Morgan Stanley · MS · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Morgan Stanley's record Q1: $20.6B revenue, $3.43 EPS on wealth strength

Morgan Stanley reported a record first quarter, with Q1 revenue of $20.6B and EPS of $3.43 - a 13.6% beat of the $3.02 consensus and a 4.3% revenue beat. Management attributed the result to wealth management (revenue of $8.5B, a 30.4% pretax margin and $118B of net new assets), robust capital-markets activity and accelerating AI adoption across advisory, trading and client service, alongside a new digital-asset pilot. The firm maintained its multi-year targets, guided to modest net interest income growth in Q2, and held a CET1 ratio of 15.1% versus an 11.8% regulatory requirement. The underlying thesis is that disciplined capital returns, durable advisor-led wealth inflows and scaling AI adoption can keep earnings compounding through the cycle, with management emphasizing durable 'higher lows' over overreaching. The stock's roughly 3.7% abnormal positive reaction on the event, against…

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $309.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.43 Consensus $3.02
EPS surprise +13.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $20.58B Consensus $19.74B
Revenue surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.5% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +3.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.2% Up to 20 sessions
MSSPY benchmark

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What changed

Sequentially, Morgan Stanley followed a record FY2025 (revenue of $70.6B, EPS of $10.21, 21.6% ROTCE) with an even stronger start to 2026. During the quarter the firm closed its Equity Zen acquisition to expand private-credit capabilities, launched a digital-asset pilot with Zero Hash, and completed a Federal Reserve-approved reorganization that moved over $100B of assets onto its bank. Wealth-management net new assets of $118B and record fee-based flows of $54B mark a step-up from the prior year's run rate, and the reported bank reorganization improves funding efficiency.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained at both the current and prior quarter. Management reaffirmed its multi-year targets and pointed to modest net interest income growth in the second quarter, while flagging geopolitical tension, the U.S. rate path and Basel III as the principal variables. No upward revision was reported; the change is more visibility on capital strength and transaction momentum than an alteration to the target framework.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q1 revenue of $20.6B and EPS of $3.43 with a 27% ROTCE, a 13.6% beat of the EPS consensus
  • Wealth Management revenue of $8.5B, a 30.4% pretax margin and $118B of net new assets; fee-based flows hit a record $54B
  • Capital remains strong with a CET1 ratio of 15.1% versus an 11.8% regulatory requirement
  • Closed the Equity Zen acquisition and launched a digital-asset pilot with Zero Hash
  • Management kept its multi-year targets, guiding to modest Q2 net interest income growth

Management priorities

  • Integrate Equity Zen into the private-credit platform
  • Expand the digital-asset offering beyond the Zero Hash pilot
  • Deepen AI integration across advisory, trading and client-service tools
  • Grow Asian market share and leverage partnerships such as MUFG
  • Maintain capital efficiency while targeting modest Q2 net interest income growth

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.01 Q4 '23 actual $0.99, miss Q1 '24 estimate $1.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.02, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.65 Q2 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.59 Q3 '24 actual $1.88, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.98 Q2 '25 actual $2.13, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.10 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.43 Q4 '25 actual $2.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.02 Q1 '26 actual $3.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.89 Q2 '26 actual $3.46, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.13 Q4 '26 estimate $2.97 Q1 '27 estimate $3.67 Q2 '27 estimate $3.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish2955.8%
Neutral2242.3%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$196.31Current
$45Low
$135.71Average
$260High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
HSBC Hold HoldMaintainJul 21, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy HoldUpgradeJul 17, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $196.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$210.64 +32.4%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleySaul Martinez$215$210.97 +9.5%Jul 21, 2026
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$243$215.48 +23.8%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$235$218.37 +19.7%Jul 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$195$228.42 -0.7%Jul 16, 2026
See 83 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Morgan Stanley operates as a prominent financial holding company, delivering a comprehensive suite of financial solutions and services. Its diverse clientele spans major corporations, governmental bodies, financial institutions, and individual clients across various global regions, including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The firm's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. Within the Institutional Securities segment, Morgan Stanley provides crucial capital-raising and strategic financial advisory services. This includes underwriting activities for debt, equity, and other financial instruments, alongside expert counsel on mergers and acquisitions, corporate reorganizations, real estate transactions, and project financing.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T21:31:14.645591+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T21:31:14.642786+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.