Nutanix, Inc. · NTNX · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Nutanix raises FY27 outlook as AI, NC2 and storage expand

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Nutanix's growth trajectory is strengthened by external storage, NC2, and Agentic AI, while supply constraints, renewal trends, and execution determine whether the raised FY27 outlook is sustained.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $18.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.60 Consensus $0.49
EPS surprise +22.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $757.1M Consensus $738.3M
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.1% Up to 20 sessions
NTNXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Nutanix moved from a raised FY26 outlook to raised FY27 guidance, with greater emphasis on Agentic AI, broader external-storage support, NC2 expansion, and a workforce reduction intended to fund priority investments.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY27 guidance to $3.18-$3.23 billion of revenue, 24%-25% operating margin, and $850-$950 million of free cash flow.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue was $757 million, while ARR reached $2.55 billion and free-cash-flow margin was 37%, according to the supplied analysis.
  • External-storage integrations, NC2 public-cloud deployments, and Agentic AI were identified as key growth areas.
  • Management plans to reinvest through AI, cloud-native, sales, digital-sovereignty, and partnership initiatives while reducing headcount by about 5%.

Management priorities

  • Broaden external-storage support and increase ACV from large deals.
  • Scale Agentic AI, including Agent Gateway and governance capabilities.
  • Accelerate NC2 deployments across public clouds and neocloud providers.
  • Invest in sales, digital sovereignty, AI/cloud-native products, and partner ecosystems.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NTNX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.29 Q2 '24 actual $0.46, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.28, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.20 Q4 '24 actual $0.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.33 Q4 '25 actual $0.37, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.41 Q1 '26 actual $0.41, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.36 Q3 '26 actual $0.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.49 Q4 '26 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.63 Q3 '27 estimate $0.52 Q4 '27 estimate $0.58
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish1961.3%
Neutral1238.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$69.8Previous close
$30Low
$67.75Average
$94High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 28, 2026
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMar 23, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainFeb 9, 2026
Northland Capital Markets Market Perform Market PerformMaintainNov 26, 2025
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainMay 29, 2025
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 20, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainFeb 5, 2024
OTR Global Mixed PositiveDowngradeMay 18, 2023
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeAug 28, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainFeb 27, 2020
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainFeb 27, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainNov 26, 2019
Piper Jaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2019
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeMar 11, 2019
Maxim Group Buy BuyMaintainMar 14, 2018
BTIG Research Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 9, 2018
BTIG Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 9, 2018
Pacific Crest Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 30, 2016
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 25, 2016
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 25, 2016
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $69.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Northland SecuritiesNehal Chokshi$70$70.71 +0.3%Aug 27, 2026
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$90$70.49 +28.9%Aug 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$85$70.15 +21.8%Aug 27, 2026
NeedhamMike Cikos$85$65.39 +21.8%Aug 27, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$75$65.39 +7.4%Aug 27, 2026
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$65$65.39 -6.9%Aug 27, 2026
UBSRadi Sultan$80$66.68 +14.6%Aug 25, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$75$67.64 +7.4%Aug 24, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$66.2 +14.6%Aug 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$84$67.95 +20.3%Aug 14, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$47$47.53 -32.7%May 28, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$60$47.52 -14.0%May 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$62$48.06 -11.2%May 28, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$58$46.57 -16.9%May 28, 2026
NeedhamMike Cikos$60$46.57 -14.0%May 28, 2026
Morgan StanleySanjit Singh$55$46.57 -21.2%May 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$55$46.57 -21.2%May 28, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$43$39.41 -38.4%Apr 8, 2026
NeedhamMike Cikos$55$38.44 -21.2%Feb 26, 2026
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$50$38.44 -28.4%Feb 26, 2026
Morgan StanleySanjit Singh$56$37.38 -19.8%Feb 24, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$55$41.88 -21.2%Feb 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$57$41.3 -18.3%Feb 9, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$60$40.26 -14.0%Feb 9, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$53$51.44 -24.1%Jan 15, 2026
Morgan StanleySanjit Singh$62$53.51 -11.2%Jan 12, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$65$50.6 -6.9%Jan 5, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$53$58.77 -24.1%Nov 26, 2025
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$82$58.77 +17.5%Nov 26, 2025
NeedhamMike Cikos$65$48.98 -6.9%Nov 26, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$72$58.77 +3.2%Nov 26, 2025
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$65$58.77 -6.9%Nov 26, 2025
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$57$58.77 -18.3%Nov 26, 2025
BarclaysTim Long$64$58.77 -8.3%Nov 26, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$90$65.91 +28.9%Nov 17, 2025
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$76$71.15 +8.9%Oct 9, 2025
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$71$64.36 +1.7%Aug 28, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$94$68.05 +34.7%Feb 27, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$83$68.05 +18.9%Feb 27, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$83$67.27 +18.9%Nov 27, 2024
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$72$64.12 +3.2%Oct 28, 2024
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$85$62.56 +21.8%Aug 29, 2024
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$71$52.29 +1.7%Aug 29, 2024
BarclaysGeorge Wang$75$52.29 +7.4%Aug 29, 2024
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$76$60.05 +8.9%May 30, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$76$59.96 +8.9%May 30, 2024
Northland SecuritiesNehal Chokshi$71$73.29 +1.7%May 30, 2024
NeedhamMike Cikos$80$73.29 +14.6%May 30, 2024
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$80$73.29 +14.6%May 30, 2024
KeyBancThomas Blakey$79$59.62 +13.2%May 30, 2024
BarclaysGeorge Wang$81$71.45 +16.0%May 23, 2024
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$72$66.21 +3.2%May 8, 2024
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$63$62.22 -9.7%Mar 27, 2024
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$33$26.65 -52.7%Mar 7, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$30$32.76 -57.0%Dec 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$26$29.71 -62.8%Dec 1, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$32$28.26 -54.2%Dec 1, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$31$28.66 -55.6%Nov 28, 2022
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$24$22.44 -65.6%Sep 1, 2022
BarclaysTim Long$22$18.14 -68.5%Aug 29, 2022
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$18$15.8 -74.2%May 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$31$26.01 -55.6%Apr 16, 2022
JMP SecuritiesErik Suppiger$48$34.23 -31.2%Oct 27, 2021
OppenheimerIttai Kidron$44$40.4 -37.0%Sep 2, 2021
Piper SandlerJames Fish$47$40.4 -32.7%Sep 2, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesWamsi Mohan$54$36.95 -22.6%Sep 1, 2021
Goldman SachsRod Hall$39$39.6 -44.1%Jun 24, 2021
Show less

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific region, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa, Nutanix, Inc. delivers an enterprise cloud platform. Its foundational Acropolis platform integrates virtualization, enterprise-grade storage, and comprehensive networking visualization and security capabilities. This includes the Acropolis Hypervisor, a robust virtualization solution. For cloud-native deployments, Nutanix Karbon automates the provisioning, operation, and lifecycle management of Kubernetes clusters, complemented by the Nutanix Clusters solution. Management tools include Prism Pro, Nutanix Beam for cloud governance, and Nutanix Calm, an application marketplace offering automation to streamline application lifecycle management and enable potent hybrid cloud orchestration.…

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T13:21:25.149732+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T07:00:53.820335+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T07:00:53.817470+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.