Nutanix, Inc. · NTNX · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Nutanix raises FY27 outlook as AI, NC2 and storage expand

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Nutanix's growth trajectory is strengthened by external storage, NC2, and Agentic AI, while supply constraints, renewal trends, and execution determine whether the raised FY27 outlook is sustained.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $18.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.60 Consensus $0.49
EPS surprise +22.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $757.1M Consensus $738.3M
Revenue surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.1% Up to 20 sessions
NTNXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Nutanix moved from a raised FY26 outlook to raised FY27 guidance, with greater emphasis on Agentic AI, broader external-storage support, NC2 expansion, and a workforce reduction intended to fund priority investments.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY27 guidance to $3.18-$3.23 billion of revenue, 24%-25% operating margin, and $850-$950 million of free cash flow.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue was $757 million, while ARR reached $2.55 billion and free-cash-flow margin was 37%, according to the supplied analysis.
  • External-storage integrations, NC2 public-cloud deployments, and Agentic AI were identified as key growth areas.
  • Management plans to reinvest through AI, cloud-native, sales, digital-sovereignty, and partnership initiatives while reducing headcount by about 5%.

Management priorities

  • Broaden external-storage support and increase ACV from large deals.
  • Scale Agentic AI, including Agent Gateway and governance capabilities.
  • Accelerate NC2 deployments across public clouds and neocloud providers.
  • Invest in sales, digital sovereignty, AI/cloud-native products, and partner ecosystems.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NTNX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.29 Q2 '24 actual $0.46, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.28, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.20 Q4 '24 actual $0.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.33 Q4 '25 actual $0.37, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.41 Q1 '26 actual $0.41, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.36 Q3 '26 actual $0.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.49 Q4 '26 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.63 Q3 '27 estimate $0.52 Q4 '27 estimate $0.58
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish1961.3%
Neutral1238.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$69.8Previous close
$30Low
$67.75Average
$94High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $69.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Northland SecuritiesNehal Chokshi$70$70.71 +0.3%Aug 27, 2026
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$90$70.49 +28.9%Aug 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$85$70.15 +21.8%Aug 27, 2026
NeedhamMike Cikos$85$65.39 +21.8%Aug 27, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$75$65.39 +7.4%Aug 27, 2026
See 62 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific region, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa, Nutanix, Inc. delivers an enterprise cloud platform. Its foundational Acropolis platform integrates virtualization, enterprise-grade storage, and comprehensive networking visualization and security capabilities. This includes the Acropolis Hypervisor, a robust virtualization solution. For cloud-native deployments, Nutanix Karbon automates the provisioning, operation, and lifecycle management of Kubernetes clusters, complemented by the Nutanix Clusters solution. Management tools include Prism Pro, Nutanix Beam for cloud governance, and Nutanix Calm, an application marketplace offering automation to streamline application lifecycle management and enable potent hybrid cloud orchestration.…

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T13:21:25.149732+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T07:00:53.820335+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T07:00:53.817470+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.