Las Vegas Sands Corp. · LVS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

LVS: Record Singapore and Macau EBITDA, with execution risks ahead

The supplied evidence supports a constructive but conditional view: strong Singapore and Macau operating results, new gaming technology, and continued reinvestment support growth, while sustainability, Macau margins, and expansion execution determine whether the trajectory holds.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $23.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.78 Consensus $0.62
EPS surprise +26.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.33B Consensus $3.05B
Revenue surprise +9.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +12.4% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +11.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +11.6% Up to 20 sessions
LVSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior quarter, management reported record EBITDA at Marina Bay Sands and in Macau, introduced smart-table technology as a new revenue driver, raised the Marina Bay Sands annual EBITDA target, increased SCL ownership to 74.76%, and outlined an $8 billion Singapore investment.

Guidance delta

Raised: management targets $2.7-$2.9 billion in annual EBITDA for Marina Bay Sands, versus the prior quarter's $2.5-$2.7 billion portfolio target.

Key takeaways

  • Marina Bay Sands and Macau delivered record EBITDA of $743 million and $601 million, respectively.
  • Smart-table side bets lifted Singapore rolling-baccarat hold to 4.2%; rollout to Macau is planned.
  • Management increased capital returns and SCL ownership while outlining an $8 billion Singapore expansion.
  • Macau margin declined year over year, and management said broader market growth is needed to reach its EBITDA targets.

Management priorities

  • Complete the smart-table rollout across Macau's rolling baccarat segment.
  • Advance the $8 billion Singapore expansion, including the IR2 arena.
  • Continue premium-mass marketing and property reinvestment, including at Londoner Grand.
  • Maintain share repurchases within ownership limits and increase the dividend in 2026.
  • Evaluate potential licensing opportunities in the UAE, Japan, and Thailand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LVS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.62 Q1 '24 actual $0.75, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.56 Q2 '24 actual $0.55, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.53 Q3 '24 actual $0.44, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.62 Q3 '25 actual $0.78, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.77 Q4 '25 actual $0.85, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.76 Q1 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.76 Q2 '26 actual $0.59, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.75 Q4 '26 estimate $0.85 Q1 '27 estimate $0.94 Q2 '27 estimate $0.77
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy49 ratings
Bullish2959.2%
Neutral2040.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$36.23Current
$47Low
$62.24Average
$78High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 23, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $36.23. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$61$47.3 +68.4%Jul 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$61$45.71 +68.4%Jul 23, 2026
CBREAnalyst unavailable$62$45.95 +71.1%Jul 23, 2026
Stifel NicolausSteven Wieczynski$60$45.25 +65.6%Jul 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$55$45.25 +51.8%Jul 23, 2026
See 59 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Las Vegas Sands Corporation, in conjunction with its various subsidiaries, specializes in the development, ownership, and ongoing management of comprehensive integrated resort properties across both Asian and United States markets. The company maintains a significant portfolio of establishments in Macao, People's Republic of China, including The Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, the Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao, The Plaza Macao (which encompasses the Four Seasons Hotel Macao, Cotai Strip), and the Sands Macao. Furthermore, its Asian operations extend to Singapore, where it presides over the iconic Marina Bay Sands.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T05:20:43.725478+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T05:20:43.722647+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.