Meta Platforms, Inc. · META · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Meta pairs strong ad demand with heavier AI investment

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient advertising demand and AI-enhanced recommendations can support growth, but the thesis depends on execution, compute availability, regulatory outcomes, and whether returns on AI investment justify rising costs.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $1914.84B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $8.88 Consensus $8.19
EPS surprise +8.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $59.89B Consensus $58.33B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +10.4% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +10.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.2% Up to 20 sessions
METASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds a more explicit 2026 AI execution agenda: new models and agents, broader Meta AI and business-tool deployment, additional ad formats, and materially higher MetaCompute, silicon, and energy-efficiency investment. The prior analysis emphasized the same AI-led growth strategy but focused more on Advantage+ automation, unified model architecture, and the early scaling of AI glasses and Vibes.

Guidance delta

Maintained relative to the prior quarter; the supplied analysis says Q1 2026 revenue guidance is $53.5-$56.5 billion and operating income is expected to exceed 2025 levels.

Key takeaways

  • Family-of-apps revenue growth and ad performance remain the core reported growth drivers.
  • Management is prioritizing AI models, agents, recommendations, business tools, and MetaCompute infrastructure throughout 2026.
  • AR glasses adoption is an additional product focus, while Reality Labs continues to incur losses.
  • The main tension is between sustained demand and the rising cost, capacity, regulatory, and execution burden of the AI roadmap.

Management priorities

  • Ship AI models and agentic products throughout 2026.
  • Scale Meta AI, business AI tools, Threads and WhatsApp ad formats, and commerce tools.
  • Expand MetaCompute, silicon, energy-efficiency, and AR-glasses investments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
META REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $36B Q1 '24 actual $36B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $38B Q2 '24 actual $39B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $40B Q3 '24 actual $41B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $45B Q2 '25 actual $48B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $50B Q3 '25 actual $51B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $58B Q4 '25 actual $60B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $56B Q1 '26 actual $56B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $60B Q2 '26 actual $61B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $63B Q4 '26 estimate $73B Q1 '27 estimate $68B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy64 ratings
Bullish5179.7%
Neutral1117.2%
Bearish23.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$715.62Current
$105Low
$535.45Average
$950High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Arete Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 2, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeApr 30, 2026
Erste Group Hold BuyDowngradeApr 2, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 29, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 29, 2026
Show 59 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $715.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Canaccord GenuityMaria Ripps$950$777.59 +32.8%Sep 25, 2026
Piper SandlerThomas Champion$875$777.59 +22.3%Sep 25, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$875$741.24 +22.3%Sep 22, 2026
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$796$665.75 +11.2%Sep 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$775$571.23 +8.3%Aug 31, 2026
See 241 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Meta Platforms Inc., which operated as Facebook, Inc. until its October 2021 rebranding, is a technology enterprise focused on developing innovative products that empower people globally to connect and share with their friends and family. These services are accessible across a variety of digital platforms, including mobile phones, personal computers, virtual reality devices, and wearables. The company's activities are organized into two principal divisions: the Family of Apps and Reality Labs. The Family of Apps segment encompasses well-known platforms such as: Facebook, where users can share content, participate in discussions, explore new interests, and build connections.…

Historical context

All META earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T21:01:00.280333+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T21:01:00.277276+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.