Novartis AG · NVS · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Novartis Q2 FY2025: Priority brands and guidance upgrade support growth

Novartis’s raised FY2025 outlook and momentum in priority brands support the growth case presented in this call. The durability of that trajectory depends on pipeline execution and the company’s ability to manage pricing pressure, generic competition and regulatory uncertainty.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $303.67B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.42 Consensus $2.38
EPS surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $14.28B Consensus $13.94B
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.3% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.6% Up to 20 sessions
NVSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported continued sales and core operating-income growth and raised its full-year 2025 outlook. The call also highlighted a new share-buyback program and progress across the Pluvicto, Leqvio and YTB CAR-T programs.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2025 outlook was raised, with management citing business momentum. The supplied analysis does not specify the guidance ranges.

Key takeaways

  • Kisqali, Kesimpta, Pluvicto, Leqvio and Scemblix were identified as key growth contributors.
  • Pluvicto’s earlier-line expansion, Leqvio adoption and pipeline milestones are central to the company’s growth plans.
  • Management described pricing headwinds and generic-entry exposure as issues it is actively managing.

Management priorities

  • Expand priority brands and pursue broader use of Pluvicto.
  • Advance pipeline and evidence programs, including Leqvio and YTB CAR-T.
  • Balance investment and capital returns while managing pricing and generic risks.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NVS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.89 Q2 '24 actual $1.97, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.94 Q3 '24 actual $2.06, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.38 Q2 '25 actual $2.42, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.25, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.99 Q4 '25 actual $2.03, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.11 Q1 '26 actual $1.99, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2.17 Q2 '26 actual $2.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.25 Q3 '26 actual $2.46, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.24 Q1 '27 estimate $2.30 Q2 '27 estimate $2.61 Q3 '27 estimate $2.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish624.0%
Neutral1768.0%
Bearish28.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$160.79Current
$120Low
$134.83Average
$163High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Deutsche Bank Sell HoldDowngradeOct 30, 2026
HSBC Hold ReduceUpgradeSep 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 26, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeJan 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeDec 8, 2025
Goldman Sachs Sell NeutralDowngradeSep 12, 2025
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 13, 2025
Erste Group Hold BuyDowngradeNov 19, 2024
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 30, 2024
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 11, 2024
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeSep 3, 2024
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 9, 2022
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 6, 2021
Bryan Garnier Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 3, 2021
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeMar 10, 2021
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 1, 2021
Guggenheim Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2020
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2020
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 11, 2018
Bank of America Buy UnderperformUpgradeSep 10, 2018
Credit Suisse Neutral UnderperformUpgradeMay 25, 2018
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
Leerink Swann Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 25, 2018
Natixis Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 4, 2015
Hamburger Sparkasse Hold BuyDowngradeJan 16, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $160.79. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyThibault Boutherin$163$156.86 +1.4%Oct 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyThibault Boutherin$156$140.85 -3.0%Oct 6, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$136$137.48 -15.4%Sep 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyThibault Boutherin$170$149.7 +5.7%Mar 26, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$112$131.01 -30.3%Dec 10, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$143$132.28 -11.1%Dec 3, 2025
CFRAWan Nurhayati$126$123.33 -21.6%Oct 29, 2025
BMO CapitalEtzer Darout$120$109.91 -25.4%Oct 30, 2024
Goldman SachsJames Quigley$121$119.38 -24.7%Sep 5, 2024
BMO CapitalEtzer Darout$118$106.13 -26.6%Jul 19, 2024
CFRAWan Nurhayati$108$97.27 -32.8%Apr 23, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the business of developing, manufacturing, and marketing healthcare products. Its product portfolio is heavily focused on innovative prescription medicines, especially oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and cardiovascular diseases, supplemented by established older brands and a wide range of specialized therapies. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

Historical context

All NVS earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T21:00:51.589794+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T21:00:51.587063+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.