Medtronic plc · MDT · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Medtronic: Strong CAS growth, guidance maintained as new platforms scale

The supplied evidence supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: strong Cardiac Ablation Solutions growth and several newly cleared or expanding platforms improve the medium-term growth case, while maintained guidance, tariff exposure, mix dilution, and adoption risks argue against treating the trajectory as assured.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $114.31B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.36 Consensus $1.34
EPS surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.02B Consensus $8.91B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.3% Up to 20 sessions
MDTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of platform execution: Cardiac Ablation Solutions grew 80% year over year, the PFA platform expanded 200% worldwide, Hugo received FDA clearance and began U.S. installations and cases, and Stealth AXiS received FDA clearance. Management maintained prior FY2026 guidance rather than raising it.

Guidance delta

Maintained: FY2026 organic revenue growth of approximately 5.5% and EPS guidance of $5.62-$5.66; high-single-digit EPS growth is expected for FY2027.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue increased 6% organically and 8.7% on a reported basis, driven by record Cardiac Ablation Solutions growth.
  • Management highlighted PFA, Symplicity, Altaviva, Hugo, and Stealth AXiS as important growth platforms.
  • Hugo received FDA clearance and completed initial U.S. installations and cases; Stealth AXiS also received FDA clearance.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Sphere PFA platform and expand its geographic and clinical footprint.
  • Broaden Symplicity and Altaviva adoption through launches, training, and direct-to-consumer activity.
  • Advance Hugo, Stealth AXiS, the MiniMed separation, R&D, and technology-adjacent M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.26 Q3 '24 actual $1.30, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.45 Q4 '24 actual $1.46, match Q1 '25 estimate $1.20 Q1 '25 actual $1.23, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.23 Q1 '26 actual $1.26, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.31 Q2 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.34 Q3 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.54 Q4 '26 actual $1.55, match Q1 '27 estimate $1.39 Q1 '27 actual $1.45, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.33 Q3 '27 estimate $1.42
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3160.8%
Neutral2039.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$88.51Current
$77Low
$105.19Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $88.51. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$92$91.5 +3.9%Sep 3, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$110$92.18 +24.3%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$115$92.18 +29.9%Sep 2, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$95$92.04 +7.3%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$104$92.04 +17.5%Sep 2, 2026
See 102 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Medtronic plc is a leading global medical technology enterprise that invents, develops, manufactures, and distributes an extensive range of device-based medical therapies. These solutions serve healthcare systems, clinicians, physicians, and patients across the world. The company's operations are categorized into several key portfolios: Cardiovascular Portfolio: This segment focuses on cardiac health, providing technologies for heart rhythm management, including implantable pacemakers, defibrillators, and monitoring systems, alongside cardiac ablation tools and remote patient software. It also addresses structural heart issues with products like aortic and pulmonary valves, surgical repair devices, and endovascular stent grafts, in addition to offerings for percutaneous coronary interventions (e.g., angioplasty balloons).…

Historical context

All MDT earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T23:30:56.506858+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T23:30:56.502994+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.