MSCI Inc. · MSCI · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

MSCI: Strong growth, but ESG demand and cancellations remain watchpoints

The quarter supports a constructive long-term case for MSCI's diversified growth model, but the evidence is mixed in the near term: strong demand in indices, private assets and wealth technology is offset by cyclical ESG softness and client-budget pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $41.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.86 Consensus $3.77
EPS surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $724.7M Consensus $716.2M
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.0% Up to 20 sessions
MSCISPY benchmark

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What changed

The latest analysis adds evidence of strong growth from ETF flows, private-capital expansion and wealth-platform adoption, while highlighting persistent cancellations and longer sales cycles. Management also raised capex and free-cash-flow guidance and introduced further carbon-rating and private-assets initiatives.

Guidance delta

Capex and free-cash-flow guidance were raised, while expense guidance was unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Management linked growth to record ETF inflows, index-linked products, private-capital solutions and wealth-manager platform adoption.
  • ESG and climate demand remained cyclical, while tighter client budgets contributed to higher cancellations and longer sales cycles.
  • Private markets data, AI-enabled analytics and the wealth-manager platform remain central to the growth strategy.
  • New offerings included Carbon Project Ratings and expanded private-assets tools.

Management priorities

  • Deepen private-markets data and AI-driven analytics
  • Scale carbon-project rating services
  • Invest in additional data-center hardware for hybrid-cloud infrastructure
  • Expand the wealth-manager platform across product lines
  • Pursue further private-asset benchmarking and GP-focused tools

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MSCI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $685M Q1 '24 actual $680M, miss Q2 '24 estimate $696M Q2 '24 actual $708M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $716M Q3 '24 actual $725M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $770M Q2 '25 actual $773M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $797M Q3 '25 actual $793M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $822M Q4 '25 actual $823M, match Q1 '26 estimate $838M Q1 '26 actual $851M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $871M Q2 '26 actual $867M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $887M Q4 '26 estimate $912M Q1 '27 estimate $929M Q2 '27 estimate $945M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish2074.1%
Neutral622.2%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$569.08Current
$543Low
$646.29Average
$760High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $569.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$722$569.86 +26.9%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$690$561.74 +21.2%Jul 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$615$561.74 +8.1%Jul 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyToni Kaplan$700$561.74 +23.0%Jul 21, 2026
BarclaysManav Patnaik$735$603.35 +29.2%Jul 10, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MSCI Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, offers sophisticated tools and services to support global investment decision-making and process management for its clients. The company is structured into four key segments: Index, Analytics, ESG and Climate, and Private Assets. The Index division furnishes benchmarks employed across diverse investment applications, including the creation of indexed financial products such as ETFs, mutual funds, and various derivatives; performance evaluation; portfolio building and adjustment; and strategic asset allocation. This segment also oversees the licensing of GICS and GICS Direct. Its Analytics segment provides comprehensive solutions for risk management, performance attribution, and portfolio oversight, encompassing content, applications, and services. These offerings deliver an integrated perspective on risk and return, alongside detailed analysis of market, credit, liquidity, and counterparty risks across all asset classes.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T09:00:44.370305+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T09:00:44.367562+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.