Novo Nordisk A/S · NVO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Novo Nordisk Raises 2026 Outlook as Wegovy Oral Drives Momentum

The supplied analysis supports a qualified growth case: management's raised 2026 outlook and strong Wegovy oral uptake point to commercial momentum, but pricing and competitive pressures and a negative cardiovascular-trial result temper the picture.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $185.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.96 Consensus $0.82
EPS surprise +17.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.13B Consensus $10.89B
Revenue surprise +11.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.6% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.0% Up to 20 sessions
NVOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q2 adjusted sales grew 7% at constant exchange rates, and management raised full-year guidance to 0%–6% sales growth. The analysis highlights strong Wegovy oral uptake, including early international traction, alongside the ZEUS trial's failure to show a cardiovascular benefit for ziltivekimab.

Guidance delta

Raised full-year 2026 sales-growth guidance to 0%–6%, as reported in the supplied transcript analysis. The prior-quarter analysis also described guidance as raised, but provided no comparable range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 adjusted sales increased 7% at constant exchange rates, driven by GLP-1 volume growth, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Management raised full-year sales-growth guidance to 0%–6%.
  • Wegovy oral uptake and planned higher-dose formulations are central commercial growth drivers.
  • The ZEUS cardiovascular outcome trial did not demonstrate a MACE benefit for ziltivekimab; other pipeline programs remain in development.

Management priorities

  • Expand obesity-product access and launches, including Wegovy oral and higher-dose formulations.
  • Continue investment in R&D and advance late-stage pipeline programs.
  • Address supply, pricing and market-access dynamics across geographies.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NVO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.71 Q2 '24 actual $0.65, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.91 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.93 Q2 '25 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.77 Q3 '25 actual $1.02, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.90 Q4 '25 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.87 Q1 '26 actual $1.04, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.82 Q2 '26 actual $0.96, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.73 Q3 '26 actual $0.89, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.42 Q1 '27 estimate $6.38 Q2 '27 estimate $5.76 Q3 '27 estimate $5.49
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy39 ratings
Bullish2359.0%
Neutral1333.3%
Bearish37.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$42.18Current
$40Low
$87.18Average
$160High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight Equal WeightDowngradeSep 11, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 2, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeFeb 24, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeDec 8, 2025
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeNov 24, 2025
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeSep 17, 2025
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2025
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 5, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 30, 2025
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 6, 2024
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2024
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainMar 28, 2023
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 31, 2022
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeMar 16, 2022
Liberum Sell HoldDowngradeJan 25, 2022
JMP Securities Outperform Market OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2020
KeyBanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2020
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 30, 2020
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 22, 2020
Credit Suisse Outperform NeutralUpgradeJun 15, 2020
Ladenburg Thalmann Buy BuyMaintainJan 6, 2020
Guggenheim Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 3, 2020
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 13, 2019
Jefferies Underperform HoldDowngradeAug 30, 2019
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2019
Exane BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 29, 2019
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 23, 2016
Oddo Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 26, 2016
Jyske Bank Strong Buy BuyUpgradeOct 19, 2015
Leerink Swann Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 28, 2015
Commerzbank Hold BuyDowngradeJan 28, 2015
Swedbank Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 31, 2014
Helvea-Baader Buy AccumulateMaintainJun 24, 2013
Baader Helvea Buy AccumulateMaintainJun 24, 2013
Handelsbanken Buy AccumulateMaintainJun 11, 2013
Natixis Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 24, 2013
Nomura Buy NeutralUpgradeFeb 12, 2013
Kepler Cheuvreux Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 11, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $42.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$40$38.45 -5.2%Oct 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyThibault Boutherin$40$44.01 -5.2%Sep 11, 2026
Berenberg BankKerry Holford$47$47.17 +11.4%Aug 12, 2026
BMO CapitalEvan Seigerman$47$44.5 +11.4%Aug 6, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$45$47.19 +6.7%Feb 5, 2026
BMO CapitalEvan Seigerman$57$63.8 +35.1%Jan 26, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$54$46.36 +28.0%Dec 10, 2025
Morgan StanleyThibault Boutherin$42$47.43 -0.4%Dec 3, 2025
BMO CapitalEvan Seigerman$46$44.97 +9.1%Nov 25, 2025
BMO CapitalEvan Seigerman$55$57.5 +30.4%Oct 14, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$70$59.17 +66.0%Oct 1, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$47$55.61 +11.4%Sep 29, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$57$48.88 +35.1%Jul 31, 2025
Truist FinancialJailendra Singh$48$70.03 +13.8%Jul 23, 2025
BMO CapitalEvan Seigerman$156$118.58 +269.8%Oct 17, 2024
Cantor FitzgeraldLouise Chen$160$135.23 +279.3%Sep 11, 2024
BMO CapitalEvan David Seigerman$160$126.17 +279.3%Aug 8, 2024
Argus ResearchJasper Hellweg$160$142.88 +279.3%Jun 10, 2024
Goldman SachsJames Quigley$156$132.68 +269.8%May 30, 2024
BMO CapitalEvan David Seigerman$163$125.4 +286.4%Apr 12, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Novo Nordisk A/S is a global pharmaceutical firm dedicated to the investigation, creation, manufacturing, and distribution of medicinal products across a vast international footprint. Its market presence extends throughout Europe, the Middle East, Africa, various parts of Asia (including Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan), and North America. The company's operations are structured into two principal business units: Diabetes and Obesity Care, and Rare Disease. The Diabetes and Obesity Care division delivers therapies for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular ailments, and other emerging therapeutic areas.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-04T10:06:41.854224+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-05T02:50:46.380830+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-05T02:50:46.378026+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.