Newmont Corporation · NEM · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Newmont Holds 2026 Guidance as Projects Set Up 2027 Growth

Newmont's Q3 showed robust cash generation and maintained 2026 guidance, while project execution supports management's stated 2027 growth outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $120.24B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.20 Consensus $1.96
EPS surprise +12.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.36B Consensus $6.27B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
NEMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Newmont disclosed the Nevada joint-venture asset sale, advanced Red Chris toward a final investment decision, improved its full-year all-in sustaining cost outlook, and highlighted potential Lihir water risk tied to El Niño.

Guidance delta

2026 production and cost guidance was reaffirmed; the full-year all-in sustaining cost outlook improved to $1.52k/oz, about 10% better than prior guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 free cash flow was $1.9 billion, supporting dividends, repurchases, and reinvestment.
  • Red Chris advanced toward a final investment decision expected early next year, with construction targeted for 2027.
  • Management indicated production growth is expected to resume in 2027, while Lihir water availability and project execution remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance Red Chris, Tanami, PC2-1, and Yanacocha projects
  • Maintain cost discipline and capital allocation across dividends, repurchases, and reinvestment
  • Prepare for higher-grade ore access and production acceleration

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NEM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $5B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $5B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $6B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $7B Q2 '27 estimate $7B Q3 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy37 ratings
Bullish2773.0%
Neutral1027.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$114.11Current
$57Low
$107.5Average
$175High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Freedom Broker Hold BuyDowngradeOct 22, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $114.11. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$123$118.6 +7.8%Oct 19, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$154$119.56 +35.0%Oct 16, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$144$127.09 +26.2%Sep 9, 2026
Raymond JamesBrian MacArthur$140$130.96 +22.7%Aug 24, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$170$117.85 +49.0%Aug 14, 2026
See 56 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Newmont Corporation is primarily involved in the mining and exploration of gold resources. Additionally, the company undertakes prospecting for other base and precious metals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Its operations and assets are geographically widespread, located across various countries such as the United States, Canada, Mexico, the Dominican Republic, Peru, Suriname, Argentina, Chile, Australia, and Ghana. As of the close of 2021 (December 31st), Newmont reported substantial proven and probable gold reserves, totaling 92.8 million ounces, and managed a vast land portfolio covering 62,800 square kilometers. Founded in 1916, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Denver, Colorado.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-23T01:03:55.192697+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-23T01:23:12.835668+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T01:30:41.482860+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T01:30:41.479621+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.