Medtronic Plc · MDT · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2024

Medtronic raises FY2025 outlook on product-cycle momentum

The quarter supports a constructive view of Medtronic's near-term trajectory: management raised its full-year outlook and pointed to multiple product cycles across cardiovascular, diabetes, neuromodulation, and surgical robotics. The main test is whether launch execution, manufacturing scale, and demand remain strong enough to offset FX, reimbursement, and competitive pressures.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $121.20B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.23 Consensus $1.20
EPS surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.92B Consensus $7.90B
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.2% Up to 20 sessions
MDTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance after Q1 organic growth of 5.3%. The company also highlighted an Abbott CGM integration, additional regulatory progress, planned capacity expansion, and continued share repurchases.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 organic revenue growth guidance to 4.5%-5% and non-GAAP EPS guidance to $5.42-$5.50.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 organic revenue growth was described as 5.3%, ahead of guidance.
  • Management cited PulseSelect, diabetes, neuromodulation, and Evolut FX+ as key product-cycle drivers.
  • The company expects margin expansion as foreign-exchange pressure eases and cost-out programs offset inflation.

Management priorities

  • Scale PulseSelect and other cardiac-ablation technologies.
  • Expand the diabetes portfolio, including Simplera and the Abbott integration.
  • Advance Evolut FX+, Hugo robotics, and neuromodulation launches while expanding manufacturing capacity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.18 Q2 '24 actual $1.25, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.26 Q3 '24 actual $1.30, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.45 Q4 '24 actual $1.46, match Q1 '25 estimate $1.20 Q1 '25 actual $1.23, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.23 Q1 '26 actual $1.26, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.31 Q2 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.34 Q3 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.54 Q4 '26 actual $1.55, match Q1 '27 estimate $1.39 Q1 '27 actual $1.45, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.33 Q3 '27 estimate $1.43
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3160.8%
Neutral2039.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$92.9Current
$77Low
$104.87Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $92.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$99$92.46 +6.6%Oct 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$95$87.09 +2.3%Oct 6, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$92$91.5 -1.0%Sep 3, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$110$92.18 +18.4%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$115$92.18 +23.8%Sep 2, 2026
See 104 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Medtronic plc is a leading global medical technology enterprise that invents, develops, manufactures, and distributes an extensive range of device-based medical therapies. These solutions serve healthcare systems, clinicians, physicians, and patients across the world. The company's operations are categorized into several key portfolios: Cardiovascular Portfolio: This segment focuses on cardiac health, providing technologies for heart rhythm management, including implantable pacemakers, defibrillators, and monitoring systems, alongside cardiac ablation tools and remote patient software. It also addresses structural heart issues with products like aortic and pulmonary valves, surgical repair devices, and endovascular stent grafts, in addition to offerings for percutaneous coronary interventions (e.g., angioplasty balloons).…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T15:00:47.902115+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T15:00:47.899249+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.