Mondelez International, Inc. · MDLZ · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Mondelez Reaffirms EPS Guidance as Emerging Markets Drive Q2

Mondelez's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: emerging-market volume growth, distribution gains, North American share gains, and product innovation provide current support, while maintained guidance indicates no change in the stated outlook. The main test is whether these drivers can offset macro, cocoa, and execution risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Defensive $77.96B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.73 Consensus $0.68
EPS surprise +7.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.36B Consensus $9.21B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.0% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +5.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.0% Up to 20 sessions
MDLZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The Q2 analysis highlighted a Biscoff partnership opportunity projected at $500 million-$1 billion in revenue over several years, 100,000 new stores added in India, and reach of 1 million stores in Brazil. It also noted a historic cocoa surplus that reduces, but does not eliminate, commodity-crisis risk.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed EPS guidance and expects at least 2% full-year top-line growth.

Key takeaways

  • Emerging markets delivered double-digit volume growth alongside continued distribution expansion.
  • North American share gains were supported by value-channel growth, premium innovation, and disciplined promotions.
  • Management identified the Biscoff collaboration, innovation, and productivity initiatives as important growth supports.
  • The outlook still faces inflation, energy, cocoa, geopolitical, and weather-related risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand Biscoff products and the global collaboration.
  • Continue distribution expansion in India, Brazil, and other emerging markets.
  • Accelerate advertising and marketing with tighter guidelines and AI-enabled media buying.
  • Pursue productivity initiatives and AI-enabled cost efficiencies across the income statement.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDLZ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $9B Q1 '24 actual $9B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $8B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $9B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9B Q2 '25 actual $9B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $10B, match Q4 '25 estimate $10B Q4 '25 actual $10B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '26 actual $10B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9B Q2 '26 actual $9B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q4 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '27 estimate $10B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish3276.2%
Neutral819.0%
Bearish24.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$61.44Current
$61Low
$69.97Average
$84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 29, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $61.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$70$64.99 +13.9%Jul 30, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$68$65.53 +10.7%Jul 29, 2026
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$72$62.48 +17.2%Jul 29, 2026
BTIGRob Dickerson$73$62.48 +18.8%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesScott Marks$73$62.48 +18.8%Jul 29, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Mondelez International, Inc. operates as a prominent global entity in the snack and beverage sector, focusing on the production, promotion, and distribution of a wide array of food items. Its extensive reach spans multiple continents, including North America, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's diverse product portfolio encompasses biscuits (such as cookies, crackers, and various savory snacks), chocolates, chewing gums, candies, as well as selection of cheese and general grocery products, and powdered beverage mixes.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T23:04:10.991555+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T23:10:53.201016+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T23:10:53.198326+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.