Nomura Holdings, Inc. · NMR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Nomura’s Q3 growth was broad, but digital-asset losses and costs weighed on profit

Nomura’s expanding recurring-revenue base and growth across divisions support earnings resilience, but the quarter also showed that digital-asset volatility, acquisition integration and rising expenses can temper profit conversion. Evidence over coming quarters will be whether record recurring assets and Macquarie synergies offset these pressures.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $27.42B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.18 Consensus $0.24
EPS surprise -25.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.54B Consensus $3.31B
Revenue surprise +6.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.5% Up to 20 sessions
NMRSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about NMR FY2026 Q3

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter’s account of record AUM, recurring inflows and strong Wholesale activity, the supplied Q3 analysis describes growth across all four divisions and further records in AUM and recurring revenue assets. It also highlights a JPY 10 billion Laser Digital loss, acquisition-related one-off expenses, and a Q3 buyback announcement of up to 100 million shares worth JPY 60 billion.

Guidance delta

No guidance sentiment was provided in the supplied current-quarter analysis. Management’s stated priorities include integrating the Macquarie business and realizing synergies over two years, growing Laser Digital while tightening risk exposure, and continuing AI initiatives for client service and cost control.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue growth was reported across all four divisions, with strong Wealth Management and Global Markets performance.
  • AUM reached a record JPY 134.7 trillion, and recurring revenue assets reached an all-time high of JPY 28.1 trillion.
  • Laser Digital recorded a JPY 10 billion loss; management plans to pursue digital-asset growth while limiting short-term volatility.
  • The announced Q3 buyback is up to 100 million shares, valued at JPY 60 billion.
  • Higher personnel, foreign-exchange and acquisition-integration expenses are counterweights to revenue growth.

Management priorities

  • Integrate the Macquarie acquisition and realize synergies over the next two years.
  • Grow Laser Digital while tightening risk exposure to manage short-term volatility.
  • Launch the deposit sweep service in the next fiscal year.
  • Use AI initiatives to improve client service and cost control.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation, including possible further buybacks depending on Q4 results.

Follow NMR with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NMR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 actual $0.14, None Q2 '25 estimate $0.14 Q2 '25 actual $0.22, beat Q4 '25 actual $0.16, None Q1 '26 estimate $0.25 Q1 '26 actual $0.24, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.24 Q3 '26 actual $0.18, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.21 Q4 '26 actual $0.16, miss Q1 '27 estimate $0.23 Q1 '27 actual $0.30, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.20 Q2 '27 actual $0.22, beat Q3 '27 estimate $35.21 Q4 '27 estimate $36.35 Q1 '28 estimate $36.53 Q2 '28 estimate $36.40
Show 2 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold9 ratings
Bullish333.3%
Neutral666.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$9.38Current
$5.79Low
$8Average
$10.2High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeMar 19, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeJan 25, 2023
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 30, 2021
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeFeb 10, 2016
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 8, 2016
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 22, 2015
Barclays Equal Weight UnderperformUpgradeJun 23, 2015
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeMar 21, 2013
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeFeb 14, 2013
Show less

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $9.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
NomuraNatsumu Tsujino$10.2$8.61 +8.7%Jun 25, 2026
Bank of America SecuritiesNatsumu Tsujino$5.79$5.22 -38.3%Oct 22, 2024

Track every rating change on NMR the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Wealth Management segment offers investment consultation services. The Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment solutions, such as establishing and managing investment trusts, discretionary investment services, as well as investment and management for investment vehicles, and for funds for…

Historical context

All NMR earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the NMR recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T02:20:48.073078+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T02:20:48.070260+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.