Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1760.7%
Neutral1139.3%
Bearish00.0%
Leidos Holdings, Inc. · LDOS · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Leidos raises guidance while committing to a much larger 2026 investment plan
Leidos's raised guidance, strong book-to-bill and large contract pipeline support the case for resilient demand, but the thesis depends on converting that demand into growth and returns on a substantially larger 2026 investment program.
Reported Before market openNYSETechnology
$15.55B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$2.76
Consensus $2.61
EPS surprise
+5.7%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$4.21B
Consensus $4.30B
Revenue surprise
-2.2%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-8.4%
Event window
SPY move
+0.2%
Same window
Abnormal move
-8.5%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.9×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+4.6%
Up to 20 sessions
LDOSSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about LDOS FY2025 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did LDOS fall 8.4% after beating EPS estimates in FY2025 Q4?What changed in LDOS's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for LDOS after FY2025 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis shifts the focus from the prior quarter's guidance raise and AI- and energy-led growth toward execution of a larger 2026 investment cycle. Leidos plans to triple capex to $350 million, has pending acquisitions and continues to emphasize defense, cyber, health and energy infrastructure opportunities.
Guidance delta
Management raised guidance in the supplied analysis; FY2026 guidance calls for up to 4% revenue growth, mid-teens EBITDA margin, and EPS of $12.05-$12.45.
Key takeaways
- FY2025 performance exceeded guidance despite a government shutdown and calendar effects.
- Book-to-bill remained 1.3, supporting the demand and backlog narrative.
- The company plans to triple 2026 capex to $350 million for production capacity and classified facilities.
- The supplied scorecard shows an EPS beat but a revenue miss versus consensus.
- The event-session market reaction was negative, while subsequent drift was positive in the supplied analysis.
Management priorities
- Expand production capacity and classified facilities through higher 2026 capex.
- Advance defense programs including passive radar, maritime systems, IFPIC and hypersonics.
- Execute the North Star 2030 strategy through acquisitions, divestitures and AI-enabled transformation.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$122.35Current
$105Low
$164.41Average
$230High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 11, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 8, 2025 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Feb 15, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 24, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 14, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 2, 2020 |
| Citi | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 9, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 29, 2018 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 17, 2017 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 6, 2016 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 23, 2016 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 2, 2015 |
| BB&T Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 29, 2015 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $122.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowen & Co. | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $133.05 | +10.3% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | David Strauss | $165 | $143.83 | +34.9% | Aug 17, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Noah Poponak | $132 | $140.89 | +7.9% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $137.57 | +18.5% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $130.6 | +22.6% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $170 | $130.6 | +38.9% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $106.58 | +24.2% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Tobey Sommer | $160 | $106.24 | +30.8% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $104.81 | -10.1% | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $113.58 | +2.2% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $140 | $126.82 | +14.4% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $131.78 | +34.9% | May 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $185 | $160.64 | +51.2% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $215 | $173.5 | +75.7% | Feb 23, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $215 | $164.41 | +75.7% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $195 | $166.2 | +59.4% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $161.53 | +67.6% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $204 | $190.13 | +66.7% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Jonathan Siegmann | $220 | $196.61 | +79.8% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $195.59 | +88.0% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $216 | $199.22 | +76.5% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $201.57 | +79.8% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $225 | $192.09 | +83.9% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Tobey Sommer | $195 | $185.61 | +59.4% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $210 | $177.71 | +71.6% | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $178 | $150.67 | +45.5% | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $168 | $154.75 | +37.3% | May 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $182 | $165.4 | +48.8% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Noah Poponak | $228 | $185.86 | +86.4% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Tobey Sommer | $205 | $185.83 | +67.6% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Jason Gursky | $194 | $167.67 | +58.6% | Oct 10, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $145 | $144.28 | +18.5% | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bert Subin | $170 | $145.98 | +38.9% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bert Subin | $165 | $146.57 | +34.9% | Jun 24, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $140 | $144.58 | +14.4% | Jun 13, 2024 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $160 | $141.67 | +30.8% | May 6, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $180 | $140.22 | +47.1% | May 1, 2024 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $130 | $110.17 | +6.3% | Jan 8, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $111 | $104.71 | -9.3% | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $107.32 | -8.5% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $109.57 | +6.3% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $112 | $110.35 | -8.5% | Dec 2, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $106 | $96.32 | -13.4% | Aug 30, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $99.57 | -10.1% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $100.48 | -14.2% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $109 | $103.43 | -10.9% | May 4, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Cai von Rumohr | $105 | $88.72 | -14.2% | Feb 16, 2022 |
| Barclays | Colin Canfield | $110 | $89.07 | -10.1% | Feb 6, 2022 |
| Capital One Financial | Jonathan Raviv | $120 | $101.27 | -1.9% | May 20, 2021 |
Track every rating change on LDOS the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationLeidos Holdings, Inc., along with its various subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of services and innovative solutions across key markets: defense, intelligence, civil government, and health. The company operates both domestically within the United States and on an international scale. Its operations are organized into three principal divisions: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment is dedicated to providing national security systems and specialized support spanning air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace domains. Its extensive client base includes the U.S. Intelligence Community, the Department of Defense, NASA, various military branches, allied foreign governments, and other federal and commercial entities within the national security sector.…
Historical context
All LDOS earningsTechnology peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNX TD Synnex Corp | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +20.9% | -9.9% | TD SYNNEX: AI-led growth accelerates, but mix and cash flow matter |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
| SAIL SailPoint, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | -1.2% | SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption |
| CIEN Ciena Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +22.0% | -10.4% | Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog |
| DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.4% | +3.7% | DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- SNXFY2026 Q3 · September 24, 2026+20.9% EPS-9.9% move
- DRIFY2027 Q1 · September 24, 20260.0% EPS-3.0% move
- CTASFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+3.0% EPS-3.4% move
- PAYXFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+1.5% EPS-8.8% move
- GISFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+4.6% EPS+1.0% move
- AZOFY2026 Q4 · September 22, 2026+3.6% EPS+3.3% move
Get the LDOS recap when the next report posts
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T23:31:00.491554+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T23:31:00.489237+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.