Nomura Holdings, Inc. · NMR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026
Nomura’s Q3 growth was broad, but digital-asset losses and costs weighed on profit
Nomura’s expanding recurring-revenue base and growth across divisions support earnings resilience, but the quarter also showed that digital-asset volatility, acquisition integration and rising expenses can temper profit conversion. Evidence over coming quarters will be whether record recurring assets and Macquarie synergies offset these pressures.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter’s account of record AUM, recurring inflows and strong Wholesale activity, the supplied Q3 analysis describes growth across all four divisions and further records in AUM and recurring revenue assets. It also highlights a JPY 10 billion Laser Digital loss, acquisition-related one-off expenses, and a Q3 buyback announcement of up to 100 million shares worth JPY 60 billion.
Guidance delta
No guidance sentiment was provided in the supplied current-quarter analysis. Management’s stated priorities include integrating the Macquarie business and realizing synergies over two years, growing Laser Digital while tightening risk exposure, and continuing AI initiatives for client service and cost control.
Key takeaways
- Revenue growth was reported across all four divisions, with strong Wealth Management and Global Markets performance.
- AUM reached a record JPY 134.7 trillion, and recurring revenue assets reached an all-time high of JPY 28.1 trillion.
- Laser Digital recorded a JPY 10 billion loss; management plans to pursue digital-asset growth while limiting short-term volatility.
- The announced Q3 buyback is up to 100 million shares, valued at JPY 60 billion.
- Higher personnel, foreign-exchange and acquisition-integration expenses are counterweights to revenue growth.
Management priorities
- Integrate the Macquarie acquisition and realize synergies over the next two years.
- Grow Laser Digital while tightening risk exposure to manage short-term volatility.
- Launch the deposit sweep service in the next fiscal year.
- Use AI initiatives to improve client service and cost control.
- Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including possible further buybacks depending on Q4 results.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 25, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 30, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 10, 2016 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 8, 2016 |
| UBS | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 22, 2015 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Underperform | Upgrade | Jun 23, 2015 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Mar 21, 2013 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 14, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $9.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomura | Natsumu Tsujino | $10.2 | $8.61 | +8.7% | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Bank of America Securities | Natsumu Tsujino | $5.79 | $5.22 | -38.3% | Oct 22, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationNomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Wealth Management segment offers investment consultation services. The Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment solutions, such as establishing and managing investment trusts, discretionary investment services, as well as investment and management for investment vehicles, and for funds for…
Historical context
All NMR earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +5.8% | +6.8% | Cboe posts strong Q3 as options growth and new products advance |
| NWG NatWest Group plc | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.0% | -9.0% | NatWest maintains guidance as Q3 growth and capital remain strong |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.1% | +5.3% | Erie pairs resilient demand initiatives with thin underwriting margins |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1189.2% | -10.6% | Coinbase offsets lower spot trading with prediction markets and AI agents |
| TPG TPG Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +4.3% | +7.5% | TPG raises FRE margin outlook as capital formation accelerates |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +0.3% | +2.9% | AJG: Q3 growth and AssuredPartners synergies support outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CHDFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+2.2% EPS+1.2% move
- AZNFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+7.3% EPS+7.0% move
- FRTFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+3.9% EPS-1.1% move
- CVXFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+8.4% EPS+1.8% move
- BTSGFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+14.2% EPS+11.1% move
- EXCFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+10.4% EPS+0.5% move
Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T02:20:48.073078+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T02:20:48.070260+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.