Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. · MAA · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

MAA sees resilient demand but trims rent-growth and occupancy outlook

MAA's resilient demand, high occupancy, low turnover, and strong renewal rates support the operating outlook, but near-term growth is constrained by elevated new supply and related concessions. The unchanged core FFO outlook alongside lower rent-growth and occupancy guidance points to durability with measured expectations.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $13.53B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.22 Consensus $2.20
EPS surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $546.4M Consensus $545.4M
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move -1.4% Same window
Abnormal move +6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.0% Up to 20 sessions
MAASPY benchmark

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What changed

Management disclosed a $0.03-per-share Hurricane Beryl cost for Q3, reported an approximately 1% insurance-premium reduction, and adjusted rent-growth and occupancy guidance lower while leaving core FFO guidance unchanged. The development pipeline is growing toward $1 billion, and management is testing ubiquitous Wi-Fi as a potential long-term revenue opportunity.

Guidance delta

Rent-growth guidance was reduced by 35 bps and occupancy guidance by 20 bps; core FFO guidance was unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Demand remained robust, supported by high occupancy and record resident renewal rates.
  • New supply is pressuring lease pricing in some markets, though management expects that pressure to peak and then ease.
  • The development pipeline is approaching $1 billion, with approximately $350 million of spend planned this year.
  • Liquidity remained approximately $1 billion, with net debt to EBITDA at 3.7x.

Management priorities

  • Advance six to seven development projects in Q3 and target four to five starts for the year.
  • Continue pursuing approximately $400 million of acquisitions at NOI yields near 6%.
  • Expand Wi-Fi and smart-rent technology across the portfolio.
  • Use additional debt capacity for growth initiatives while managing leverage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MAA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $544M, None Q2 '24 estimate $545M Q2 '24 actual $546M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $552M Q3 '24 actual $551M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $558M Q2 '25 actual $550M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $557M Q3 '25 actual $554M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $556M Q4 '25 actual $556M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $556M Q1 '26 actual $554M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $556M Q2 '26 actual $555M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $559M Q4 '26 estimate $565M Q1 '27 estimate $568M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1748.6%
Neutral1645.7%
Bearish25.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$116.63Previous close
$121Low
$148.62Average
$225High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 14, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 14, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 13, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $116.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAmi Probandt$124$115.82 +6.3%Oct 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$136$116.45 +16.6%Oct 14, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$121$116.86 +3.7%Oct 12, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$123$118.36 +5.5%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$125$121.76 +7.2%Sep 17, 2026
See 62 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Mid-America Apartment Communities, known as MAA, is a prominent S&P 500 entity operating as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). Its core objective is to generate outstanding, comprehensive investment returns for its shareholders. MAA achieves this by strategically acquiring, developing, redeveloping, owning, and managing high-quality apartment complexes. These properties are primarily located across the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, the company held an interest in 102,772 apartment units, a figure that includes communities currently under development, spread throughout 16 states and the District of Columbia.

Historical context

All MAA earnings

Real Estate peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T07:30:43.439642+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T07:30:43.436918+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.