Nasdaq, Inc. · NDAQ · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Nasdaq pairs platform growth with AI and tokenization execution

The transcript analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Nasdaq's platform growth, recurring revenue, market volumes, AI initiatives, and tokenization plans provide multiple growth avenues, while execution timelines and regulatory uncertainty temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $50.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.88 Consensus $0.85
EPS surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.96B Consensus $1.30B
Revenue surprise +50.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.3% Up to 20 sessions
NDAQSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management's emphasis shifted further toward tokenized equities, AI digital workers, cross-sell execution, and international expansion. The analysis also notes the sale of Nasdaq Solovis to Insight Partners and a maintained guidance stance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance, while the prior quarter also showed maintained guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Solutions revenue surpassed $1 billion and ARR reached $3 billion, according to the transcript analysis.
  • Management highlighted AI-enabled products, tokenized-equity initiatives, and cross-sell opportunities as growth areas.
  • Record U.S. options and equity volumes supported Market Services performance.
  • Expense growth remained modest while free cash flow supported deleveraging and shareholder returns.

Management priorities

  • Advance tokenized equity trading and settlement with DTCC and DTC.
  • Expand Agentic AI digital workers across Verafin.
  • Extend 24/5 trading capabilities across Nasdaq exchanges.
  • Continue data-center expansion and international growth in Market Technology.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NDAQ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2261.1%
Neutral1336.1%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$92.36Current
$55Low
$87.66Average
$120High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $92.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$108$91.67 +16.9%Oct 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$100$91.67 +8.3%Oct 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$120$91.56 +29.9%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$111$90.42 +20.2%Jul 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$112$88.81 +21.3%Jul 10, 2026
See 48 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nasdaq, Inc., a technology powerhouse founded in 1971 and based in New York City, is dedicated to supporting capital markets and various other sectors worldwide. Its Market Technology division specializes in fighting financial crime, offering products like Nasdaq Trade Surveillance, a SaaS solution that assists brokers and market participants in meeting compliance requirements and internal surveillance policies. This segment also provides Nasdaq Automated Investigator, a cloud-deployed anti-money laundering tool, and Verafin, a SaaS provider for anti-financial crime management. Furthermore, this division handles a wide array of assets, including cash equities, equity derivatives, global currencies, interest-bearing securities, commodities, energy resources, and digital currencies. The Investment Intelligence segment is responsible for distributing both historical and live market data, creating and licensing Nasdaq-branded financial indexes and products, and delivering valuable investment insights and workflow solutions.…

Historical context

All NDAQ earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T17:40:41.374345+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T17:40:41.371150+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.