Nutanix, Inc. · NTNX · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026
Nutanix raises FY27 outlook as AI, NC2 and storage expand
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Nutanix's growth trajectory is strengthened by external storage, NC2, and Agentic AI, while supply constraints, renewal trends, and execution determine whether the raised FY27 outlook is sustained.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, Nutanix moved from a raised FY26 outlook to raised FY27 guidance, with greater emphasis on Agentic AI, broader external-storage support, NC2 expansion, and a workforce reduction intended to fund priority investments.
Guidance delta
Management raised FY27 guidance to $3.18-$3.23 billion of revenue, 24%-25% operating margin, and $850-$950 million of free cash flow.
Key takeaways
- Q4 revenue was $757 million, while ARR reached $2.55 billion and free-cash-flow margin was 37%, according to the supplied analysis.
- External-storage integrations, NC2 public-cloud deployments, and Agentic AI were identified as key growth areas.
- Management plans to reinvest through AI, cloud-native, sales, digital-sovereignty, and partnership initiatives while reducing headcount by about 5%.
Management priorities
- Broaden external-storage support and increase ACV from large deals.
- Scale Agentic AI, including Agent Gateway and governance capabilities.
- Accelerate NC2 deployments across public clouds and neocloud providers.
- Invest in sales, digital sovereignty, AI/cloud-native products, and partner ecosystems.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 28, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Rosenblatt | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 25, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Northland Capital Markets | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | May 29, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | May 20, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Feb 5, 2024 |
| OTR Global | Mixed | Positive | Downgrade | May 18, 2023 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 28, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 27, 2020 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 27, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 26, 2019 |
| Piper Jaffray | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 27, 2019 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 11, 2019 |
| Maxim Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 14, 2018 |
| BTIG Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 9, 2018 |
| BTIG | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 9, 2018 |
| Pacific Crest | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Nov 30, 2016 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 25, 2016 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 25, 2016 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $69.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northland Securities | Nehal Chokshi | $70 | $70.71 | +0.3% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Matthew Hedberg | $90 | $70.49 | +28.9% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $70.15 | +21.8% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Needham | Mike Cikos | $85 | $65.39 | +21.8% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $75 | $65.39 | +7.4% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $65 | $65.39 | -6.9% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Radi Sultan | $80 | $66.68 | +14.6% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $67.64 | +7.4% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $66.2 | +14.6% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $84 | $67.95 | +20.3% | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $47.53 | -32.7% | May 28, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $47.52 | -14.0% | May 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $62 | $48.06 | -11.2% | May 28, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $46.57 | -16.9% | May 28, 2026 |
| Needham | Mike Cikos | $60 | $46.57 | -14.0% | May 28, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Sanjit Singh | $55 | $46.57 | -21.2% | May 28, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $46.57 | -21.2% | May 28, 2026 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $39.41 | -38.4% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Needham | Mike Cikos | $55 | $38.44 | -21.2% | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $50 | $38.44 | -28.4% | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Sanjit Singh | $56 | $37.38 | -19.8% | Feb 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $41.88 | -21.2% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $57 | $41.3 | -18.3% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $40.26 | -14.0% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $53 | $51.44 | -24.1% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Sanjit Singh | $62 | $53.51 | -11.2% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $50.6 | -6.9% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $53 | $58.77 | -24.1% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $82 | $58.77 | +17.5% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Needham | Mike Cikos | $65 | $48.98 | -6.9% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $72 | $58.77 | +3.2% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Brandon Nispel | $65 | $58.77 | -6.9% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $57 | $58.77 | -18.3% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $64 | $58.77 | -8.3% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $65.91 | +28.9% | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Northland Securities | Analyst unavailable | $76 | $71.15 | +8.9% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $71 | $64.36 | +1.7% | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $68.05 | +34.7% | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $68.05 | +18.9% | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $83 | $67.27 | +18.9% | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $72 | $64.12 | +3.2% | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $85 | $62.56 | +21.8% | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $71 | $52.29 | +1.7% | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Barclays | George Wang | $75 | $52.29 | +7.4% | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $76 | $60.05 | +8.9% | May 30, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $76 | $59.96 | +8.9% | May 30, 2024 |
| Northland Securities | Nehal Chokshi | $71 | $73.29 | +1.7% | May 30, 2024 |
| Needham | Mike Cikos | $80 | $73.29 | +14.6% | May 30, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Matthew Hedberg | $80 | $73.29 | +14.6% | May 30, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Thomas Blakey | $79 | $59.62 | +13.2% | May 30, 2024 |
| Barclays | George Wang | $81 | $71.45 | +16.0% | May 23, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Simon Leopold | $72 | $66.21 | +3.2% | May 8, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $63 | $62.22 | -9.7% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Matthew Hedberg | $33 | $26.65 | -52.7% | Mar 7, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $32.76 | -57.0% | Dec 13, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $29.71 | -62.8% | Dec 1, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $32 | $28.26 | -54.2% | Dec 1, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $31 | $28.66 | -55.6% | Nov 28, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Matthew Hedberg | $24 | $22.44 | -65.6% | Sep 1, 2022 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $22 | $18.14 | -68.5% | Aug 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $18 | $15.8 | -74.2% | May 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Meta Marshall | $31 | $26.01 | -55.6% | Apr 16, 2022 |
| JMP Securities | Erik Suppiger | $48 | $34.23 | -31.2% | Oct 27, 2021 |
| Oppenheimer | Ittai Kidron | $44 | $40.4 | -37.0% | Sep 2, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | James Fish | $47 | $40.4 | -32.7% | Sep 2, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Wamsi Mohan | $54 | $36.95 | -22.6% | Sep 1, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Rod Hall | $39 | $39.6 | -44.1% | Jun 24, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationOperating across North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific region, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa, Nutanix, Inc. delivers an enterprise cloud platform. Its foundational Acropolis platform integrates virtualization, enterprise-grade storage, and comprehensive networking visualization and security capabilities. This includes the Acropolis Hypervisor, a robust virtualization solution. For cloud-native deployments, Nutanix Karbon automates the provisioning, operation, and lifecycle management of Kubernetes clusters, complemented by the Nutanix Clusters solution. Management tools include Prism Pro, Nutanix Beam for cloud governance, and Nutanix Calm, an application marketplace offering automation to streamline application lifecycle management and enable potent hybrid cloud orchestration.…
Technology peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
| SAIL SailPoint, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | -1.2% | SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption |
| CIEN Ciena Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +22.0% | -10.4% | Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog |
| DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.4% | +3.7% | DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook |
| IOT Samsara Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +25.0% | +3.7% | Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
- KRFY2026 Q2 · September 11, 2026+2.8% EPS+2.7% move
- ADBEFY2026 Q3 · September 10, 2026+0.8% EPS+1.4% move
- ORCLFY2027 Q1 · September 10, 2026+10.3% EPS-1.7% move
- CASYFY2027 Q1 · September 8, 2026+8.7% EPS-14.2% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T13:21:25.149732+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T07:00:53.820335+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T07:00:53.817470+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.