Morgan Stanley · MS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Morgan Stanley Q3: Record Results Led by Wealth and Banking

Morgan Stanley's record quarter and broad operating momentum support a constructive view of earnings durability, but the next-year case remains conditional on sustained investment-banking activity, resilient wealth flows, margin discipline and manageable rate and regulatory risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $300.17B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.80 Consensus $2.10
EPS surprise +33.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $17.08B Consensus $16.69B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.5% Up to 20 sessions
MSSPY benchmark

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What changed

The latest quarter showed record revenue and EPS, stronger wealth-management scale and renewed investment-banking activity. Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis also highlights live AI use cases, digital-asset and private-market partnerships, and a larger capital cushion.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management emphasized durable earnings, continued investment and shareholder returns rather than a new change in outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 revenue and EPS reflected broad strength across wealth management, investment management and institutional securities.
  • Wealth-management assets, net new assets and fee-based flows reached strong levels, with workplace migration a notable contributor.
  • Institutional Securities benefited from stronger equity underwriting and advisory activity, indicating a revived investment-banking cycle.
  • AI tools and digital partnerships are moving into pilot or production, while a strong capital cushion supports investment and shareholder returns.

Management priorities

  • Expand the wealth funnel through E*TRADE Pro and workplace initiatives.
  • Scale AI tools across advisory and trading functions.
  • Build private-market and digital-asset capabilities through partnerships and Parametric solutions.
  • Continue disciplined buybacks, dividend increases and investment in the integrated firm.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $14B Q1 '24 actual $15B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $14B Q2 '24 actual $15B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $14B Q3 '24 actual $15B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $16B Q2 '25 actual $16B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $17B Q3 '25 actual $17B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $18B Q4 '25 actual $18B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $20B Q1 '26 actual $21B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $20B Q2 '26 actual $21B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $20B Q4 '26 estimate $20B Q1 '27 estimate $22B Q2 '27 estimate $22B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish2955.8%
Neutral2242.3%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$190.31Current
$45Low
$135.19Average
$260High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2026
HSBC Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 25, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $190.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$223$196.34 +17.2%Sep 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$210.64 +36.6%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleySaul Martinez$215$210.97 +13.0%Jul 21, 2026
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$243$215.48 +27.7%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$235$218.37 +23.5%Jul 17, 2026
See 84 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Morgan Stanley operates as a prominent financial holding company, delivering a comprehensive suite of financial solutions and services. Its diverse clientele spans major corporations, governmental bodies, financial institutions, and individual clients across various global regions, including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The firm's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. Within the Institutional Securities segment, Morgan Stanley provides crucial capital-raising and strategic financial advisory services. This includes underwriting activities for debt, equity, and other financial instruments, alongside expert counsel on mergers and acquisitions, corporate reorganizations, real estate transactions, and project financing.…

Historical context

All MS earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T04:56:09.451528+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T04:56:09.448473+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.