Lennox International Inc. · LII · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Lennox International Q1 2026: Revenue Beats as Building Climate Solutions Grows 26%

Lennox International's Q1 FY2026 results exceeded consensus on both lines, with revenue of $1.14 billion (up 6% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $3.35. The Building Climate Solutions segment was the standout performer, posting 26% organic growth and margin expansion, bolstered by the Subco and DuroDyne acquisitions completed in Q4 2025. Home Comfort Solutions margins declined 130 basis points due to factory under-absorption, a headwind management expects to ease as channel destocking completes. The company raised full-year revenue guidance to approximately 8% growth and reaffirmed adjusted EPS guidance of $23.50-$25.00, citing new product launches and pricing actions to offset approximately 5% cost inflation from tariffs and commodity pressures. The stock posted a 4.5% abnormal return on the report day before drifting roughly 4% lower in subsequent sessions on 2.3x baseline volume.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $14.53B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.35 Consensus $3.19
EPS surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.14B Consensus $1.07B
Revenue surprise +6.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.5% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
LIISPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared to Q4 2025, where revenue declined 3% and guidance was maintained, Q1 FY2026 returned to growth with 6% revenue expansion and a raised revenue outlook. The Building Climate Solutions segment accelerated to 26% organic growth, while Home Comfort Solutions shifted from record full-year margins above 20% to a 130 bps margin decline on under-absorption. Management tone remained confident, but the bullish score edged down from 78 to 72 as analysts questioned the timing of cost recovery and the depth of residential demand weakness. Channel destocking, described as near completion in Q4, is now largely done, with two-step destocking expected to finish by Q2.

Guidance delta

Revenue guidance raised from 6-7% growth to approximately 8% growth. Adjusted EPS guidance reaffirmed at $23.50-$25.00. Capital expenditure plan remains at $250 million for 2026, directed at innovation, digital capabilities, ERP modernization, and AI initiatives. The guidance sentiment improved from maintained (Q4 2025) to raised (Q1 FY2026).

Key takeaways

  • Revenue of $1.14 billion beat consensus by approximately 6%, while adjusted EPS of $3.35 topped estimates by 5%.
  • Building Climate Solutions delivered 26% organic sales growth and margin expansion, driven by Subco and DuroDyne acquisition integration.
  • Home Comfort Solutions segment margin fell 130 bps due to factory under-absorption, with recovery expected as channel destocking completes.
  • Full-year revenue guidance raised to approximately 8% growth; EPS guidance reaffirmed at $23.50-$25.00.
  • Cost inflation of approximately 5% expected from Section 232 tariffs and commodity pressures; FIFO accounting defers tariff impact to Q3.
  • AI initiatives being applied to pricing, demand planning, and productivity to offset cost pressures.

Management priorities

  • Roll out additional heat pump and compact air-handler models, including the Stratagos rooftop heat pump and cold-climate heat pumps.
  • Execute $250 million capex plan targeting innovation, digital capabilities, ERP modernization, and AI tools.
  • Continue bolt-on M&A to enhance product portfolio and expand addressable market.
  • Expand emergency replacement inventory across the U.S. and grow national-account relationships.
  • Integrate recent acquisitions (Subco, DuroDyne) and joint-venture products (Ariston water heaters, Samsung ductless).
  • Implement pricing actions to offset approximately 5% cost inflation from tariffs and commodity pressures.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LII EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.46 Q4 '23 actual $3.63, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3.16 Q1 '24 actual $3.47, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6.57 Q2 '24 actual $6.83, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.00 Q3 '24 actual $6.68, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6.86 Q2 '25 actual $7.82, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.82 Q3 '25 actual $6.98, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.75 Q4 '25 actual $4.45, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3.19 Q1 '26 actual $3.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.67 Q2 '26 actual $7.72, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.36 Q3 '26 actual $6.84, miss Q4 '26 estimate $5.49 Q1 '27 estimate $3.89
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish828.6%
Neutral1657.1%
Bearish414.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$332.64Previous close
$238Low
$472.63Average
$667High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 14, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $332.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$395$348.84 +18.7%Oct 15, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$390$350.13 +17.2%Oct 14, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$424$367.78 +27.5%Sep 24, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$444$366.04 +33.5%Sep 14, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$375$376.35 +12.7%Sep 3, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lennox International Inc. is a global manufacturer and distributor specializing in heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and refrigeration solutions. The company operates across three divisions: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. Its Residential Heating & Cooling division supplies homeowners with systems like furnaces, air conditioners, and heat pumps, along with indoor air quality products, comfort controls, and replacement components, catering to both new construction and existing residential upgrades.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-31T04:05:14.545313+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-31T04:05:14.542643+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.