Motorola Solutions, Inc. · MSI · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Motorola Solutions pairs record results with raised 2026 outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: record results, a $15.7 billion backlog, raised 2026 guidance, and demand for AI, cloud, public-safety, and defense offerings provide evidence of resilient demand. The thesis remains conditional on Silvus integration, margin management, and continued execution against tariff, cost, geopolitical, and budget risks.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $74.10B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.59 Consensus $4.35
EPS surprise +5.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.38B Consensus $3.34B
Revenue surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.7% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +9.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.3% Up to 20 sessions
MSISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the latest call added record full-year results, a $15.7 billion backlog, raised 2026 revenue and EPS guidance, FedRAMP approvals for SVX and APEX Next, and higher 2026 Silvus revenue guidance.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 guidance to $12.7 billion of revenue and $16.70-$16.85 of non-GAAP EPS, with 100 basis points of margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported record Q4 and full-year 2025 performance, with double-digit EPS growth and operating-margin expansion.
  • Backlog reached $15.7 billion, supporting visibility into 2026.
  • AI Assist Suites, Silvus, and Software & Services are the main growth pillars in the supplied analysis.
  • Risks include tariffs, memory costs, geopolitical exposure, and possible federal-budget constraints.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI Assist Suites across additional user personas.
  • Accelerate Silvus integration and its defense and unmanned-systems expansion.
  • Continue investment in AI, cloud, and unmanned-systems research and development.
  • Broaden Command Center and video offerings across hybrid cloud and on-premise deployments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MSI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.53 Q1 '24 actual $2.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.01 Q2 '24 actual $3.24, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.38 Q3 '24 actual $3.74, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.35 Q2 '25 actual $3.57, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.85 Q3 '25 actual $4.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.35 Q4 '25 actual $4.59, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.24 Q1 '26 actual $3.37, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.85 Q2 '26 actual $4.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.42 Q4 '26 estimate $5.50 Q1 '27 estimate $3.73 Q2 '27 estimate $4.49
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2470.6%
Neutral617.6%
Bearish411.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$448.03Current
$254Low
$449.29Average
$550High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 22, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 26, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $448.03. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$531$461.36 +18.5%Sep 22, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$550$483.55 +22.8%Aug 26, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$545$469.03 +21.6%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$476$474.04 +6.2%Aug 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$520$438.14 +16.1%Aug 6, 2026
See 20 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Motorola Solutions, Inc. delivers essential communication and data analysis capabilities vital for critical operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. The company structures its extensive operations into two primary segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration division offers a comprehensive suite of infrastructure, various devices, accessories, and video security solutions, alongside expert services for the deployment and seamless integration of systems, hardware, software, and specialized applications. This segment caters to governmental bodies, public safety agencies, and commercial enterprises that rely on private communication networks, advanced video security systems, and robust tools for managing mobile workforces.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T22:26:03.610087+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T22:26:03.607079+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.