MongoDB, Inc. · MDB · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

MongoDB: Strong FY26 close, with AI revenue still early

MongoDB's latest analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: Atlas momentum, enterprise demand, and expanding AI usage provide growth support. The main qualification is that AI monetization remains early, while FY27 guidance was maintained rather than raised.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $28.29B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.65 Consensus $1.48
EPS surprise +11.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $695.1M Consensus $670.1M
Revenue surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -22.2% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -21.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.1% Up to 20 sessions
MDBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest quarter showed stronger reported growth and margin performance than the prior-quarter analysis, with Atlas momentum continuing and new large enterprise transactions highlighted. Management shifted the near-term emphasis toward execution on AI capabilities, EA feature parity, and go-to-market expansion while maintaining FY27 guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained FY27 revenue guidance at $2.86–$2.90 billion, with margin expansion targets.

Key takeaways

  • Atlas growth and large Enterprise Advanced deals supported a strong FY26 finish.
  • Management said AI-related usage doubled year over year, while its revenue contribution remains early.
  • The FY27 outlook was maintained as MongoDB invests in AI, EA feature parity, and go-to-market expansion.

Management priorities

  • Deepen Voyage embeddings and other AI capabilities.
  • Bring Enterprise Advanced to full feature parity with Atlas.
  • Expand Japan, the U.S. federal business, self-serve, and AI-native customer coverage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $441M Q1 '25 actual $451M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $465M Q2 '25 actual $478M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $528M Q1 '26 actual $549M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $554M Q2 '26 actual $591M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $594M Q3 '26 actual $628M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $670M Q4 '26 actual $695M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $665M Q1 '27 actual $688M, beat Q2 '27 estimate $735M Q2 '27 actual $772M, beat Q3 '27 estimate $763M Q4 '27 estimate $806M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish3680.0%
Neutral715.6%
Bearish24.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$351.73Previous close
$160Low
$404.89Average
$560High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 30, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 30, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $351.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$415$353.36 +18.0%Sep 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$385$358.36 +9.5%Sep 30, 2026
Piper SandlerHannah Rudoff$470$356.22 +33.6%Sep 30, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$420$337.19 +19.4%Sep 30, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$460$334.68 +30.8%Sep 29, 2026
See 102 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MongoDB, Inc. serves as a global provider of a versatile database platform. The company's offerings feature MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a sophisticated commercial database server designed for corporate clients, which can be deployed in cloud, on-premises, or hybrid environments. It also presents MongoDB Atlas, a fully managed, multi-cloud database-as-a-service (DBaaS) solution. For developers seeking to start with MongoDB, the company offers a free, downloadable Community Server that includes fundamental database functionalities. Beyond its core database products, MongoDB, Inc. provides professional services such as consulting and training. Founded in 2007 and based in New York, New York, the company was formerly known as 10gen, Inc. before adopting the name MongoDB, Inc. in August 2013.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T10:06:03.871854+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T10:06:03.869081+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.