Mondelez International, Inc. · MDLZ · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Mondelez Reaffirms EPS Guidance as Emerging Markets Drive Q2

Mondelez's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: emerging-market volume growth, distribution gains, North American share gains, and product innovation provide current support, while maintained guidance indicates no change in the stated outlook. The main test is whether these drivers can offset macro, cocoa, and execution risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Defensive $77.96B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.73 Consensus $0.68
EPS surprise +7.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.36B Consensus $9.21B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.0% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +5.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.0% Up to 20 sessions
MDLZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The Q2 analysis highlighted a Biscoff partnership opportunity projected at $500 million-$1 billion in revenue over several years, 100,000 new stores added in India, and reach of 1 million stores in Brazil. It also noted a historic cocoa surplus that reduces, but does not eliminate, commodity-crisis risk.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed EPS guidance and expects at least 2% full-year top-line growth.

Key takeaways

  • Emerging markets delivered double-digit volume growth alongside continued distribution expansion.
  • North American share gains were supported by value-channel growth, premium innovation, and disciplined promotions.
  • Management identified the Biscoff collaboration, innovation, and productivity initiatives as important growth supports.
  • The outlook still faces inflation, energy, cocoa, geopolitical, and weather-related risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand Biscoff products and the global collaboration.
  • Continue distribution expansion in India, Brazil, and other emerging markets.
  • Accelerate advertising and marketing with tighter guidelines and AI-enabled media buying.
  • Pursue productivity initiatives and AI-enabled cost efficiencies across the income statement.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDLZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.89 Q1 '24 actual $0.95, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.79 Q2 '24 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.85 Q3 '24 actual $0.99, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.68 Q2 '25 actual $0.73, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.72 Q3 '25 actual $0.73, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.70 Q4 '25 actual $0.72, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '26 actual $0.67, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.68 Q2 '26 actual $0.73, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.71 Q4 '26 estimate $0.94 Q1 '27 estimate $0.80
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish3276.2%
Neutral819.0%
Bearish24.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$61.44Current
$61Low
$69.97Average
$84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 29, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 10, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainMar 30, 2026
Rothschild & Co Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 16, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 12, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 9, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 4, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 8, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 29, 2025
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJul 17, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainFeb 6, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJan 8, 2025
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeNov 28, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 17, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 6, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 1, 2023
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 31, 2022
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2020
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeJun 15, 2020
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2020
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainFeb 11, 2020
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainFeb 11, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainJun 17, 2019
DZ Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJul 27, 2018
Societe Generale Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 2, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainFeb 1, 2018
PiperJaffray Overweight NeutralUpgradeJul 25, 2017
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeFeb 8, 2017
Canaccord Genuity Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 4, 2016
CLSA Outperform BuyMaintainAug 6, 2015
Nomura Sell ReduceMaintainApr 9, 2014
First Global Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 11, 2013
Credit Agricole Underperform OutperformDowngradeMay 8, 2013
Janney Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $61.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$70$64.99 +13.9%Jul 30, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$68$65.53 +10.7%Jul 29, 2026
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$72$62.48 +17.2%Jul 29, 2026
BTIGRob Dickerson$73$62.48 +18.8%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesScott Marks$73$62.48 +18.8%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$65$61.5 +5.8%Apr 29, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Palmer$71$61.45 +15.6%Apr 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$64$58.54 +4.2%Apr 29, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Lazar$68$58.54 +10.7%Apr 29, 2026
BTIGRob Dickerson$70$57.68 +13.9%Apr 13, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$73$59.86 +18.8%Feb 18, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$64$59.52 +4.2%Feb 9, 2026
D.A. DavidsonBrian Holland$62$59.2 +0.9%Feb 4, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$68$59.94 +10.7%Feb 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyMegan Alexander Clapp$66$59.47 +7.4%Feb 4, 2026
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$64$59.47 +4.2%Feb 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$65$59.47 +5.8%Feb 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$63$59.47 +2.5%Feb 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$65$59.15 +5.8%Jan 28, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$61$58.4 -0.7%Jan 26, 2026
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$69$57.34 +12.3%Jan 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$60$56.82 -2.3%Jan 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$67$51.51 +9.0%Jan 8, 2026
Wells FargoChris Carey$62$53.28 +0.9%Jan 5, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$62$55.75 +0.9%Nov 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$67$57.85 +9.0%Oct 30, 2025
RBC CapitalNik Modi$67$60.21 +9.0%Oct 29, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$70$58.78 +13.9%Oct 29, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$70$60.21 +13.9%Oct 29, 2025
BernsteinAlexia Howard$84$60.21 +36.7%Oct 29, 2025
Morgan StanleyMegan Alexander Clapp$68$57.87 +10.7%Oct 29, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$63$60.21 +2.5%Oct 29, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$72$60.21 +17.2%Oct 29, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$73$61.65 +18.8%Oct 28, 2025
UBSPeter Grom$65$62.6 +5.8%Oct 8, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$71$61.99 +15.6%Oct 6, 2025
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$70$63.17 +13.9%Oct 2, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$72$62.56 +17.2%Sep 26, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$77$64.56 +25.3%Jul 31, 2025
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$88$65.1 +43.2%Jul 30, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$59$67.5 -4.0%Mar 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$64.95 +12.3%Mar 24, 2025
Wells FargoChris Carey$61$58.29 -0.7%Jan 8, 2025
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$84$68.35 +36.7%Oct 30, 2024
Wells FargoChris Carey$78$69.15 +27.0%Oct 30, 2024
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$74$71.35 +20.4%Oct 23, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesPeter Galbo$84$70.53 +36.7%Oct 15, 2024
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$76$69.16 +23.7%Aug 9, 2024
D.A. DavidsonBrian Holland$75$67.05 +22.1%Jul 31, 2024
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$78$67.98 +27.0%Jun 5, 2024
JefferiesRob Dickerson$78$67.89 +27.0%May 31, 2024
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$81$67.6 +31.8%Apr 9, 2024
RBC CapitalNik Modi$83$71.48 +35.1%Nov 27, 2023
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$74$71.49 +20.4%Nov 24, 2023
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$75$65.92 +22.1%Feb 6, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$72$66.73 +17.2%Feb 2, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$77$65.78 +25.3%Feb 1, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$76$65.44 +23.7%Feb 1, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$80$65.44 +30.2%Feb 1, 2023
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$75$66.09 +22.1%Dec 20, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$77$67.26 +25.3%Dec 15, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$71$68.03 +15.6%Dec 8, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$75$67.32 +22.1%Dec 6, 2022
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$68$64.1 +10.7%Nov 15, 2022
Credit SuisseRobert Moskow$67$58.1 +9.0%Oct 18, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$75$64.68 +22.1%Apr 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$70$65.78 +13.9%Apr 26, 2022
JefferiesRobert Dickerson$76$67.1 +23.7%Jan 27, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Baumgartner$77$66.25 +25.3%Jan 26, 2022
Deutsche BankStephen Powers$73$67.38 +18.8%Jan 20, 2022
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$73$68.1 +18.8%Jan 16, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBryan Spillane$75$67.04 +22.1%Jan 5, 2022
Goldman SachsJason English$71$62.2 +15.6%Jul 30, 2021
GuggenheimLaurent Grandet$66$62.34 +7.4%Jul 28, 2021
Stifel NicolausChristopher Growe$67$59.56 +9.0%Apr 28, 2021
Credit SuisseRobert Moskow$68$59.56 +10.7%Apr 28, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Mondelez International, Inc. operates as a prominent global entity in the snack and beverage sector, focusing on the production, promotion, and distribution of a wide array of food items. Its extensive reach spans multiple continents, including North America, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's diverse product portfolio encompasses biscuits (such as cookies, crackers, and various savory snacks), chocolates, chewing gums, candies, as well as selection of cheese and general grocery products, and powdered beverage mixes.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T23:04:10.991555+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T23:10:53.201016+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T23:10:53.198326+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.