Nutanix, Inc. · NTNX · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2024

Nutanix pairs strong Q1 execution with higher margin and cash-flow outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view of Nutanix's growth trajectory: strong Q1 execution, AI offerings, hybrid-cloud demand, and partnerships supported raised profitability and cash-flow guidance, while sales-cycle, competition, federal-spending, and execution risks remain material.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $19.10B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.31
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $571.5M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.8% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.3% Up to 20 sessions
NTNXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management reported another strong period with Q1 revenue and ARR above guidance, raised Q2 revenue guidance, and increased full-year operating-margin and free-cash-flow guidance while leaving full-year revenue guidance unchanged. The current analysis also emphasizes the expanded AWS partnership, GPT-in-a-Box 2.0, and the planned Dell PowerFlex integration.

Guidance delta

Q2 revenue guidance was raised. Full-year revenue guidance was maintained, while operating-margin guidance was raised to 16%-17% and free-cash-flow guidance was increased.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue and ARR exceeded guidance, supported by new logos and land-and-expand activity.
  • Non-GAAP operating margin reached 20%, above the 14.5%-15.5% guidance range.
  • GPT-in-a-Box 2.0 and Nutanix Enterprise AI broaden the AI product push.
  • The expanded AWS partnership and Dell PowerFlex integration are central to the go-to-market plan.

Management priorities

  • Scale GPT-in-a-Box 2.0 and Nutanix Enterprise AI.
  • Expand AWS migration programs and NC2 adoption.
  • Bring Dell PowerFlex integration to market and develop its expected FY26 contribution.
  • Invest in R&D, channel incentives, and OEM collaborations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NTNX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.17 Q1 '24 actual $0.29, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.29 Q2 '24 actual $0.46, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.28, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.20 Q4 '24 actual $0.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.33 Q4 '25 actual $0.37, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.41 Q1 '26 actual $0.41, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.36 Q3 '26 actual $0.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.49 Q4 '26 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.63 Q3 '27 estimate $0.52 Q4 '27 estimate $0.58
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish1961.3%
Neutral1238.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$70.58Current
$30Low
$68.52Average
$94High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $70.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
NeedhamMatt Calitri$90$68.03 +27.5%Sep 28, 2026
Northland SecuritiesNehal Chokshi$70$70.71 -0.8%Aug 27, 2026
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$90$70.49 +27.5%Aug 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$85$70.15 +20.4%Aug 27, 2026
NeedhamMike Cikos$85$65.39 +20.4%Aug 27, 2026
See 63 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific region, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa, Nutanix, Inc. delivers an enterprise cloud platform. Its foundational Acropolis platform integrates virtualization, enterprise-grade storage, and comprehensive networking visualization and security capabilities. This includes the Acropolis Hypervisor, a robust virtualization solution. For cloud-native deployments, Nutanix Karbon automates the provisioning, operation, and lifecycle management of Kubernetes clusters, complemented by the Nutanix Clusters solution. Management tools include Prism Pro, Nutanix Beam for cloud governance, and Nutanix Calm, an application marketplace offering automation to streamline application lifecycle management and enable potent hybrid cloud orchestration.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-12T00:05:02.794111+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T20:50:44.292661+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T20:50:44.290299+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.