3M Company · MMM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

3M Maintains FY 2026 Outlook as Transformation Broadens

The transcript supports a constructive but conditional view: commercial execution, product launches and operational improvements can support growth, while the FY 2026 outlook depends on managing soft demand, cost headwinds and a complex transformation.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $87.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.83 Consensus $1.80
EPS surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.00B Consensus $6.00B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.0% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.2% Up to 20 sessions
MMMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management shifted emphasis toward a broader AI-first operating model, factory and distribution consolidation, and a larger 2026 product-launch plan, while maintaining its FY 2026 guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY 2026 guidance while outlining a broader transformation agenda.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong Q4 and full-year execution despite a soft macro environment.
  • Commercial excellence and new-product introductions remain the main growth engines.
  • The next phase adds footprint consolidation, an AI-first operating model and continued capital returns.
  • Demand, cost and execution risks remain important tests of the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Commercial excellence, including pricing governance and channel collaboration.
  • New-product introductions and focus on priority verticals.
  • Factory and distribution-center consolidation.
  • AI-enabled manufacturing and business-process redesign.
  • Capital returns through the planned share-repurchase program and dividend growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MMM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $8B Q4 '23 actual $8B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $8B Q1 '24 actual $8B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $7B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, match Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, match Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1648.5%
Neutral1648.5%
Bearish13.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$169.48Current
$105Low
$162.33Average
$218High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bernstein Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeSep 25, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 23, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $169.48. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$171$167.52 +0.9%Sep 25, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$195$167.52 +15.1%Sep 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$180$170.08 +6.2%Jul 23, 2026
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$192$173.97 +13.3%Jul 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$218$170.76 +28.6%Jul 22, 2026
See 51 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

3M Company operates as a global technology conglomerate with diverse interests. Its extensive operations are strategically divided into four primary business segments: Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics, Health Care, and Consumer. The Safety and Industrial division supplies a broad array of products, including specialized abrasives and finishing tools for metalworking, automotive body repair kits, fastening systems for personal hygiene items, various masking and packaging materials, electrical components for construction, maintenance, and power distribution, strong structural adhesives and tapes, comprehensive personal protective equipment for respiratory, auditory, visual, and fall protection, and mineral granules for roofing shingles.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T01:30:58.768054+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T01:30:58.765220+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.