KLA Corporation · KLAC · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

KLA: AI and advanced packaging lift demand; margins remain a watchpoint

The quarter supports a constructive demand thesis: AI infrastructure, HBM, advanced packaging and process-control intensity are driving growth. The thesis is less settled on durability because margins, services renewals, supply constraints and Chinese competition remain unresolved.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $246.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.05 Consensus $1.00
EPS surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.66B Consensus $3.61B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.8% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -9.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.0% Up to 20 sessions
KLACSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, advanced-packaging expectations strengthened to more than 70% year-over-year growth and $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue, while the wafer-equipment market outlook moved higher. Near-term guidance remained maintained, with capacity and supply-chain investment emphasized.

Guidance delta

Management maintained near-term guidance and raised its 2026 wafer-equipment market outlook to the low-$150 billion range, with roughly $190 billion indicated for 2027.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q2 revenue and EPS at the upper end of guidance reflected strong demand.
  • AI infrastructure, HBM and advanced packaging remain the primary growth engines.
  • Advanced-packaging process-control revenue is projected at $1.1 billion in 2026.
  • Services growth adds a contract-based revenue stream, but its durability needs monitoring.
  • Supply constraints, margin pressure and Chinese competition temper the bullish outlook.

Management priorities

  • Expand manufacturing capacity and supply-chain capability.
  • Invest in AI, advanced packaging and HPC inspection products.
  • Scale services to capture utilization and contract revenue.
  • Grow specialty-process and PCB inspection businesses through Orbotech.
  • Balance capacity investment with continued shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KLAC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $5.01 Q3 '24 actual $5.26, beat Q4 '24 estimate $6.15 Q4 '24 actual $6.60, beat Q1 '25 estimate $7.05 Q1 '25 actual $7.33, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.85 Q4 '25 actual $0.94, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.86 Q1 '26 actual $0.88, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.88 Q2 '26 actual $0.89, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.92 Q3 '26 actual $0.94, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.00 Q4 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.18 Q2 '27 estimate $1.30 Q3 '27 estimate $1.44
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish2764.3%
Neutral1330.9%
Bearish24.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$187.86Current
$26.5Low
$143.83Average
$325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainJul 29, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 6, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 23, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 11, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 30, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 30, 2025
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 30, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 1, 2025
TD Securities Hold HoldMaintainMay 1, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2024
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainJan 26, 2024
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 7, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 6, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 27, 2023
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 26, 2022
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 28, 2021
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainOct 31, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2018
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2018
B. Riley FBR Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 29, 2017
Summit Redstone Partners Sell NeutralDowngradeOct 27, 2016
Summit Insights Group Sell NeutralDowngradeOct 27, 2016
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2016
PiperJaffray Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 22, 2015
CLSA Outperform UnderperformUpgradeSep 25, 2015
ISI Group Neutral Strong BuyDowngradeOct 3, 2014
Pacific Crest Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 8, 2014
Northland Securities Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 28, 2013
Credit Agricole Outperform BuyMaintainApr 26, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $187.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$200$175.45 +6.5%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$179.02 -4.2%Jul 29, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$215$190.8 +14.4%Jul 29, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$250$190.8 +33.1%Jul 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$245$190.8 +30.4%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$225$190.8 +19.8%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyShane Brett$253$190.8 +34.7%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$210$190.8 +11.8%Jul 29, 2026
Deutsche BankMelissa Weathers$195$190.8 +3.8%Jul 29, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$230$190.8 +22.4%Jul 28, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$240$210.16 +27.8%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$225$212.75 +19.8%Jul 20, 2026
OppenheimerEdward Yang$260$227.91 +38.4%Jul 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$224.81 +35.7%Jul 15, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$270$229.52 +43.7%Jul 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$274$242.88 +45.9%Jul 6, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$275$278.39 +46.4%Jun 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$325$248.64 +73.0%Jun 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$305$259.56 +62.4%Jun 22, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$225$213.56 +19.8%Jun 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$250$213.94 +33.1%Jun 10, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$200$213.94 +6.5%Jun 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$218$210.81 +16.0%Jun 9, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$195$173 +3.8%May 1, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$200$173.42 +6.5%Apr 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$175$173.99 -6.8%Apr 30, 2026
RBC CapitalSrini Pajjuri$170$169.33 -9.5%Apr 30, 2026
OppenheimerEdward Yang$200$169.06 +6.5%Apr 30, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$187.5$181.62 -0.2%Apr 30, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$170$181.62 -9.5%Apr 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyShane Brett$190$181.62 +1.1%Apr 30, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$200$181.62 +6.5%Apr 30, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$183.5$180.53 -2.3%Apr 21, 2026
Wolfe ResearchChris Caso$180$142.65 -4.2%Mar 13, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$183.5$143.94 -2.3%Mar 13, 2026
RBC CapitalSrini Pajjuri$160$148.23 -14.8%Jan 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$175.1$152.38 -6.8%Jan 30, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$180$168.47 -4.2%Jan 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrian Chin$170$168.47 -9.5%Jan 30, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$175$168.47 -6.8%Jan 30, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$145$168.47 -22.8%Jan 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$185$168.47 -1.5%Jan 30, 2026
Wells FargoJoe Quatrochi$190$168.47 +1.1%Jan 30, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$157.5$168.47 -16.2%Jan 30, 2026
JefferiesBlayne Curtis$185$168.47 -1.5%Jan 30, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$170$168.47 -9.5%Jan 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$163$168.47 -13.2%Jan 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$156$148.62 -17.0%Jan 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$163.5$156.78 -13.0%Jan 20, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$180$156.78 -4.2%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyShane Brett$169.4$156.52 -9.8%Jan 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$169.7$154.97 -9.7%Jan 15, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$159.5$143.45 -15.1%Jan 15, 2026
Wells FargoJoe Quatrochi$160$143.45 -14.8%Jan 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$155$143.45 -17.5%Jan 14, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrian Chin$160$141.74 -14.8%Jan 14, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$170$144.18 -9.5%Jan 13, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$150$140 -20.2%Jan 12, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$175$135.97 -6.8%Jan 8, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$150$135.24 -20.2%Jan 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$150$122.52 -20.2%Dec 16, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$150$119.45 -20.2%Dec 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$121.4$118.97 -35.4%Dec 2, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$140$123.44 -25.5%Oct 31, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$126$123.53 -32.9%Oct 30, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$115.4$122.76 -38.6%Oct 30, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$128$123.53 -31.9%Oct 30, 2025
NeedhamCharles Shi$135$123.53 -28.1%Oct 30, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$126$121.88 -32.9%Oct 30, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$130$123.53 -30.8%Oct 30, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$113.5$110.67 -39.6%Oct 20, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$120$110.67 -36.1%Oct 20, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$105$98.28 -44.1%Oct 13, 2025
Morgan StanleyShane Brett$109.3$104.48 -41.8%Sep 22, 2025
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$98$92.86 -47.8%Jul 10, 2025
OppenheimerEdward Yang$74$67.63 -60.6%May 1, 2025
Stifel NicolausBrian Chin$75$67.34 -60.1%Apr 15, 2025
SusquehannaMehdi Hosseini$65.5$78.32 -65.1%Jan 22, 2025
SusquehannaMehdi Hosseini$62$69.18 -67.0%Oct 31, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$86$69.18 -54.2%Oct 31, 2024
Stifel NicolausBrian Chin$80$69.18 -57.4%Oct 31, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$75$69.18 -60.1%Oct 31, 2024
OppenheimerEd Yang$85$69.18 -54.8%Oct 31, 2024
Raymond JamesSrini Pajjuri$92.5$82.96 -50.8%Oct 15, 2024
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$87.5$78.63 -53.4%Jul 26, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$90$75.58 -52.1%Jul 25, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$80$75.58 -57.4%Jul 25, 2024
Stifel NicolausBrian Chin$87.5$85.71 -53.4%Jul 16, 2024
Raymond JamesSrini Pajjuri$87.5$78.06 -53.4%Jun 7, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$76.5$75.06 -59.3%Jun 5, 2024
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$80$68.93 -57.4%Apr 30, 2024
Stifel NicolausBrian Chin$76$69.33 -59.5%Apr 16, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$80$67.85 -57.4%Apr 15, 2024
Deutsche BankMeliss Weathers$80$68.71 -57.4%Apr 11, 2024
Wells FargoJoseph Quatrochi$76$68.11 -59.5%Mar 19, 2024
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$48$40.66 -74.4%Feb 6, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$42$38.61 -77.6%Dec 7, 2022
Wells FargoJoseph Quatrochi$51$29.84 -72.9%Oct 10, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$26.5$30.84 -85.9%Sep 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$35.8$32.79 -80.9%Sep 6, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$40$38.67 -78.7%Jul 29, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$38.1$37.79 -79.7%Jul 29, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$37.7$34.9 -79.9%Jul 25, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$32.5$35.4 -82.7%Jul 25, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$38.5$33.19 -79.5%Jul 18, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$37.5$31.71 -80.0%Jul 15, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$34.5$34.3 -81.6%Jun 28, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$35.2$33.8 -81.3%May 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$37.3$33.11 -80.1%Apr 29, 2022
BarclaysBlayne Curtis$36.5$33.28 -80.6%Apr 29, 2022
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$39.5$33.28 -79.0%Apr 29, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$38.5$33.28 -79.5%Apr 29, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$37.5$32.7 -80.0%Apr 25, 2022
Stifel NicolausPatrick Ho$50.5$33.15 -73.1%Apr 11, 2022
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$45$37.74 -76.0%Feb 6, 2022
Cowen & Co.Krish Sankar$41.5$36.57 -77.9%Jan 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$40$36.57 -78.7%Jan 28, 2022
JefferiesMark Lipacis$51.5$44.38 -72.6%Jan 14, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$50$41.76 -73.4%Jan 10, 2022
Wells FargoJoseph Quatrochi$50$40.83 -73.4%Dec 21, 2021
CitigroupAtif Malik$45$38.45 -76.0%Dec 20, 2021
Deutsche BankSidney Ho$47.5$40.88 -74.7%Dec 15, 2021
Atlantic EquitiesIanjit Bhatti$49$41.2 -73.9%Nov 15, 2021
Credit SuisseJohn Pitzer$43$35.35 -77.1%Oct 28, 2021
J.P. MorganHarlan Sur$46$35.35 -75.5%Oct 28, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KLA Corporation specializes in creating, manufacturing, and distributing advanced solutions vital for process control, process optimization, and yield enhancement throughout the global semiconductor and broader electronics industries. The company organizes its business into four main segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, PCB, Display and Component Inspection, and an 'Other' category. For integrated circuit (IC) fabrication, KLA offers a comprehensive range of products. These include systems for wafer inspection, review, and metrology; defect inspection and metrology for both wafers/substrates and reticles; chemical and materials quality analysis tools; and real-time process management and wafer handling diagnostics essential for IC and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) production. Furthermore, the company develops software for live process control, defect excursion identification, process corrections, and defect classification. KLA also supplies refurbished and remanufactured equipment.…

Historical context

All KLAC earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T15:06:33.028994+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T21:50:54.676885+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T21:50:54.674059+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.