Micron Technology, Inc. · MU · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Micron pairs record Q3 revenue with HBM4 and fab expansion plans

The supplied analysis supports a constructive growth case: record Q3 revenue, AI-related memory demand and new product ramps reinforce the earnings trajectory. The case remains dependent on HBM4 execution, sustained pricing and effective capacity expansion.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $1228.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.91 Consensus $1.60
EPS surprise +19.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.30B Consensus $8.86B
Revenue surprise +4.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -11.7% Up to 20 sessions
MUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Micron's outlook now emphasizes a larger $200 billion U.S. investment plan, initial 1-gamma LP5 qualification samples, HBM4 details and a targeted 2026 volume ramp. The current analysis also reports record Q3 revenue and maintained Q4 guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained, with Q4 revenue guidance of $10.7 billion and earnings guidance of $2.50 per share.

Key takeaways

  • AI-driven demand is supporting high-performance DRAM, HBM and data-center SSD growth.
  • Management is advancing 1-gamma DRAM, HBM4 and G9 NAND while expanding U.S. manufacturing capacity.
  • The main watchpoints are memory pricing, NAND utilization, HBM4 execution and tariff-related demand timing.

Management priorities

  • Scale 1-gamma DRAM across the portfolio and ramp HBM4 volume production in 2026.
  • Advance the Idaho and New York fab programs within the $200 billion U.S. investment plan.
  • Expand data-center SSD, mobile and automotive product offerings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.99 Q1 '24 actual $-0.95, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-0.25 Q2 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.48 Q3 '24 actual $0.62, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.11 Q4 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.60 Q3 '25 actual $1.91, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.86 Q4 '25 actual $3.03, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.96 Q1 '26 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9.19 Q2 '26 actual $12.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $20.98 Q3 '26 actual $25.11, beat Q4 '26 estimate $31.77 Q4 '26 actual $33.42, beat Q1 '27 estimate $38.11 Q2 '27 estimate $41.75
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy69 ratings
Bullish5782.6%
Neutral1014.5%
Bearish22.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,063.81Current
$52Low
$890.37Average
$3,000High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 64 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,063.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$3,000$1,045.56 +182.0%Oct 7, 2026
CLSASanjeev Rana$1,700$1,097.39 +59.8%Oct 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$2,100$1,032.47 +97.4%Oct 1, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$1,250$1,065.11 +17.5%Oct 1, 2026
William BlairAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,065.11 +22.2%Oct 1, 2026
See 249 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Micron Technology, Inc. is a global leader specializing in the development, manufacture, and sale of advanced semiconductor memory and storage solutions. Its operations are structured across four primary business segments: Compute and Networking, Mobile, Storage, and Embedded. The company's product portfolio encompasses a range of memory and data storage technologies. These include high-speed, low-latency Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) components for rapid data retrieval; non-volatile, re-programmable NAND flash storage devices; and fast-read, non-volatile, re-writable NOR memory chips.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T11:50:41.892266+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T11:50:41.889458+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.