Micron Technology, Inc. · MU · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2024

Micron’s AI Memory Demand Supports a Higher FY2025 Outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term earnings trajectory for Micron: AI-led data-center demand, product-mix improvement and supply discipline supported record results and a higher FY2025 outlook. The thesis is conditional on successful capacity and yield ramps and on continued demand for HBM and other high-value memory products.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $994.34B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.18 Consensus $1.11
EPS surprise +6.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.75B Consensus $7.65B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +14.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +14.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.8% Up to 20 sessions
MUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the outlook moved from maintained to raised. The latest analysis adds record fiscal 2024 results, a higher FY2025 outlook, planned HBM3E 12-high shipments, and a Taiwan LCD-factory conversion for DRAM testing; it also highlights greater exposure to ramp, inventory and potential HBM-oversupply risks.

Guidance delta

Management raised its outlook, including Q1 FY2025 guidance of $8.7 billion in revenue and 39.5% gross margin.

Key takeaways

  • Record fiscal 2024 results and stronger data-center demand reinforced the recovery in DRAM and NAND.
  • HBM, high-capacity DIMMs and data-center SSDs were identified as key AI-related growth products.
  • Management plans higher capital spending for fabs, HBM capacity and advanced-node ramps, increasing execution demands.

Management priorities

  • Scale 1-beta DRAM, G8/G9 NAND and HBM3E 12-high production.
  • Advance 1-gamma DRAM, HBM4 preparation and new U.S. fab construction.
  • Expand DRAM test capability in Taiwan and qualify newer client-memory and SSD products.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MU REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $5B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $8B Q4 '24 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $11B Q4 '25 actual $11B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $20B Q2 '26 actual $24B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $36B Q3 '26 actual $41B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $51B Q4 '26 actual $54B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $62B Q2 '27 estimate $67B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy69 ratings
Bullish5782.6%
Neutral1014.5%
Bearish22.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$904.9Current
$52Low
$890.37Average
$3,000High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 64 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $904.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$3,000$1,045.56 +231.5%Oct 7, 2026
CLSASanjeev Rana$1,700$1,097.39 +87.9%Oct 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$2,100$1,032.47 +132.1%Oct 1, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$1,250$1,065.11 +38.1%Oct 1, 2026
William BlairAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,065.11 +43.7%Oct 1, 2026
See 249 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Micron Technology, Inc. is a global leader specializing in the development, manufacture, and sale of advanced semiconductor memory and storage solutions. Its operations are structured across four primary business segments: Compute and Networking, Mobile, Storage, and Embedded. The company's product portfolio encompasses a range of memory and data storage technologies. These include high-speed, low-latency Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) components for rapid data retrieval; non-volatile, re-programmable NAND flash storage devices; and fast-read, non-volatile, re-writable NOR memory chips.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T19:40:43.099474+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T19:40:43.096639+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.