Microsoft Corporation · MSFT · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026

Microsoft: Cloud acceleration strengthens the AI investment case

The current quarter supports the view that earnings growth and resilient enterprise demand can underpin Microsoft’s outlook over the next year: cloud growth accelerated, AI usage broadened, and guidance was maintained. The counterevidence is the need to fund capacity at scale while managing GPU availability, token economics, and competition.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $3943.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.89 Consensus $4.71
EPS surprise +3.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $92.28B Consensus $90.62B
Revenue surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
MSFTSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about MSFT FY2027 Q1

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, Azure growth accelerated from 41% to 48%, Microsoft Cloud growth reached 30%, and Copilot and Foundry adoption strengthened. Management also highlighted continued capacity expansion and maintained FY27 guidance.

Guidance delta

FY27 revenue guidance was maintained at $96–$97.1 billion, implying 18–19% growth; management also indicated capex above $50 billion in Q2.

Key takeaways

  • Microsoft Cloud revenue grew 30% year over year, while Azure growth accelerated to 48%.
  • Copilot usage, large-seat deployments, and Foundry adoption expanded rapidly.
  • The growth outlook remains strong, but capacity, pricing, and AI cost dynamics are important watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Scale Azure and AI infrastructure, including new NVIDIA Vera Rubin GPUs and Maia 300 chips.
  • Expand Copilot, Foundry, and Fabric as enterprise AI platforms.
  • Increase consumption-based licensing and improve infrastructure efficiency.

Follow MSFT with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MSFT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.78 Q2 '24 actual $2.93, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.82 Q3 '24 actual $2.94, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.93 Q4 '24 actual $2.95, beat Q1 '25 estimate $3.10 Q1 '25 actual $3.30, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.37 Q4 '25 actual $3.65, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.67 Q1 '26 actual $4.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.90 Q2 '26 actual $4.14, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.06 Q3 '26 actual $4.27, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.24 Q4 '26 actual $4.74, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4.71 Q1 '27 actual $4.89, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4.78 Q3 '27 estimate $4.87
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy81 ratings
Bullish6782.7%
Neutral1417.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$531.01Previous close
$234Low
$517.11Average
$725High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 26, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 26, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 20, 2026
Show 76 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $531.01. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAndrew Marok$630$532.6 +18.6%Oct 27, 2026
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$625$526.21 +17.7%Oct 26, 2026
OppenheimerBrian Schwartz$625$524.51 +17.7%Oct 26, 2026
BMO CapitalKeith Bachman$600$533.52 +13.0%Oct 20, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$662$529.05 +24.7%Oct 19, 2026
See 273 more

Track every rating change on MSFT the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Microsoft Corporation is a prominent global technology firm that invents, markets, and provides ongoing assistance for a diverse range of software, digital services, computing devices, and comprehensive solutions. Its operations are organized into three primary divisions: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment delivers crucial tools for both enterprises and individual users. This includes the extensive Office suite (comprising Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft Viva, and Skype for Business), along with popular consumer offerings like Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn. It also features Dynamics 365, a suite of integrated cloud and on-premises business applications tailored for organizations. The Intelligent Cloud division focuses on sophisticated infrastructure and platform services.…

Historical context

All MSFT earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the MSFT recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T04:11:40.496552+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T07:30:43.796458+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T07:30:43.793744+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.