Micron Technology, Inc. · MU · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Micron: Strong AI Memory Demand, Higher Capex, and HBM4E Ahead

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: robust AI and server-memory demand, committed FY27 shipments, and multi-year customer agreements strengthen visibility, while rising capex, pricing moderation, competition, and execution risks limit certainty.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $1202.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $33.42 Consensus $31.72
EPS surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $54.23B Consensus $51.33B
Revenue surprise +5.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +0.0% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
MUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shifts from record near-term performance and raised guidance to maintained guidance with more emphasis on the next phase of growth: more than 75% of FY27 shipments committed, DRAM and NAND agreements extending through 2030, rising construction capex, and the planned HBM4E launch with NVIDIA.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook. The analysis points to expected FY27 margin expansion from price increases and product mix, while noting that pricing is expected to moderate later.

Key takeaways

  • Management described AI and server-memory demand as robust through 2028, with supply constrained by clean-room construction timelines.
  • More than 75% of FY27 shipments are already committed, and strategic customer agreements now span DRAM and NAND through 2030.
  • Construction capex is increasing to expand future clean-room capacity, while an HBM4E product co-designed with NVIDIA is slated for launch.

Management priorities

  • Ramp advanced DRAM nodes and launch the co-designed HBM4E product with NVIDIA
  • Expand clean-room capacity and construction spending for new fabs
  • Grow strategic customer agreements and increase R&D spending above $1 billion in FY27

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MU REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $8B Q4 '24 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $11B Q4 '25 actual $11B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $20B Q2 '26 actual $24B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $36B Q3 '26 actual $41B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $51B Q4 '26 actual $54B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $57B Q2 '27 estimate $61B Q3 '27 estimate $66B Q4 '27 estimate $69B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy69 ratings
Bullish5782.6%
Neutral1014.5%
Bearish22.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,065.11Previous close
$52Low
$848.82Average
$2,200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
Show 64 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $1,065.11. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchAtif Malik$1,300$1,069.37 +22.1%Sep 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$1,520$1,082.28 +42.7%Sep 28, 2026
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$1,400$1,096.16 +31.4%Sep 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,300$910.43 +22.1%Aug 25, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,300$974.33 +22.1%Aug 20, 2026
See 243 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Micron Technology, Inc. is a global leader specializing in the development, manufacture, and sale of advanced semiconductor memory and storage solutions. Its operations are structured across four primary business segments: Compute and Networking, Mobile, Storage, and Embedded. The company's product portfolio encompasses a range of memory and data storage technologies. These include high-speed, low-latency Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) components for rapid data retrieval; non-volatile, re-programmable NAND flash storage devices; and fast-read, non-volatile, re-writable NOR memory chips.…

Historical context

All MU earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
JBL Jabil Inc. FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 +8.1% -10.0% Jabil enters FY2027 with AI-led growth and capacity risks
SNX TD Synnex Corp FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +20.9% -9.9% TD SYNNEX: AI-led growth accelerates, but mix and cash flow matter
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-01T11:12:47.899338+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-01T01:23:12.786685+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T11:26:15.062339+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T11:26:15.059422+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.