Marriott International, Inc. · MAR · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Marriott Beats on RevPAR and Raises Full-Year Outlook as Luxury and Pipeline Hit Records

Marriott entered FY2026 with strong momentum, posting Q1 RevPAR growth of 4.2% that topped internal guidance and lifting full-year outlooks for both RevPAR and gross fees. The beat was led by luxury and resort segments, supported by a record global pipeline of nearly 618,000 rooms and net rooms growth of 4.5%. New brand launches (Lefay wellness), expanded AI deployments, and the upcoming FIFA World Cup provide incremental catalysts, while the Middle East conflict remains the primary headwind. Two consecutive quarters of raised guidance and a bullish score of 85 underscore management confidence.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $101.13B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.72 Consensus $2.56
EPS surprise +6.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.65B Consensus $6.59B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move +1.4% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.3% Up to 20 sessions
MARSPY benchmark

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What changed

Global RevPAR rose 4.2% in Q1, exceeding top-end guidance on luxury and resort strength. Full-year RevPAR guidance raised to 2-3% from 1.5-2.5%. EPS of $2.72 beat consensus of $2.56 by 6.25%; revenue of $6.654B topped estimates by 1.03%. Record global pipeline of nearly 618,000 rooms with conversions accounting for 35% of signings. Introduced Lefay, Marriott's first dedicated luxury wellness brand. Capex outlook increased to $1.05-$1.15B.

Guidance delta

Raised for the second consecutive quarter. Full-year RevPAR growth lifted to 2-3% from 1.5-2.5%. Gross fee guidance increased to $5.93-$5.99B. Net rooms growth target of 4.5-5% reiterated. Capex outlook increased to $1.05-$1.15B for Lefay, digital, and renovations.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 RevPAR exceeded guidance with luxury and resort segments leading growth.
  • Full-year RevPAR guidance raised to 2-3%; gross fee guidance lifted to $5.93-$5.99B.
  • Record pipeline of nearly 618,000 rooms supports 4.5-5% net rooms growth target.
  • AI investments accelerating: conversational search on marriott.com, 1,000th hotel transitioned to new tech ecosystem.
  • World Cup expected to add 30-35 bps to RevPAR as official hotel supporter in all 16 host cities.

Management priorities

  • Launch Lefay luxury wellness brand later in 2026.
  • Expand Series by Marriott into Italy and the United Kingdom.
  • Deploy conversational search on marriott.com and mobile app by Q2.
  • Roll out AI tools across sales, marketing, and guest communications.
  • Invest $1.05-$1.15B in capex on Lefay, digital, and renovations.
  • Renegotiate co-branded credit card agreements with Visa, Chase, and Amex.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MAR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.17 Q1 '24 actual $2.13, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2.47 Q2 '24 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.31 Q3 '24 actual $2.26, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.61 Q2 '25 actual $2.65, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.38 Q3 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.60 Q4 '25 actual $2.58, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.56 Q1 '26 actual $2.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.08 Q2 '26 actual $3.19, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q4 '26 estimate $2.96 Q1 '27 estimate $2.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish2344.2%
Neutral2853.9%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$394.75Current
$160Low
$332.42Average
$449High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $394.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$403$401.84 +2.1%Oct 22, 2026
Wells FargoTrey Bowers$426$388.05 +7.9%Oct 19, 2026
BarclaysBrandt Montour$363$385.71 -8.0%Oct 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyStephen Grambling$384$365.88 -2.7%Oct 12, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$360$332.84 -8.8%Sep 10, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Marriott International, Inc. is a leading global hospitality firm responsible for managing, franchising, and licensing a wide range of accommodation options, including hotels, residential units, and timeshare resorts, on an international scale. The company segments its extensive operations into North America (covering the U.S. and Canada) and its various international divisions. Under its corporate umbrella, Marriott oversees a diverse collection of esteemed brands, such as JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, W Hotels, Sheraton, Westin, and Courtyard, among many others. As of February 15, 2022, its impressive network encompassed nearly 8,000 properties—specifically 7,989 establishments—operating across 139 countries and territories under 30 distinct hotel brand names. Established in 1927, Marriott International, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Bethesda, Maryland.

Historical context

All MAR earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T02:12:15.757915+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T02:12:15.755213+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.