Morgan Stanley · MS · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Morgan Stanley's record Q1: $20.6B revenue, $3.43 EPS on wealth strength

Morgan Stanley reported a record first quarter, with Q1 revenue of $20.6B and EPS of $3.43 - a 13.6% beat of the $3.02 consensus and a 4.3% revenue beat. Management attributed the result to wealth management (revenue of $8.5B, a 30.4% pretax margin and $118B of net new assets), robust capital-markets activity and accelerating AI adoption across advisory, trading and client service, alongside a new digital-asset pilot. The firm maintained its multi-year targets, guided to modest net interest income growth in Q2, and held a CET1 ratio of 15.1% versus an 11.8% regulatory requirement. The underlying thesis is that disciplined capital returns, durable advisor-led wealth inflows and scaling AI adoption can keep earnings compounding through the cycle, with management emphasizing durable 'higher lows' over overreaching. The stock's roughly 3.7% abnormal positive reaction on the event, against…

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $309.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.43 Consensus $3.02
EPS surprise +13.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $20.58B Consensus $19.74B
Revenue surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.5% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +3.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.2% Up to 20 sessions
MSSPY benchmark

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What changed

Sequentially, Morgan Stanley followed a record FY2025 (revenue of $70.6B, EPS of $10.21, 21.6% ROTCE) with an even stronger start to 2026. During the quarter the firm closed its Equity Zen acquisition to expand private-credit capabilities, launched a digital-asset pilot with Zero Hash, and completed a Federal Reserve-approved reorganization that moved over $100B of assets onto its bank. Wealth-management net new assets of $118B and record fee-based flows of $54B mark a step-up from the prior year's run rate, and the reported bank reorganization improves funding efficiency.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained at both the current and prior quarter. Management reaffirmed its multi-year targets and pointed to modest net interest income growth in the second quarter, while flagging geopolitical tension, the U.S. rate path and Basel III as the principal variables. No upward revision was reported; the change is more visibility on capital strength and transaction momentum than an alteration to the target framework.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q1 revenue of $20.6B and EPS of $3.43 with a 27% ROTCE, a 13.6% beat of the EPS consensus
  • Wealth Management revenue of $8.5B, a 30.4% pretax margin and $118B of net new assets; fee-based flows hit a record $54B
  • Capital remains strong with a CET1 ratio of 15.1% versus an 11.8% regulatory requirement
  • Closed the Equity Zen acquisition and launched a digital-asset pilot with Zero Hash
  • Management kept its multi-year targets, guiding to modest Q2 net interest income growth

Management priorities

  • Integrate Equity Zen into the private-credit platform
  • Expand the digital-asset offering beyond the Zero Hash pilot
  • Deepen AI integration across advisory, trading and client-service tools
  • Grow Asian market share and leverage partnerships such as MUFG
  • Maintain capital efficiency while targeting modest Q2 net interest income growth

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.02, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.65 Q2 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.59 Q3 '24 actual $1.88, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.98 Q2 '25 actual $2.13, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.10 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.43 Q4 '25 actual $2.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.02 Q1 '26 actual $3.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.89 Q2 '26 actual $3.46, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.13 Q4 '26 estimate $2.97 Q1 '27 estimate $3.67 Q2 '27 estimate $3.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish2955.8%
Neutral2242.3%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$196.31Current
$45Low
$135.71Average
$260High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
HSBC Hold HoldMaintainJul 21, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy HoldUpgradeJul 17, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 17, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 6, 2026
Oppenheimer Underperform PerformDowngradeJun 30, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 16, 2026
Citizens Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 16, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeNov 24, 2025
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2025
JMP Securities Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 14, 2025
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2024
Societe Generale Hold BuyDowngradeNov 28, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeNov 20, 2023
Odeon Capital Hold BuyDowngradeOct 23, 2023
Atlantic Equities Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 1, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 19, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 12, 2022
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 1, 2022
Berenberg Hold BuyDowngradeSep 28, 2021
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 13, 2021
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2021
Daiwa Capital Outperform NeutralUpgradeMar 2, 2021
DA Davidson Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 24, 2020
Sandler O'Neill Buy HoldUpgradeOct 10, 2019
Citi Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 12, 2019
Bernstein Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeJul 19, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 19, 2017
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 18, 2017
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainOct 18, 2017
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2017
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 22, 2017
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 20, 2016
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 5, 2016
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainJan 11, 2016
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 7, 2015
Mediobanca Securities Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 23, 2013
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 23, 2013
ISI Group Hold HoldMaintainJan 4, 2013
Evercore Partners Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeDec 19, 2012
Drexel Hamilton Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2012
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 4, 2012
Bank oferica Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 27, 2012
Collins Stewart Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 8, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $196.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$210.64 +32.4%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleySaul Martinez$215$210.97 +9.5%Jul 21, 2026
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$243$215.48 +23.8%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$235$218.37 +19.7%Jul 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$195$228.42 -0.7%Jul 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$262$228.42 +33.5%Jul 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$240$228.42 +22.3%Jul 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$241$228.42 +22.8%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$250$221.09 +27.3%Jul 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$222.79 +29.9%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyRichard Ramsden$233$213.92 +18.7%Jul 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$187$212.66 -4.7%Jun 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$194$190.17 -1.2%May 8, 2026
Wells FargoMike Mayo$200$191.6 +1.9%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyRichard Ramsden$205$191.6 +4.4%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyEbrahim Poonawala$225$191.6 +14.6%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyJason Goldberg$230$191.6 +17.2%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher McGratty$218$191.6 +11.0%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$220$192.04 +12.1%Jan 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$210$191.29 +7.0%Jan 16, 2026
RBC CapitalGerald Cassidy$207$191.29 +5.4%Jan 16, 2026
Wolfe ResearchSteven Chubak$211$185.33 +7.5%Jan 7, 2026
Morgan StanleySaul Martinez$132$185.87 -32.8%Jan 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$190$186.58 -3.2%Jan 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$219$181.9 +11.6%Jan 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$202$176.51 +2.9%Dec 17, 2025
Wolfe ResearchSteven Chubak$198$158.17 +0.9%Nov 24, 2025
Morgan StanleyChristopher McGratty$184$160.02 -6.3%Oct 17, 2025
Wells FargoMike Mayo$177$162.65 -9.8%Oct 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$170$162.65 -13.4%Oct 16, 2025
UBSErika Najarian$165$156.25 -15.9%Oct 7, 2025
Morgan StanleyGlenn Schorr$165$159.68 -15.9%Sep 30, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$155$161 -21.0%Sep 26, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Baumgartner$60$132.37 -69.4%May 16, 2025
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$122$119.51 -37.9%Oct 17, 2024
Wells FargoMichael Brown$107$119.51 -45.5%Oct 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyGlenn Schorr$133$119.51 -32.3%Oct 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyJason Goldberg$135$119.51 -31.2%Oct 17, 2024
Williams TradingRobert Kad$58$107.28 -70.5%Oct 4, 2024
Morgan StanleyRichard Ramsden$106$104.42 -46.0%Oct 1, 2024
Wells FargoMike Mayo$95$101.76 -51.6%Aug 2, 2024
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$108$106.22 -45.0%Jul 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyGlenn Schorr$105$99.65 -46.5%Jul 3, 2024
OppenheimerChris Kotowski$105$90.84 -46.5%Apr 30, 2024
Morgan StanleySaul Martinez$102$90.26 -48.0%Apr 19, 2024
Morgan StanleyJames Fotheringham$118$90.08 -39.9%Apr 18, 2024
Morgan StanleyDaniel Fannon$109$90.96 -44.5%Apr 17, 2024
OppenheimerChris Kotowski$101$89.14 -48.6%Apr 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyKen Leon$108$89.2 -45.0%Apr 16, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Fotheringham$107$85.99 -45.5%Jan 29, 2024
OppenheimerChris Kotowski$107$84.06 -45.5%Jan 17, 2024
BNP ParibasJeremy Sigee$85$89.7 -56.7%Jan 16, 2024
OppenheimerChris Kotowski$103$78.3 -47.5%Nov 24, 2023
Morgan StanleyJames Fotheringham$101$72.92 -48.6%Oct 19, 2023
UBSBrennan Hawken$105$93.11 -46.5%Jul 19, 2023
Truist FinancialNaved Khan$118.52$91.59 -39.6%Apr 20, 2023
Wolfe ResearchSteven Chubak$92$86.82 -53.1%Jan 4, 2023
Morgan StanleyJohn Heagerty$85$83.97 -56.7%Oct 5, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$94$87.87 -52.1%Sep 21, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$97$87.19 -50.6%Sep 21, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$92$90.78 -53.1%Sep 12, 2022
OppenheimerChris Kotowski$93$80.8 -52.6%Jul 26, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$119$81.73 -39.4%Jul 19, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$99$77.43 -49.6%Jul 15, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$108$74.69 -45.0%Jul 15, 2022
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$45$75.42 -77.1%Jul 6, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$95$76.75 -51.6%Jul 5, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$83$76.06 -57.7%Jul 1, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$90$76.06 -54.2%Jul 1, 2022
National BankAnalyst unavailable$100$75.29 -49.1%Jun 30, 2022
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$80$77.44 -59.2%Jun 28, 2022
National BankAnalyst unavailable$102$72.9 -48.0%Jun 21, 2022
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$53$85.26 -73.0%Jun 2, 2022
BMO CapitalJames Fotheringham$113$84.74 -42.4%Apr 23, 2022
Truist FinancialYoussef Squali$50$88.91 -74.5%Apr 22, 2022
Wells FargoMike Mayo$94$83.13 -52.1%Apr 6, 2022
UBSBrennan Hawken$110$86.99 -44.0%Apr 1, 2022
Goldman SachsRichard Ramsden$118$95.07 -39.9%Jan 19, 2022
DaiwaKazuya Nishimura$105$100.98 -46.5%Jan 5, 2022
Wolfe ResearchSteven Chubak$140$103.54 -28.7%Jan 4, 2022
BarclaysJason Goldberg$123$99.5 -37.3%Jan 3, 2022
CitigroupKeith Horowitz$115$97.53 -41.4%Dec 3, 2021
Evercore ISIGlenn Schorr$113$100.74 -42.4%Oct 15, 2021
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$112$100.74 -42.9%Oct 15, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$115$99.62 -41.4%Oct 14, 2021
Societe GeneraleAndrew T Lim$125$103.66 -36.3%Sep 27, 2021
KBWDavid Konrad$115$88.32 -41.4%Jul 6, 2021
CFRAKen Leon$95$78.92 -51.6%Apr 23, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Morgan Stanley operates as a prominent financial holding company, delivering a comprehensive suite of financial solutions and services. Its diverse clientele spans major corporations, governmental bodies, financial institutions, and individual clients across various global regions, including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The firm's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. Within the Institutional Securities segment, Morgan Stanley provides crucial capital-raising and strategic financial advisory services. This includes underwriting activities for debt, equity, and other financial instruments, alongside expert counsel on mergers and acquisitions, corporate reorganizations, real estate transactions, and project financing.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T21:31:14.645591+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T21:31:14.642786+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.