3M Company · MMM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

3M Maintains FY 2026 Outlook as Transformation Broadens

The transcript supports a constructive but conditional view: commercial execution, product launches and operational improvements can support growth, while the FY 2026 outlook depends on managing soft demand, cost headwinds and a complex transformation.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $87.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.83 Consensus $1.80
EPS surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.00B Consensus $6.00B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.0% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.2% Up to 20 sessions
MMMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management shifted emphasis toward a broader AI-first operating model, factory and distribution consolidation, and a larger 2026 product-launch plan, while maintaining its FY 2026 guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY 2026 guidance while outlining a broader transformation agenda.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong Q4 and full-year execution despite a soft macro environment.
  • Commercial excellence and new-product introductions remain the main growth engines.
  • The next phase adds footprint consolidation, an AI-first operating model and continued capital returns.
  • Demand, cost and execution risks remain important tests of the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Commercial excellence, including pricing governance and channel collaboration.
  • New-product introductions and focus on priority verticals.
  • Factory and distribution-center consolidation.
  • AI-enabled manufacturing and business-process redesign.
  • Capital returns through the planned share-repurchase program and dividend growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MMM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.10 Q1 '24 actual $2.39, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.68 Q2 '24 actual $1.93, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.91 Q3 '24 actual $1.98, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.01 Q2 '25 actual $2.16, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.07 Q3 '25 actual $2.19, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.80 Q4 '25 actual $1.83, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.98 Q1 '26 actual $2.14, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.25 Q2 '26 actual $2.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.39 Q4 '26 estimate $2.01 Q1 '27 estimate $2.26 Q2 '27 estimate $2.60
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1648.5%
Neutral1648.5%
Bearish13.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$169.48Current
$105Low
$162.33Average
$218High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bernstein Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeSep 25, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeJul 17, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJan 21, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainJan 21, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMar 6, 2025
Melius Research Buy HoldUpgradeOct 22, 2024
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeJul 30, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJun 13, 2024
Vertical Research Buy HoldUpgradeMay 16, 2024
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeMay 10, 2024
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainJul 11, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 29, 2023
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 11, 2022
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJun 16, 2022
CFRA Hold SellUpgradeMar 8, 2022
Langenberg & Company Buy HoldUpgradeOct 10, 2021
Gordon Haskett Hold UnderperformUpgradeOct 7, 2020
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 27, 2019
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeApr 26, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainApr 25, 2018
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 25, 2018
Hilliard Lyons Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 24, 2018
Argus Capital Buy HoldUpgradeJul 8, 2014
William Blair Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 25, 2014
Ladenburg Thalmann Hold HoldMaintainDec 26, 2013
Nomura Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 11, 2013
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 25, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $169.48. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$171$167.52 +0.9%Sep 25, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$195$167.52 +15.1%Sep 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$180$170.08 +6.2%Jul 23, 2026
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$192$173.97 +13.3%Jul 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$218$170.76 +28.6%Jul 22, 2026
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$145$170.76 -14.4%Jul 22, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$190$158.32 +12.1%Jun 15, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$181$158.06 +6.8%Jan 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$160$157.45 -5.6%Jan 21, 2026
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$136$156.09 -19.8%Jan 21, 2026
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$131$172.79 -22.7%Jan 15, 2026
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$178$167.48 +5.0%Dec 8, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$190$173.09 +12.1%Dec 4, 2025
UBSAmit Mehrotra$190$166.64 +12.1%Oct 22, 2025
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$180$166.64 +6.2%Oct 22, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$160$166.64 -5.6%Oct 21, 2025
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$170$159.04 +0.3%Jul 18, 2025
UBSMarkus Mittermaier$184$130.35 +8.6%Nov 12, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesAndrew Obin$160$129.04 -5.6%Oct 23, 2024
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$100$131.73 -41.0%Oct 23, 2024
CFRAJonathan Sakraida$165$131.73 -2.6%Oct 22, 2024
CitigroupAndrew Kaplowitz$133$134.84 -21.5%Oct 22, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$146$135.73 -13.9%Oct 16, 2024
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$160$137.06 -5.6%Oct 2, 2024
JefferiesLaurence Alexander$146$135.64 -13.9%Sep 24, 2024
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$125$131.4 -26.2%Sep 6, 2024
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$150$126.94 -11.5%Jul 31, 2024
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$145$126.75 -14.4%Jul 30, 2024
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$95$125.3 -43.9%Jul 29, 2024
Wells FargoJoe O'Dea$110$103.39 -35.1%Jul 26, 2024
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$78$94.02 -54.0%Apr 2, 2024
CFRAJonathan Sakraida$100$94.02 -41.0%Apr 1, 2024
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$84$108.11 -50.4%Mar 20, 2024
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$126$105.32 -25.7%Mar 19, 2024
CitigroupAndrew Kaplowitz$104$92.42 -38.6%Feb 15, 2024
Morgan StanleyJoshua Pokrzywinski$113$93 -33.3%Sep 28, 2023
J.P. MorganStephen Tusa$105$97.03 -38.0%May 25, 2023
Morgan StanleyJoshua Pokrzywinski$102$100.96 -39.8%May 10, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$130$120.66 -23.3%Dec 27, 2022
Wells FargoJoseph O’Dea$137$128.31 -19.2%Jul 15, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole DeBlase$146$128.37 -13.9%Jul 14, 2022
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$143$126.59 -15.6%Jul 14, 2022
JefferiesLaurence Alexander$145$129.84 -14.4%Jun 20, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$146$145.41 -13.9%Apr 27, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$161$144.88 -5.0%Apr 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$138$144.87 -18.6%Apr 27, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$138$144.22 -18.6%Apr 27, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole DeBlase$167$146.18 -1.5%Apr 19, 2022
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$155$148.9 -8.5%Apr 5, 2022
Wells FargoJoseph O’Dea$173$147.62 +2.1%Feb 21, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$182$155.83 +7.4%Feb 15, 2022
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$190$167.68 +12.1%Jan 26, 2022
Credit SuisseJohn Walsh$195$169.3 +15.1%Jan 26, 2022
Wolfe ResearchNigel Coe$190$167.68 +12.1%Jan 26, 2022
BernsteinBrendan Luecke$175$175.71 +3.3%Jan 10, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesAndrew Obin$185$178.3 +9.2%Sep 17, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

3M Company operates as a global technology conglomerate with diverse interests. Its extensive operations are strategically divided into four primary business segments: Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics, Health Care, and Consumer. The Safety and Industrial division supplies a broad array of products, including specialized abrasives and finishing tools for metalworking, automotive body repair kits, fastening systems for personal hygiene items, various masking and packaging materials, electrical components for construction, maintenance, and power distribution, strong structural adhesives and tapes, comprehensive personal protective equipment for respiratory, auditory, visual, and fall protection, and mineral granules for roofing shingles.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T01:30:58.768054+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T01:30:58.765220+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.