Nasdaq, Inc. · NDAQ · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Nasdaq emphasizes fintech growth, cloud expansion and efficiency

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: fintech demand, market-service volumes, cloud and AI initiatives, and cross-sell opportunities provide growth support, while execution, macro sensitivity and regulatory uncertainty remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $52.35B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.75
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.22B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.7% Up to 20 sessions
NDAQSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the current call analysis places more emphasis on double-digit growth, AWS hybrid-cloud deployment, AI-powered Financial Crime Management features, a $140 million efficiency program and capital returns, while retaining a confident tone and maintained guidance sentiment.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance sentiment; no specific guidance change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • The call analysis describes double-digit revenue growth across Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology and Market Services.
  • ARR growth was supported by new index products and Financial Crime Management demand.
  • Management highlighted AWS cloud expansion, cross-sell initiatives, efficiency work and continued deleveraging.
  • The main counterweights were longer enterprise sales cycles, macro volatility and regulatory uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Expand index products and insurance annuity vehicles.
  • Scale the AWS hybrid-cloud offering across global market operators.
  • Build cross-sell revenue toward the stated 2027 run-rate goal.
  • Complete the efficiency program while continuing to deleverage.
  • Deploy AI-powered copilot features in Financial Crime Management.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NDAQ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.70 Q4 '23 actual $0.72, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.65 Q1 '24 actual $0.63, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.64 Q2 '24 actual $0.69, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.69 Q3 '24 actual $0.74, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.81 Q2 '25 actual $0.85, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.85 Q3 '25 actual $0.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.92 Q4 '25 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.93 Q1 '26 actual $0.96, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.98 Q2 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.02 Q4 '26 estimate $1.07 Q1 '27 estimate $1.11 Q2 '27 estimate $1.17
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2261.1%
Neutral1336.1%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$94.29Current
$55Low
$87.86Average
$120High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $94.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$118$92.37 +25.1%Oct 9, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$108$91.67 +14.5%Oct 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$100$91.67 +6.1%Oct 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$120$91.56 +27.3%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$111$90.42 +17.7%Jul 24, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nasdaq, Inc., a technology powerhouse founded in 1971 and based in New York City, is dedicated to supporting capital markets and various other sectors worldwide. Its Market Technology division specializes in fighting financial crime, offering products like Nasdaq Trade Surveillance, a SaaS solution that assists brokers and market participants in meeting compliance requirements and internal surveillance policies. This segment also provides Nasdaq Automated Investigator, a cloud-deployed anti-money laundering tool, and Verafin, a SaaS provider for anti-financial crime management. Furthermore, this division handles a wide array of assets, including cash equities, equity derivatives, global currencies, interest-bearing securities, commodities, energy resources, and digital currencies. The Investment Intelligence segment is responsible for distributing both historical and live market data, creating and licensing Nasdaq-branded financial indexes and products, and delivering valuable investment insights and workflow solutions.…

Historical context

All NDAQ earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T23:20:42.746127+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T23:20:42.743418+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.