KLA Corporation · KLAC · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

KLA: AI and advanced packaging lift demand; margins remain a watchpoint

The quarter supports a constructive demand thesis: AI infrastructure, HBM, advanced packaging and process-control intensity are driving growth. The thesis is less settled on durability because margins, services renewals, supply constraints and Chinese competition remain unresolved.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $246.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.05 Consensus $1.00
EPS surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.66B Consensus $3.61B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.8% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -9.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.0% Up to 20 sessions
KLACSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, advanced-packaging expectations strengthened to more than 70% year-over-year growth and $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue, while the wafer-equipment market outlook moved higher. Near-term guidance remained maintained, with capacity and supply-chain investment emphasized.

Guidance delta

Management maintained near-term guidance and raised its 2026 wafer-equipment market outlook to the low-$150 billion range, with roughly $190 billion indicated for 2027.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q2 revenue and EPS at the upper end of guidance reflected strong demand.
  • AI infrastructure, HBM and advanced packaging remain the primary growth engines.
  • Advanced-packaging process-control revenue is projected at $1.1 billion in 2026.
  • Services growth adds a contract-based revenue stream, but its durability needs monitoring.
  • Supply constraints, margin pressure and Chinese competition temper the bullish outlook.

Management priorities

  • Expand manufacturing capacity and supply-chain capability.
  • Invest in AI, advanced packaging and HPC inspection products.
  • Scale services to capture utilization and contract revenue.
  • Grow specialty-process and PCB inspection businesses through Orbotech.
  • Balance capacity investment with continued shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KLAC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $5.88 Q2 '24 actual $6.16, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5.01 Q3 '24 actual $5.26, beat Q4 '24 estimate $6.15 Q4 '24 actual $6.60, beat Q1 '25 estimate $7.05 Q1 '25 actual $7.33, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.85 Q4 '25 actual $0.94, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.86 Q1 '26 actual $0.88, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.88 Q2 '26 actual $0.89, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.92 Q3 '26 actual $0.94, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.00 Q4 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.18 Q2 '27 estimate $1.30 Q3 '27 estimate $1.44
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish2764.3%
Neutral1330.9%
Bearish24.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$187.86Current
$26.5Low
$143.83Average
$325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $187.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$200$175.45 +6.5%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$179.02 -4.2%Jul 29, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$215$190.8 +14.4%Jul 29, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$250$190.8 +33.1%Jul 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$245$190.8 +30.4%Jul 29, 2026
See 120 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KLA Corporation specializes in creating, manufacturing, and distributing advanced solutions vital for process control, process optimization, and yield enhancement throughout the global semiconductor and broader electronics industries. The company organizes its business into four main segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, PCB, Display and Component Inspection, and an 'Other' category. For integrated circuit (IC) fabrication, KLA offers a comprehensive range of products. These include systems for wafer inspection, review, and metrology; defect inspection and metrology for both wafers/substrates and reticles; chemical and materials quality analysis tools; and real-time process management and wafer handling diagnostics essential for IC and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) production. Furthermore, the company develops software for live process control, defect excursion identification, process corrections, and defect classification. KLA also supplies refurbished and remanufactured equipment.…

Historical context

All KLAC earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T15:06:33.028994+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T21:50:54.676885+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T21:50:54.674059+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.