%Feb 1, 2023
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$210$184.26 -10.8%Feb 1, 2023
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$210$184.31 -10.8%Feb 1, 2023
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$184.31 -23.5%Feb 1, 2023
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$235$184.31 -0.2%Feb 1, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$180$184.31 -23.5%Feb 1, 2023
OppenheimerRick Schafer$205$184.31 -12.9%Jan 31, 2023
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$175$184.31 -25.7%Jan 31, 2023
UBSAnalyst unavailable$167$160.97 -29.1%Jan 10, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$195$174.81 -17.2%Nov 16, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$200$151.56 -15.1%Nov 1, 2022
KGI SecuritiesChristine Wang$155$141.27 -34.2%Oct 18, 2022
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$195$183.88 -17.2%Jul 30, 2022
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$150$178.98 -36.3%Jul 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$183$179.36 -22.3%Jul 27, 2022
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$225$174.46 -4.4%Jul 27, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$215$174.46 -8.7%Jul 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$180$178.96 -23.5%Jun 10, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$194$176.61 -17.6%May 4, 2022
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$200$176.52 -15.1%May 4, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$160$177.9 -32.0%May 4, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$188$173.3 -20.1%May 2, 2022
BarclaysBlayne Curtis$220$177.25 -6.6%Apr 29, 2022
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$225$170.75 -4.4%Apr 25, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$190$177.86 -19.3%Apr 19, 2022
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$211$165.52 -10.4%Apr 11, 2022
Cowen & Co.Matthew Ramsay$275$198.12 +16.8%Feb 6, 2022
Evercore ISIC J Muse$260$207.21 +10.4%Feb 1, 2022
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$225$207.21 -4.4%Feb 1, 2022
JefferiesMark Lipacis$278$207.21 +18.1%Feb 1, 2022
Raymond JamesChris Caso$260$207.21 +10.4%Feb 1, 2022
OppenheimerRick Schafer$235$187.07 -0.2%Jan 27, 2022
Piper SandlerHarsh Kumar$210$198.66 -10.8%Jan 20, 2022
BarclaysBlayne Curtis$250$217.42 +6.2%Jan 18, 2022
Wells FargoGary Mobley$265$220.81 +12.6%Jan 13, 2022
UBSFrancois Xavier Bouvignies$170$237.17 -27.8%Dec 7, 2021
KeyBancJohn Vinh$255$216.24 +8.3%Nov 12, 2021
Credit SuisseJohn Pitzer$250$214.21 +6.2%Nov 3, 2021
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$245$214.21 +4.1%Nov 3, 2021
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$230$204.69 -2.3%Sep 28, 2021
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$260$210.89 +10.4%Sep 3, 2021
CitigroupChristopher Danely$240$208.45 +1.9%Aug 3, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field communication (NFC), ultra-wideband (UWB), Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), Zigbee, and integrated Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth Systems-on-Chip (SoCs). Furthermore, its offerings extend to analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, and robust security controllers.…

Historical context

All NXPI earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T16:06:31.320169+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T21:30:53.922978+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T21:30:53.919877+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.