Lockheed Martin Corporation · LMT · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Lockheed maintains outlook as missile demand offsets program charges

The quarter supports a mixed view: resilient defense demand and advancing programs provide a growth foundation, but charges, cash-flow exposure, and execution risk weaken the near-term evidence for a clean growth case.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $116.64B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.29 Consensus $6.52
EPS surprise +11.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $18.16B Consensus $18.57B
Revenue surprise -2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -10.8% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -10.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.4% Up to 20 sessions
LMTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis shifts the focus from broad program momentum to execution and cash-flow discipline after significant classified-program and tax-related charges, while management continues to point to missile-defense, hypersonic, and F-35 demand.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management reaffirmed its outlook despite the quarter's charges.

Key takeaways

  • Underlying demand remains strongest in missile defense, hypersonic systems, and F-35 programs.
  • Management is emphasizing production acceleration, program restructuring, and supply-chain security.
  • The central tension is durable defense demand versus execution, cash-flow, and award-timing risks.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate production across missile and hypersonic programs.
  • Restructure and derisk the classified aeronautics portfolio.
  • Advance integrated missile defense and strengthen the domestic rare-earth supply chain.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LMT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5.82 Q1 '24 actual $6.39, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6.46 Q2 '24 actual $6.85, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.50 Q3 '24 actual $6.80, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6.52 Q2 '25 actual $7.29, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.38 Q3 '25 actual $6.95, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7.07 Q4 '25 actual $5.80, miss Q1 '26 estimate $6.74 Q1 '26 actual $6.44, miss Q2 '26 estimate $7.22 Q2 '26 actual $7.94, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.54 Q4 '26 estimate $8.62 Q1 '27 estimate $7.31 Q2 '27 estimate $7.99
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy37 ratings
Bullish2259.5%
Neutral1437.8%
Bearish12.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$506.63Current
$398Low
$572.06Average
$704High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 8, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 24, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 13, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $506.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSGavin Parsons$674$525.28 +33.0%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$600$582.65 +18.4%Jul 27, 2026
UBSGavin Parsons$581$578.53 +14.7%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$700$568.59 +38.2%Jul 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$690$568.59 +36.2%Jul 24, 2026
See 76 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lockheed Martin Corporation stands as a prominent global security and aerospace enterprise, specializing in the comprehensive lifecycle of advanced technological systems. Its expertise spans the research, design, development, manufacturing, integration, and ongoing sustainment of cutting-edge products and services across the world. The company's diverse operations are structured into four key segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The Aeronautics division is responsible for creating and producing leading-edge combat and air mobility aircraft, alongside unmanned aerial vehicles and their related innovations. The Missiles and Fire Control segment delivers sophisticated air and missile defense systems; tactical and precision air-to-ground weapon systems; comprehensive logistics; advanced fire control; mission operations, readiness, engineering support, and integration services; both crewed and uncrewed ground vehicles; and energy management solutions.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T19:40:44.445714+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T19:40:44.442981+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.