Nebius Group N.V. · NBIS · FY2021 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2022

Yandex analysis points to growth with investment and execution risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive growth case centered on advertising, mobility, e-commerce, and subscriptions, but the case depends on execution, competition, and disciplined cash burn.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $38.10B market cap
65quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.22 Consensus —
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis describes 2021 revenue growth, stronger e-commerce scale, lower-than-guided e-commerce cash burn, and continued investment priorities; it does not provide a new reported-versus-consensus comparison.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis says 2022 revenue guidance of RUB 490–500bn was maintained; no new guidance change is provided.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes strong 2021 growth in advertising, mobility, and e-commerce.
  • E-commerce, subscriptions, logistics automation, and fintech were identified as 2022 priorities.
  • Management planned continued investment while targeting tighter e-commerce economics.

Management priorities

  • Expand and automate e-commerce fulfillment.
  • Scale Market Express, categories, and Yandex.Plus benefits.
  • Deploy Rovers internationally and continue selective expansion.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NBIS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $105M Q2 '25 actual $105M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $158M Q3 '25 actual $146M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $246M Q4 '25 actual $228M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $375M Q1 '26 actual $399M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $570M Q2 '26 actual $582M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $906M Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish975.0%
Neutral325.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$158.74Current
$55Low
$221.9Average
$410High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 21, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 18, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Show 7 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $158.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerJames Fish$185$171.45 +16.5%Oct 21, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$399$226.61 +151.4%Sep 24, 2026
BTG PactualAnalyst unavailable$223$233.28 +40.5%Sep 21, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$355$240.35 +123.6%Sep 9, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$328$220.64 +106.6%Aug 25, 2026
See 23 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nebius Group N.V. is a technology company dedicated to developing comprehensive infrastructure to serve the global artificial intelligence industry. Its operations encompass several key areas. Central to its mission is Nebius, an AI-focused cloud platform engineered to handle demanding AI workloads. This division constructs end-to-end AI infrastructure, featuring extensive GPU computing clusters, robust cloud platforms, and essential tools and services for developers.…

Historical context

All NBIS earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T03:00:40.468019+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.