NXP Semiconductors N.V. · NXPI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

NXP’s Q2 growth broadened across SDV, industrial AI, and data center

The Q2 update supports the view that NXP’s growth is broadening beyond its automotive base: SDV content, industrial and edge AI, and data-center control-plane demand all contributed to the outlook. The thesis remains dependent on physical-AI adoption, automotive inventory normalization, supply execution, and the conversion of pipeline opportunities into revenue.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $59.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.61 Consensus $3.52
EPS surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.50B Consensus $3.47B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.0% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -5.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.4% Up to 20 sessions
NXPISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, reported growth accelerated to 19% year over year in Q2 from 12% year over year in the prior-quarter summary. The current analysis also adds a physical-AI pipeline above $1.5 billion, more than 200 customers, AI-enabled processors at about 15% of industrial and IoT processor revenue, and raised Q3 guidance.

Guidance delta

Management raised Q3 guidance to $3.75 billion of revenue, with operating margin near 37%.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue reached $3.5 billion, up 19% year over year, with a 35% non-GAAP operating margin.
  • Automotive software-defined-vehicle content grew 12% year over year, or 17% excluding MEMS, and represented about 47% of automotive revenue.
  • Industrial and IoT revenue increased 38% year over year, supported by i.MX, RT, and MCX processors and AI-enabled products.
  • Management cited a physical-AI pipeline above $1.5 billion and data-center exposure expected to exceed $500 million in 2026.
  • The next evidence points are execution on SDV and Kinara integration, physical-AI conversion, and supply and inventory conditions.

Management priorities

  • Ramp 5-nm S32N and 16-nm S32K5 processors for next-generation software-defined vehicles.
  • Integrate Kinara technology into i.MX and S32 platforms.
  • Accelerate the Layerscape data-center control-plane roadmap.
  • Continue investment in VSMC and ESMC joint ventures.
  • Expand the EiQ software environment and agentic AI framework.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NXPI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.64 Q4 '23 actual $3.71, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3.19 Q1 '24 actual $3.24, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.21 Q2 '24 actual $3.20, match Q3 '24 estimate $3.43 Q3 '24 actual $3.45, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.68 Q2 '25 actual $2.72, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.12 Q3 '25 actual $3.11, match Q4 '25 estimate $3.31 Q4 '25 actual $3.35, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.98 Q1 '26 actual $3.05, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.52 Q2 '26 actual $3.61, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.03 Q4 '26 estimate $4.25
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3068.2%
Neutral1227.3%
Bearish24.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$235.44Current
$150Low
$254.53Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $235.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$229.16 +14.7%Aug 3, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$282$240.58 +19.8%Jul 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$190$259.12 -19.3%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$290$259.12 +23.2%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$338$259.12 +43.6%Jul 29, 2026
See 84 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field communication (NFC), ultra-wideband (UWB), Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), Zigbee, and integrated Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth Systems-on-Chip (SoCs). Furthermore, its offerings extend to analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, and robust security controllers.…

Historical context

All NXPI earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T16:06:31.320169+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T21:30:53.922978+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T21:30:53.919877+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.