The Kroger Co. · KR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Kroger: Strong digital growth offsets softer sales outlook

Kroger's Q2 showed resilient profit execution and growth in ecommerce, retail media and private label, but the lower sales outlook and ongoing investment and cost pressures make the next-year growth case mixed rather than established.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $36.76B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.09 Consensus $1.06
EPS surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $34.62B Consensus $34.64B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
KRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior quarter, management moved from reaffirming full-year guidance to lowering identical-sales guidance, while highlighting a 20% ecommerce increase, 24% retail media growth, a 35-basis-point cyclospora drag and the planned Giant Eagle acquisition.

Guidance delta

Management lowered full-year identical-sales guidance to 0.2%-0.8% while meeting its profit targets; no revised EPS range was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS was $1.09 and profit targets were met despite soft top-line performance.
  • Ecommerce sales grew 20% and retail media revenue rose 24%, supporting margin expansion.
  • A cyclospora outbreak reduced sales by 35 basis points, while full-year identical-sales guidance was lowered.

Management priorities

  • Fund price and value investments with cost savings and sourcing gains
  • Expand ecommerce, fast delivery and grocery-prescription delivery with Instacart
  • Continue store projects, private-label expansion and preparations for the Giant Eagle acquisition

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $34B Q3 '24 actual $34B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $37B Q4 '24 actual $37B, match Q2 '25 estimate $34B Q2 '25 actual $34B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $34B Q2 '26 actual $34B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $34B Q3 '26 actual $34B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $35B Q4 '26 actual $35B, miss Q2 '27 estimate $35B Q2 '27 actual $35B, match Q3 '27 estimate $47B Q4 '27 estimate $35B Q1 '28 estimate $35B Q2 '28 estimate $36B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2046.5%
Neutral1739.5%
Bearish614.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$60Current
$42Low
$67.47Average
$92High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 14, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 22, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $60. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Telsey AdvisoryJoseph Feldman$75$60.73 +25.0%Sep 14, 2026
GuggenheimJohn Heinbockel$66$60.76 +10.0%Sep 14, 2026
Roth CapitalWilliam Kirk$73$58.49 +21.7%Sep 14, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$70$58.49 +16.7%Sep 14, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$68$56.95 +13.3%Sep 9, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Kroger Co. functions as a significant retail entity throughout the United States, encompassing a varied collection of store formats. Its operations include integrated food and drug stores, which stock a broad range of products from natural and organic sections to pharmacies, general merchandise, pet centers, fresh seafood, and organic produce. The company also runs multi-department stores that broaden their offerings to include apparel, home fashion and furnishings, outdoor living goods, electronics, automotive products, and toys.…

Historical context

All KR earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-11T14:21:52.713677+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-20T01:23:12.707946+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-20T22:10:45.875887+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-20T22:10:45.873216+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.