FN2 Earnings Intelligence

Microsoft (MSFT) earnings history

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MSFT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $2.82 Q3 '24 actual $2.94, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.93 Q4 '24 actual $2.95, beat Q1 '25 estimate $3.10 Q1 '25 actual $3.30, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.37 Q4 '25 actual $3.65, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.67 Q1 '26 actual $4.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.90 Q2 '26 actual $4.14, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.06 Q3 '26 actual $4.27, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.24 Q4 '26 actual $4.74, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4.71 Q2 '27 estimate $4.78 Q3 '27 estimate $4.87
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MSFT FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft's latest results support the view that resilient cloud and AI demand can sustain growth, but the thesis depends on converting infrastructure investment into durable enterprise usage while managing margin and capacity risks.

EPS surprise+11.8%
Market move+15.5%
MSFT FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results crystallize the tension between AI monetization and AI investment. Revenue of $82.9B beat estimates by 1.8%, AI annual revenue run-rate surpassed $37B (up 123% YoY), and Microsoft 365 Copilot topped 20M paid seats with 250% YoY growth. Yet the market initially sold off 4.9% on capex guidance exceeding $40B per quarter and $190B for FY2026, before recovering 10.4% as investors digested the strength of AI revenue growth. The central question remains whether Azure revenue can scale fast enough to justify the accelerating capital deployment.

EPS surprise+5.2%
Market move-3.9%
MSFT FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

Microsoft Corporation

The supplied analysis supports a constructive demand outlook for Microsoft, but the durability of the thesis depends on converting AI adoption and capacity expansion into growth that justifies the associated capital intensity.

EPS surprise+6.2%
Market move-10.0%
MSFT FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2025

Microsoft Corporation

The quarter supports the view that strong earnings growth and resilient AI demand can underpin Microsoft's trajectory, but the evidence is conditional: capacity expansion, capital efficiency, customer concentration, and margin stability remain decisive tests.

EPS surprise+12.5%
Market move-2.9%
MSFT FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2025

Microsoft Corporation

The latest analysis supports the view that resilient enterprise demand and AI adoption are sustaining Microsoft’s cloud growth, while the investment required to serve that demand creates a meaningful execution and margin test.

EPS surprise+8.3%
Market move+3.9%
MSFT FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Microsoft Corporation

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient cloud demand and expanding AI usage strengthen Microsoft's growth trajectory, while capacity, power, execution, and margin risks remain material.

EPS surprise—
Market move+7.6%
MSFT FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

Microsoft Corporation

The latest analysis supports a constructive demand picture for Microsoft's cloud and AI businesses, but it does not remove the key execution test: sustained growth depends on converting AI demand into available capacity while improving non-AI Azure delivery.

EPS surprise—
Market move-6.2%

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