CVS Health Corp. · CVS · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

CVS raises 2026 outlook and plans a two-company separation

CVS’s higher outlook and reported operating progress support its near-term earnings trajectory, while the planned separation and 340B and Medicare trends make execution and earnings durability central questions.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $116.91B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.65
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $104.69B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -12.5% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -14.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
CVSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management announced plans to separate CVS into CVS Health, focused on health solutions, and CVS Pharmacy, focused on retail pharmacy, with completion targeted for the first half of 2028. It also raised its 2026 outlook, said leverage targets were achieved ahead of schedule, and said share repurchases would resume in Q4.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $8.20 and cash flow guidance to at least $15.5 billion. It set a 2027 EPS outlook of $8.65, reflecting expected 13% growth and continued Medicare Advantage margin improvement.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted operating income was $4.2 billion and adjusted EPS was $2.09, with EPS up more than 30% year over year, according to the supplied transcript analysis.
  • The separation plan would create two independent public companies; completion is targeted for H1 2028.
  • Management cited Medicare Advantage margin improvement, prescription volume growth, specialty pharmacy demand and AI-enabled workflows as operating priorities.
  • The transcript analysis identifies 340B decline and health-plan membership attrition as headwinds to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Complete the planned separation by H1 2028.
  • Continue the Medicare Advantage margin-improvement program through 2027.
  • Grow specialty pharmacy services and use PBM capabilities.
  • Expand the Health 100 AI consumer-engagement platform and AI-enabled workflows.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CVS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.73 Q2 '24 actual $1.83, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.44 Q3 '24 actual $1.09, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.46 Q2 '25 actual $1.81, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.37 Q3 '25 actual $1.60, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.00 Q4 '25 actual $1.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.18 Q1 '26 actual $2.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.87 Q2 '26 actual $2.58, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.65 Q3 '26 actual $2.09, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.33 Q1 '27 estimate $2.77
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish3585.4%
Neutral614.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$79.96Current
$66Low
$107.16Average
$126High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $79.96. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$112$86.16 +40.1%Oct 12, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$112$93.04 +40.1%Sep 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$118$97.23 +47.6%Sep 3, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$114$95.58 +42.6%Aug 19, 2026
Robert W. BairdMichael Ha$107$96.96 +33.8%Aug 6, 2026
See 87 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CVS Health Corp. is a health solutions company, which engages in the provision of healthcare services. It operates through the following segments: Health Care Benefits, Health Services, Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness, and Corporate and Other. The Health Care Benefits segment operates as a health care benefits provider. The Health Services segment offers a full range of PBM solutions, delivers health care services in its medical clinics, virtually, and in the home. The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment dispenses prescriptions in its retail pharmacies and through its infusion operations. The Corporate and Other Segment is involved in management and administrative expenses. The company was founded by Stanley P. Goldstein and Ralph Hoagland in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, RI.

Historical context

All CVS earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-04T17:10:33.364203+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-04T01:23:13.345574+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-05T00:30:49.942297+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-05T00:30:49.939591+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.