Leidos Holdings, Inc. · LDOS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Leidos: Growth, AI execution and funding risks shape the outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Leidos is showing broad operating momentum through energy infrastructure, defense technology and health services, but the durability of that growth depends on government funding, award timing, contract retention and disciplined investment.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $14.81B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.05 Consensus $2.71
EPS surprise +12.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.47B Consensus $4.28B
Revenue surprise +4.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.4% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.6% Up to 20 sessions
LDOSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows another guidance increase, 7% revenue growth, stronger emphasis on Skywire-led energy infrastructure and continued Defense Systems momentum. It also adds more explicit near-term execution risks from the government shutdown, contract recompetes, capex timing and health-services competition.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 revenue and EPS guidance for a second time during the year.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 7% year-over-year revenue growth and raised 2025 guidance.
  • Energy Infrastructure growth was supported by the Skywire AI platform, while Defense Systems grew 11% year over year.
  • The call highlighted a $69 billion near-term opportunity base and $24 billion of bids awaiting adjudication.
  • Cash generation, debt reduction, a share repurchase and a dividend increase supported the capital-allocation narrative.
  • The main counterweights are shutdown-related timing, government efficiency reviews, contract recompetes and capex timing.

Management priorities

  • Scale Skywire AI across electric-grid modernization.
  • Expand AI-enabled cyber defenses for utility and defense customers.
  • Advance autonomous maritime and counter-UAS capabilities.
  • Grow managed health services in rural and behavioral health.
  • Pursue opportunities in Australia, the United Kingdom and select other markets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LDOS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $1.70 Q1 '25 actual $2.29, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.27 Q2 '25 actual $2.63, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.02 Q3 '25 actual $2.93, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.66 Q2 '26 actual $3.21, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.71 Q3 '26 actual $3.05, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.61 Q4 '26 actual $2.76, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2.90 Q1 '27 actual $3.13, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2.91 Q2 '27 actual $3.26, beat Q3 '27 estimate $3.05 Q4 '27 estimate $2.97 Q1 '28 estimate $3.02 Q2 '28 estimate $3.06
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1760.7%
Neutral1139.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$117.74Current
$105Low
$164.41Average
$230High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 18, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 11, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $117.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$135$133.05 +14.7%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoDavid Strauss$165$143.83 +40.1%Aug 17, 2026
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$132$140.89 +12.1%Aug 12, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$145$137.57 +23.2%Aug 9, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$150$130.6 +27.4%Aug 5, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Leidos Holdings, Inc., along with its various subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of services and innovative solutions across key markets: defense, intelligence, civil government, and health. The company operates both domestically within the United States and on an international scale. Its operations are organized into three principal divisions: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment is dedicated to providing national security systems and specialized support spanning air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace domains. Its extensive client base includes the U.S. Intelligence Community, the Department of Defense, NASA, various military branches, allied foreign governments, and other federal and commercial entities within the national security sector.…

Historical context

All LDOS earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T03:20:42.957642+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T03:20:42.955933+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.