Linde plc · LIN · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Linde: Record Q4 EPS as Electronics, Clean Energy and Space Lead

Linde's record Q4 performance and exposure to electronics, clean energy, and space support a constructive earnings outlook, but the case depends on backlog execution and recovery in weaker industrial markets.

Reported Before market openNASDAQBasic Materials $218.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.20 Consensus $4.18
EPS surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.76B Consensus $8.64B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.9% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.4% Up to 20 sessions
LINSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis emphasizes record EPS and margins, more than 90 gas-application wins, higher capital spending, and a $10 billion backlog; management maintained its full-year EPS guidance while continuing restructuring and productivity actions.

Guidance delta

Maintained: full-year EPS guidance was $17.40-$17.90, with assumptions including a 1% FX tailwind and flat volumes.

Key takeaways

  • EPS was $4.20, up 6%, with a 29.5% operating margin despite weak industrial markets.
  • Management highlighted a $10 billion backlog and more than 90 new gas-application wins.
  • Electronics, clean energy, and space demand were identified as key growth areas.
  • Capital expenditures increased 17%, reflecting project backlog and space-related investment.

Management priorities

  • Execute the six-point growth blueprint.
  • Expand semiconductor-fab wins and rocket-propellant production.
  • Continue disciplined bolt-on acquisitions focused on supply density.
  • Increase low-carbon power sourcing and deliver restructuring and productivity initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LIN REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $8B Q1 '24 actual $8B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $8B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $8B Q3 '24 actual $8B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $8B Q2 '25 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, match Q4 '25 estimate $9B Q4 '25 actual $9B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '26 actual $9B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9B Q2 '26 actual $9B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $9B Q4 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '27 estimate $9B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish2589.3%
Neutral310.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$472.04Current
$293.65Low
$468.61Average
$612High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $472.04. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$538$471.79 +14.0%Sep 28, 2026
BernsteinJames Hooper$563$463.92 +19.3%Sep 11, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$542$461.62 +14.8%Sep 10, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$580$487.37 +22.9%Aug 10, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$546$488.14 +15.7%Aug 10, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Linde plc functions as a global industrial gas and engineering powerhouse, extending its operations throughout North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company's comprehensive product line features atmospheric gases like oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and various rare gases, alongside a diverse array of process gases such as carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, specialized electronic gases, and acetylene. Beyond gas supply, Linde is also adept at designing and constructing turnkey process plants. These engineering solutions serve both third-party customers and its own gas business facilities, covering types like olefin, natural gas, air separation, hydrogen, and synthesis gas plants. Linde's extensive client base spans numerous sectors, including healthcare, energy, general manufacturing, food and beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel production, aerospace, chemicals, and water treatment. Established in 1879, the company is headquartered in Woking, United Kingdom.

Historical context

All LIN earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T05:21:00.078794+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T05:21:00.074659+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.